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Hurricane Arthur


CT Rain

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KEWB 042053Z 36010G19KT 1 1/2SM +RA BR FEW006 SCT015 OVC030 19/18 A2984 RMK AO2

SLP105 P0106 60322 T01890183 57011=

Pretty rare to see a 6pppp that high in these parts...especially when it's only 3hrs.

 

And the airport was north of the heavy stuff too!

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Yes - but wouldn't the trend be important rather than actual value? 

 

I would say so, yes... 

 

The only caveat would be if you noticed a coincident drop in ZDR but still high reflectivities.  In that case R(KDP) error would also be spiking.  But even still, weaker updrafts that would cause the shift to smaller drops more times than not would also indicate a drop in rain rate, so you'd probably still be correct to use the trend.

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DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST. ARTHUR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL PASS SOUTHEAST OF NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT...AND BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA EARLY ON
SATURDAY...AND OVER THE GULF OF ST. LAWRENCE SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SATURDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

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Hi All, just wanted to report some banner weather here on Fishers Island today. What began this morning with glowering skies and peals of thunder rolling across the Sound has transitioned into a pretty decent little gale. Whitecap spangled waves, leaves and small limbs flying, torrential rain, enormous puddles, all the good stuff. The wind has really mounted in the last hour or so out of the north. Nothing too extraordinary, but a nice roar through the trees on the exposed northern lee of the island. Reminds me a bit of Bertha. Now methinks it's time to sip a dark and stormy and watch the waves crash ashore. Happy Independence Day!

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