Whitelakeroy Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 we've got enough snow on the ground to cover the grass completely. However much that is, 2" . Nice light snow falling now. CMH should crack 20" today on the season if they haven't already. I think we have a solid chance to hit our seasonal average this year. Barring a major event, this winter will get filed away in the 'winters we won't ever remember' file.... as the vast majority usually do. I still think CMH will get in on a good snowstorm this winter ... lots of potential ahead especially as we get into March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Just heard KCVG has the most snow on the ground currently @ 8"; than at any time the last two winter seasons....granted-- it's the southern end of the forecast area - but that's the kind of drought the metro area has experienced from good hits down here. Now, go to the northern suburbs, particularly the NW suburbs and I would bet that's not the case due to many Mixers with a NW (Snow) to SE (Frzn-Rain). I am with Dilly on this weekend. KY got an even better coating than we did this morning----massive amounts of snow pack south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Just heard KCVG has the most snow on the ground currently @ 8"; than at any time the last two winter seasons....granted-- it's the southern end of the forecast area - but that's the kind of drought the metro area has experienced from good hits down here. Now, go to the northern suburbs, particularly the NW suburbs and I would bet that's not the case due to many Mixers with a NW (Snow) to SE (Frzn-Rain). I am with Dilly on this weekend. KY got an even better coating than we did this morning----massive amounts of snow pack south of here. I'm glad for you guys..... not to mention it's always a good thing to lay down snow to the south. It's encouraging that there's a solid snow field from Ohio to TN. Definitely will help make this weekend interesting, whatever happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I still think CMH will get in on a good snowstorm this winter ... lots of potential ahead especially as we get into March. I actually think so too. I think we have about a 2 week window of potential ahead of us. If we don't score it will be because of sh*t luck, not climo or a piss poor pattern. We are in the midst of CMH big dog season....last half of FEB into MARCH.... ps. nice steady light snow right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Most models showed southern Ohio getting 2-3". Actually looks crappy to me. Getting sheared apart as it moves across ohio. Was organized now it's just a torn up mess in pieces. Congrats though. Maybe you'll hit top end 3".Radar isn't picking it up well. Big flakes developing Ina DGZ pretty low to the ground. RAP shows lift maxed out in that growth zone 2.6" in Madeira! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I actually think so too. I think we have about a 2 week window of potential ahead of us. If we don't score it will be because of sh*t luck, not climo or a piss poor pattern. We are in the midst of CMH big dog season....last half of FEB into MARCH.... ps. nice steady light snow right now. Re: "Big Dog Season" - I was just telling someone yesterday-- the biggest snowfall event I recall was an 17-20 incher during my time at Ohio State - Late March/Early April 1987.....huge event. Obviously the blizzard of 78 was a massive overall event, but that was as much a flash freeze then 7-9 inches of snow with wind as opposed to double digit snow totals. BTW--88 event melted in 2 days--- in fact the Reds had opening day 2 day later in mid-60's weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Hopefully this will work in our favour this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Re: "Big Dog Season" - I was just telling someone yesterday-- the biggest snowfall event I recall was an 17-20 incher during my time at Ohio State - Late March/Early April 1987.....huge event. Obviously the blizzard of 78 was a massive overall event, but that was as much a flash freeze then 7-9 inches of snow with wind as opposed to double digit snow totals. BTW--88 event melted in 2 days--- in fact the Reds had opening day 2 day later in mid-60's weather. I remember that. I was just a kid living in north central OH when it happened. Picked up over a foot and it melted not long after. My parents said it was really warm before it hit too ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Re: "Big Dog Season" - I was just telling someone yesterday-- the biggest snowfall event I recall was an 17-20 incher during my time at Ohio State - Late March/Early April 1987.....huge event. Obviously the blizzard of 78 was a massive overall event, but that was as much a flash freeze then 7-9 inches of snow with wind as opposed to double digit snow totals. BTW--88 event melted in 2 days--- in fact the Reds had opening day 2 day later in mid-60's weather. that was CMH's biggest 24 hour snowfall until February 17th,2003 (PDII).... then that got beat by March'08. We just don't do early and mid-winter snowstorms very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Not going to write it off 4 to 5 days out. I'll wait til at least 12z Friday. I'm still optimistic about this one.Oh you know I'll be following it. Just not optimistic. And to clarify, getting a front end few inches followed by rain won't make me optimistic LOL might as well just be all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 we've got enough snow on the ground to cover the grass completely. However much that is, 2" . Nice light snow falling now. CMH should crack 20" today on the season if they haven't already. I think we have a solid chance to hit our seasonal average this year. Barring a major event, this winter will get filed away in the 