Snowlover11 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Coating-2" at most. I could see the 2" amounts verifying down in southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 That has a 1-3 look rather than a T-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The 12z RGEM is showing the typical problem with clippers for most of this area. Here is the RGEM at 21z. You can see a healthy burst of snow over NE PA which looks to clobber the whole area. Then just three hours later most of that snow has dried up and shifted to the developing coastal low offshore. That's why LI and SNE are always going to be favored in these setups. A lot of this area gets skipped over as the first low dies off and the new one forms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Gfs has a dusting to a half inch early Thursday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 I could still see how we wind up with an inch or two from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metTURNEDpro Posted January 20, 2015 Author Share Posted January 20, 2015 I could still see how we wind up with an inch or two from this.this kinda reminds me of the last clipper. I agree with you coastal sections should end up with an inch or two. Bronx and eastern parts of lower westchester should do well from the sound enhancement. It may be a little warmer than the last clipper but I don't see why we can't squeeze an inch or two. AppertiZzer now and main course this weekend ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro looks good for tomorrow night...1-2 Qpf .10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Would like to me a little money tomorrow. ..I will take 2......what os the timeframe in nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Would like to me a little money tomorrow. ..I will take 2......what os the timeframe in nj Late afternoon start on Wed....over by early morning Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro looks good for tomorrow night...1-2 Qpf .10+ How about NE of NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 How about NE of NYC? .01 gets to hartford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Euro looks good for tomorrow night...1-2 Qpf .10+ NWS maps showed more S/W of about New Brunswick in their maps this morning - does Euro show similar gradient or is it a more uniform 1-2" for the whole region? Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 How can it go 12 hours? A clipper? Shouldn't this be out by around midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 How can it go 12 hours? A clipper? Shouldn't this be out by around midnight? I agree we had 90% of our snow during a single hour here with the last one. Although I think this will be more like the first one. With temps not nearly as cold could be more of a grass car topper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Those 15Z SREFS....especially in CNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The radar looks pretty healthy at the moment over Eastern PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 NAM delivers 6"+ for parts of SNJ - FWIW http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015012018&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=036 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 NAM delivers 6"+ for parts of SNJ - FWIW http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015012018&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=036 18 Z nam show almost an inch of QPF far southern NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 18 Z nam show almost an inch of QPF far southern NJ yup - they could see a nice surprise down there - would like to see a similar feature on the GFS and the SR models tomorrow (heck, even on the 00z Nam) before I start buying into that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 18 Z nam show almost an inch of QPF far southern NJ Yeah this is definitely plausible, as they are not just receiving leftover clipper moisture that makes it past the mountains, but the brunt of the redeveloping coastal (taking the NAM verbatim, that is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 NWS maps showed more S/W of about New Brunswick in their maps this morning - does Euro show similar gradient or is it a more uniform 1-2" for the whole region? Thx. Looks like 1 would be around nyc and more as you go toward New Brunswick -Phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 How can it go 12 hours? A clipper? Shouldn't this be out by around midnight? They usually move in faster and end earlier then forecast. Was just sharing verbatim what the models are showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Might waste half that moisture on rain or non-accumulating snow before the BL cools. I'd still be thrilled with 3-5" snow if NAM is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Looks like 1 would be around nyc and more as you go toward New Brunswick -Phl 18z Hi-res NAM is interesting at the very least. 0 precip for NYC (maybe flurries) and 6-10" for SENJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Someone is gonna get hit good with this, unfortunately the bullseye has moved 500 times but I've felt for a few days there were going to be big amounts with this somewhere. There was a storm like this in the 12-13 winter that pounded Delaware and S NJ with 5-8 inches of snow and nobody northwest of that saw anything, it was not well forecast either, this one may be north of that one a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 18z Hi-res NAM is interesting at the very least. 0 precip for NYC (maybe flurries) and 6-10" for SENJ I doubt nyc gets skunked...but all the models agree that the jackpot will be snj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 The radar looks pretty healthy at the moment over Eastern PA Radar looks better than whats actually happening. Wet mood flakes, with some moderate bursts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 Someone is gonna get hit good with this, unfortunately the bullseye has moved 500 times but I've felt for a few days there were going to be big amounts with this somewhere. There was a storm like this in the 12-13 winter that pounded Delaware and S NJ with 5-8 inches of snow and nobody northwest of that saw anything, it was not well forecast either, this one may be north of that one a bit. agreed - favoring the Atlantic/Burlington/Ocean counties for that potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 20, 2015 Share Posted January 20, 2015 18z gfs continues to have very little north of phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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