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Winter 2014-15 Banter Thread


Stormlover74

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Does anyone think we can lock Arctic air for most of Feb, and have 5 or less days above freezing.

 

My guess for above freezing days in Feb 2015

 

2/4/2015

2/16/2015

2/26-2/28

 

All other days below freezing.  NYC departure -5.3 F

No, but I think there is a good chance that the minimum temperature for almost every day in February will be below freezing...so you have that going for you...which is nice.

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Perhaps one of the most important lessons in my life was taught to me by a cab driver in the Bronx in the 1980 film Night of the Juggler. She told her passenger James Brolin, "You push too hard...people gonna push back."  Words to live by.

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Maybe it will find a home here; having been safely minimized by me...

I look at the ECMWF, GFS, NAM, GGEM, RGEM, GEM-LAM (great is short range for snow precision)...I don't really look at the UKMET much, I do look at the ARW & NNM (which nailed Monday's cutoff)....the HRRR & RAP in the short range)...and I once lived & died with the SUNY MM5...the best rain / snow line model ever...but it seems to have been discontinued. You can end up looking at too many...as was the case on Monday...the ensembles (mainly GFS) I check occasionally...but it can get to be too much.

I read last night that the RPM model is basically a down scaled version of the WRF model. It definitely nailed the sharp cutoff on Monday night.

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well said ..another good one ..is " don't take my kindness for weakness ".

 

The *very* best however, was given by the counselor to inmate Sean Penn at an Illinois Reformatory in the 1982 flic Bad Boys.

 

"Now I suggest you stay cool...because if you f up...the only one you will be f'en up is you.  You've got 6 months to go before your review.  Do your time clean and you walk.  Mess up, and you can grow old in here jack."

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After a slow start , will finish up January with 16.9" of snow here...with most of that falling since the 24th.

since 2011 NYC was averaging 15.4" for January...this year has 15.3" so far keeping the average intact...If NYC didn't get any more snow for January over the next five years it would end up average for the ten years...

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The *very* best however, was given by the counselor to inmate Sean Penn at an Illinois Reformatory in the 1982 flic Bad Boys.

 

"Now I suggest you stay cool...because if you f up...the only one you will be f'en up is you.  You've got 6 months to go before your review.  Do your time clean and you walk.  Mess up, and you can grow old in here jack."

 

The *very* best however, was given by the counselor to inmate Sean Penn at an Illinois Reformatory in the 1982 flic Bad Boys.

 

"Now I suggest you stay cool...because if you f up...the only one you will be f'en up is you.  You've got 6 months to go before your review.  Do your time clean and you walk.  Mess up, and you can grow old in here jack."

Wow that was such an underrated movie, it has sort of come back a bit on cable in recent years. I actually was a social worker in Essex county's juvie. What a depressing place.

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Well last week I wasted a weekend following a busted blizzard. Now it looks like it is going to find a way to not snow here again. 10 freaking degrees out today, as cold a winter as you could ask for,yet we get rain and sleet. I am ready for spring. ice storms are just a pain and are dangerous. I have to worry about power outages and basement flood, trying to get a generator started and they put the damn sparkplugs in places where you can't get to them. I would rather live in the tropics then deal with ice storms, much as I love thesnow.

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what a joke people need to stop acting like the euro is the best model...its really not

all of the models waffle around. the ones coming out today are trending north with rain, and once that happens they usually keep going. I won't be surprised to see sleet all the way to the interior. we are a day away now, so that's that. I am hoping for just sleet now, I hate ice storms. rather a total miss, and I'm serious.

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all of the models waffle around. the ones coming out today are trending north with rain, and once that happens they usually keep going. I won't be surprised to see sleet all the way to the interior. we are a day away now, so that's that. I am hoping for just sleet now, I hate ice storms. rather a total miss, and I'm serious.

i agree i think most people would rather a miss than ice storms

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He's left this dimension...never to return.  However, as he was passing through that penultimate portal...the final words he uttered (other than "Simonson...horrible...Soylent...ya gotta listen to me Thorn")....was a request for me to give my regards to the Viking...he did not specify *which* specific Viking...but he did reference a sod farm in the greater Miller Place area...so it might well be you!

Ah yes, the Heston scifi period, Planet of the Apes, Beneath the POA, Omega Man, Soylent Green....which still gives me the creeps. Edward G's last role, and he was great...

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