'winters we won't ever remember' file.... as the vast majority usually do. The most positive thing one can say about this winter is that it's probably overachieving vs. the climo of a terrible December. I'll check again, but I don't think any winter with that statistic saw a colder than normal winter combined with snowier than normal. Hitting normal snowfall is about the absolute best we could've hoped for, even though it's happening in the absolute most boring way possible. At this point, February probably ends up a top 10 coldest on record, and the winter overall will end up pretty close, or maybe a bit below my original call of 27 degrees, which would be 4.1 degrees below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Snow looks like it's wrapping up. Picked up @ 1". Chris Bradley on FB mentioned something about snow squalls this afternoon ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherzen Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The timing of this inch or so of snow had a huge impact on Columbus traffic! Salt doesn't seem to be working in these temperatures. Every road I was on was clogged this morning. Definition of a nuisance snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's the newest snow spotter for downtown C---- http://wildlife.ohiodnr.gov/falconcam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Gotta love the 12Z GFS. Ice age, then a soaking rain this weekend, and then another ice age returns. My patience is really being tested! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Gotta love the 12Z GFS. Ice age, then a soaking rain this weekend, and then another ice age returns. My patience is really being tested! Who will be foolish enough to bet against this very scenario occurring in reality? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 wow....tailored made runs for my Debbie downing. Let's see what happens by Friday's 00z runs.... if the north route is undeniable then I'll be rooting hard for a stronger solution....wind it up and send it to central MI, nothing to stop it if it decides to go neg... maybe we can hit 60 and thunderstorms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 ohhhh geeez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 We're getting high ratio snow showers here, probably close to 2". I'll take it when peaking at the models for this weekend (if I-70 is sweating it, US 50 is screwed ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 We're getting high ratio snow showers here, probably close to 2". I'll take it when peaking at the models for this weekend (if I-70 is sweating it, US 50 is screwed ) we might be sweating...literally sweating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Oh you know I'll be following it. Just not optimistic. And to clarify, getting a front end few inches followed by rain won't make me optimistic LOL might as well just be all rain. Actually think it would be opposite if nothing else. Rain followed by a couple backend inches. But im gonna hold put til 12z Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 ohhhh geeez He's getting as bad as JB. First off with his LOW track we'd be all snow in central ohio. But he posts maps way to early and he has been wrong on every map hrs posted this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Actually think it would be opposite if nothing else. Rain followed by a couple backend inches. But im gonna hold put til 12z Friday. for good backlash we usually need more of a south to north track over us. These sw to ne events warm tongue us and then dry slot us. LC is infamously way too south with his snowstorms..... JB has corrected himself in the last year or two, but he is still too south as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 for good backlash we usually need more of a south to north track over us. These sw to ne events warm tongue us and then dry slot us. LC is infamously way too south with his snowstorms..... JB has corrected himself in the last year or two, but he is still too south as well. Well apparently he deleted me on facebook lol. I disagreed with him on one of the previous systems and he must've blocked me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 This may turn out to be worse than the SB storm. Noon GEM is heading like a rocket to Toledo. Buck maybe right on an eventual track to Central Michigan. Mother nature is b**ch slapping the buckeye state with sub zero temps the next couple days and then rain and well up into the 40's Saturday if the GEM is right. The trend north on this is unmistakable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 At this point, I kind of hope this keeps going way north, and we get thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 So -20 Friday morning to 45 saturday? I'm sorry I am not buying that solution yet. That would have to be one of the biggest swings in recorded history for Ohio. JB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I guess nothing would surprise me at this point. Map says it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I posted in the other thread that we could end up with a front end thump of something with this. Euro and ggem are streaking a lot moisture out ahead of the developing low along the front. They both show plenty of moisture arriving before the cold air erodes. Then as the storm heads northeast we actually dryslot. This is not an unprecedented set up. We've had large front end dumps before with storms taking unfavorable tracks. That might be our best hope at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 And after the Saturday day at the beach interlude...the Euro has us back in the freezer for the next week with no hints of snow...just snow showers.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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