uncle W Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 this August reminds me a little of August 1960...A late season warm up wasn't enough to wipe out the monthly negatives...I'm liking 1960 more and more as an analog even though it was a weak negative enso year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 With the first 3 plus weeks of August done the cool anomalies are strong. We'll see how the coming warmup factors in over the next week. 8/24 - 8/31 should see overall positive departures of 3 - 6 degrees which will likely bring places close to a degree of normal. The period should also include the next shot at widespread 90(+) degree readings Wed/thu (8/27 - 28) and perhaps again by 8/30. NYC: -1.6 EWR: -2.1 LGA: -2.1 JFK: -1.3 Yeah running some larger departures to the sw with -3 degrees here but as you said the coming warmth will eat into those . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 Cloudy here now for a bit temp down to 78 from 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 Another day with clouds and onshore flow with temps staying in the 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 Another day with clouds and onshore flow with temps staying in the 70's. Reached 82 here by about 1245 then mainly cloudy since then - turned into a bleh kinda day. Sat shows more breaks and areas that remained mostly sunny. so not a complete cloudy day for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 Reached 82 here by about 1245 then mainly cloudy since then - turned into a bleh kinda day. Sat shows more breaks and areas that remained mostly sunny. so not a complete cloudy day for all. SACRUS... What is your location? I see your sig says NYC-NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 SACRUS... What is your location? I see your sig says NYC-NJ. Mostly in CNJ (Monroe, Middlesex) these days but still have a place in Brooklyn and often spend time in SI at nieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 Gorgeous full sun and blue skies at beach today....one of if not the best beach days of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 24, 2014 Share Posted August 24, 2014 IThe ridging did arrive and develop (for the second half od August) as modeled in early august but the heat as later modeled was going to be delayed due to undercutting of the ridge and an easterly flow. Overall, the period 8/18 - early September should still be on the warm side and we'll see how much heat can develop. Going for stronger heat is recent dryness but the seasonal trend certainly does argue against it. But the pattern has seemed to shift to one that favors ridging into the east and only transient troughs followed by higher heights returning back. More interesting will be how the tropics will respond to this ridging. Cristobal is still tied in with some current troughing but the one after it will be interesting with all that ridging building in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 Gorgeous full sun and blue skies at beach today....one of if not the best beach days of the year Agreed, spent the day at the shore today for the first time in a while. It was beautiful. A light breeze off the water, too, but not a strong or uncomfortable seabreeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 Agreed, spent the day at the shore today for the first time in a while. It was beautiful. A light breeze off the water, too, but not a strong or uncomfortable seabreeze. OMG! John lives! How has your summer been? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 Today's Highs: TEB:82 NYC: 80 EWR: 81 LGA: 80 JFK: 81 ISP: 79 New Brunswick: 81 TTN: 81 ACY: 77 PHL: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 pretty warm across LI today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 86 here... actually feels like summer today... am low of 59 was nice though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 The 12z NAM had potential for some isolated strong to severe t-storms on Wednesday afternoon, with the cold front. MLCAPE is 1749 J/kg and shear is ok. BRN numbers aren't too high.The 12z GFS is less enthused with a deeper NW flow and EML keep in environment more capped and stable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 NYC over performing today on warmth, 88F so far. Hotter than EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 this is probably why. move the ASOS away from that tree canopy and it would be similar to/beat ewr much more consistently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 NYC over performing today on warmth, 88F so far. Hotter than EWR.For whatever reason, starting on the 19th NYC has been running higher than EWR on max temps... prior to that not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 Eastport,NY at 89 last hour. There's very little wind out there today. http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=TS248 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 For whatever reason, starting on the 19th NYC has been running higher than EWR on max temps... prior to that not so much. Probably more easterly flow off the bay keeping Newark cooler like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 Probably more easterly flow off the bay keeping Newark cooler like today. go.cgi.gif Meanwhile LDJ hit 91 and has been running 3-4 degrees too high the past month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 Meanwhile LDJ hit 91 and has been running 3-4 degrees too high the past monthThere was a note in the discussion out of Upton the other day, that the thermo at LDJ has been running high and the problem has been referred to the FAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 Maybe multiple 90s tomorrow and Wednesday, a rare feat this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 12Z ECMWF indicates a scorcher (for this year's standards) on Sunday, August 31st with low-mid 90s. The late August heat may not be off the table just yet. GFS is in agreement on a hot 31st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 I knew we wouldn't get away with it. I'd rather have July and August break heat records if it means a cool September. I hate warm Septembers. Hopefully this all goes away after the first few days into the new month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 12Z ECMWF indicates a scorcher (for this year's standards) on Sunday, August 31st with low-mid 90s. The late August heat may not be off the table just yet. GFS is in agreement on a hot 31st. this map shows how western Staten Island can be as hot as any place on the map while southern Brooklyn remains a few degrees cooler if there is a southerly wind...My old house in Brooklyn was always cooler in the Summer unless there was a west to north wind...When I moved to Staten Island I noticed temperatures here are similar to Newark but a lot cooler near the eastern shore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 25, 2014 Share Posted August 25, 2014 I knew we wouldn't get away with it. I'd rather have July and August break heat records if it means a cool September. I hate warm Septembers. Hopefully this all goes away after the first few days into the new month. It sucks a lot. Why couldn't we have this weeks ago. What's the point now when everything's going to be closing down, the end of vacation and BBQ season, and rapidly losing daylight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 26, 2014 Share Posted August 26, 2014 It sucks a lot. Why couldn't we have this weeks ago. What's the point now when everything's going to be closing down, the end of vacation and BBQ season, and rapidly losing daylight. Ironically September is probably the nicest month of the year to be at the Jersey Shore. No crowds, and still sufficient weather for beach/pool on the majority of days. I've always thought that the September-October period was probably the most sunny/pleasant period of the year in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 26, 2014 Share Posted August 26, 2014 Ironically September is probably the nicest month of the year to be at the Jersey Shore. No crowds, and still sufficient weather for beach/pool on the majority of days. I've always thought that the September-October period was probably the most sunny/pleasant period of the year in our area. Yeah I never understood why people flee after labor day...the 2nd/3rd weeks of September's the best time to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 26, 2014 Share Posted August 26, 2014 Love warm septembers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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