OHweather Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I see OHweather just scored a snow day (cold day).... Ohio Univ closed tomorrow. I was a little surprised, but not complaining. Tomorrow morning could hit -20F here without wind chill, so we'll see if we at least get a late start tomorrow (I have an early test otherwise ) I'm pretty sure Athens has also had more snow this week than I saw during my entire 4 years there! We got 1.1" Saturday, 3.7" Monday and 2.5" yestreday haha, so 7.3" in 5 days. We had snowier stretches last winter (and probably about 40" of seasonal snow, but I wasn't here all winter due to breaks and what not)...so two pretty good winters in a row here. ------------------------ Still not fully sampled, but it's intriguing to see this come in weaker once we get inside 3 days for the weekend system. Not what I was expecting. It's still possible that the shortwave comes in stronger and this bumps back north, but encouraging trends for a few inches for central Ohio Saturday into Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 The Hudson vortex is west of here. It may sample even further west in future runs. Even if the energy doesn't take hold and churn into a major storm torching us, there will be precip issues. Just the nature of the beast.U were saying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 U were saying? lol...I was going to bump some of his analolysis over the last few days.... ....but there were too many to choose from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 lol...I was going to bump some of his analolysis over the last few days.... ....but there were too many to choose from I mean right?!Euro about .4-.5 qpf on that 12z'er? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I mean right?! Euro about .4-.5 qpf on that 12z'er? Yea. Would be a solid 4-7" event I'd imagine. But, like I said I think 12z tomorrow is win or lose. We'll be inside 24hours at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 WSW and watches to our south...i am completely lost as to what to expect for this upcoming storm!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/newark-oh/43055/weather-forecast/18383_pc..Accu..is on something!! Click on Local..says 2-4 inches today..what in the world!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 WSW and watches to our south...i am completely lost as to what to expect for this upcoming storm!!That model flip must have convinced NWS jackson(?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 WSW and watches to our south...i am completely lost as to what to expect for this upcoming storm!!Haven't been following too closely eh lol. Here's my point forecastFriday Night A chance of snow after 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 9. Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Snow. High near 34. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Saturday Night Snow, mainly before 4am. Low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Sunday A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 5. Chance of precipitation is 30% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I am not ready to accept any solutions right now that give us snow (surprise!). Too much can change from now, either north or south. I think we probably see something, either at the beginning or end, but how much is the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 ILN keeps the rain/snow mix in the forecast for I-70 and south areas, but I haven't seen their AFD yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 One of the more seasoned TV mets down here in Cincy just sent his daily e-mail....regarding the weekend he writes: "At this point we are looking for accumulating snow Friday night into Saturday morning, a mix around midday, followed by some rain. This storm will be morphing as it develops and our forecast will go through some modification" I think at the very least we may be in for quick thump on the front end.....question is how far north the quality qpf can get to the river and north towards CMH. Too many variables to draw any conclusions at this point thru the next 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 As far as the cold, if the forecast through the rest of the month is anywhere close, we're looking at top 5 coldest February ever, and perhaps top 3. The mean could drop into the teens, something we've not seen for any month since December 1989, and an occurrence that has happened only 11 times in the last 137 years. If we were to use the current 7-day from ILN and the GFS the rest of the month, the mean would end up at 17.9, 2nd only to February 1978. The fact that we can even be talking about getting a driving rainstorm or being on the mix line in that kind of pattern is just annoying as all hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 waa events often over perform. There will be a lot of moisture streaming north over top of the cold air as it's in retreat.... I think this is a nice setup for us regardless if we get some pinging or drizzle mixed in or at the end. ILN going with a general 2-4" call. My guess is models start to come in a bit wetter in the next 24 hours and I think this one will meet low end warning criteria. jmho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 waa events often over perform. There will be a lot of moisture streaming north over top of the cold air as it's in retreat.... I think this is a nice setup for us regardless if we get some pinging or drizzle mixed in or at the end. ILN going with a general 2-4" call. My guess is models start to come in a bit wetter in the next 24 hours and I think this one will meet low end warning criteria. jmho I like how the Gulf is open 4 biz here so I don't want 2 jinx it but I think we may finally get an overperformer. Ugh, can't believe I just said that. Permission 2 bump this up later when we get our dusting. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 I like how the Gulf is open 4 biz here so I don't want 2 jinx it but I think we may finally get an overperformer. Ugh, can't believe I just said that. Permission 2 bump this up later when we get our dusting. Lol I agree..have had a feeling about this one..but afraid to jump to high..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 18Z GFS showing a nice bump in QPF and snow totals from central IN through central OH from the 12Z run FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Yes 18z GFS.. Looks like it tries to keep the rain/mix along I-71. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 NAM also did that, but to a lesser extent. Too bad we are in the "bullseye" over 24 hours out. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Not sure about the bullseye.. But tired of the dusting to 3 or less lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Question for you guys? The big dog in March 08 was on the 4-5 correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Question for you guys? The big dog in March 08 was on the 4-5 correct?I thought it was the 7th-8th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Question for you guys? The big dog in March 08 was on the 4-5 correct?Nope. Was on March 8thhttp://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_American_blizzard_of_2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Saved for posterity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Saved for posterity. I saw this earlier...temps are trending a bit lower also!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 waa events often over perform. There will be a lot of moisture streaming north over top of the cold air as it's in retreat.... I think this is a nice setup for us regardless if we get some pinging or drizzle mixed in or at the end. ILN going with a general 2-4" call. My guess is models start to come in a bit wetter in the next 24 hours and I think this one will meet low end warning criteria. jmho Couldn't handle the Debbie Downer role, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Couldn't handle the Debbie Downer role, eh? it was tough dude... I tried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Question for you guys? The big dog in March 08 was on the 4-5 correct? why? have you heard something?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Just a little clown fun!! http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays2-10to1.php3?STATIONID=ILN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Just a little clown fun!! http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays2-10to1.php3?STATIONID=ILN Hopefully we can trend back north a bit otherwise just be another run of the mill 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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