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Long duration overrunning to coastal disco 02/07-02/09


Damage In Tolland

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actually thats :cory:

 

Nice.  Hope he gets nailed. 

 

I think topography will play a bigger role than normal without the deeper synoptic lift.  Or at least enhance the seeder feeder processes...from up here all the way down there.

 

The flow looks pretty blocked with a good deal of veering in the lower level soundings and what will likely be a stout inversion with surface cold air locked in with warming above.  You'll get moist maritime air coming off the Atlantic but gets stuck below the inversion and wrung out from low level terrain and boundary locations.

 

That set up is one that screams meso-scale nuances like coastal fronts and topography. 

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Check out the upslope enhancement along the ORH east slope down into northern RI.  Is that the Foster area up there?

 

Drying out then a bit as you move onto the SW slope.  Very cool meso-scale processes on the RGEM.

 

attachicon.gifrgem_tprecip_slp_neng_17.png

 

Fun times for those.  I think Dave might sneak in a JP report.

 

Liking the forecast for here.

 

Tonight: Snow. Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Lows around 19. Southwest winds around 5 mph...becoming east after midnight. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

Sunday: Snow. Additional snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Cold. Near steady temperature around 17. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

Sunday Night: Snow. Additional snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches. Cold with lows around 10 above. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

Monday: Snow. Additional heavy snow accumulation. Cold with highs around 17. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.

Monday Night: Snow. Additional light snow accumulation. Near steady temperature around 14. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.

 

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I don't buy the GFS QPF distribution.

 

Go NAM/RGEM/EURO blend.

 

KASH is going to be a relative subsidence hole, while the n shore jacks.

 

For a long time, the GFS was showing two hefty areas:  one over the NW Mass, one over NE Mass.  Starting around yesterday's 12z fun, it backed off a bit on the eastern haul.  Didn't quite understand why. 

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this winter is like so many Patriots games this season... nonexistent first half, spectacular second half

 

I like this Box AFD writer... can almost hear him/her dropping R's:

 

* Synoptic overview...

Another significant snowfall is heading towards southern New
England. This will be storm number 5 within this active pattern that
doesn't look to end. What a come back for winter! Focusing back on
the overview...a Pacific shortwave will be moving through . . .

.

.

Wicked cold air follows this coastal low bringing in 925mb temperatures
close to -25c. This could yield to some of the coldest temperatures the
region has seen in some time. . . 

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