IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Over 3" of rain and the only talk of the town is a weenie model showing a few inches of snow over someone's back yard. It has zero chance of happening. Zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 The RAP shows the last band of precip falling into air all levels below freezing it seems except the surface, which hovers in the mid to upper 30s, for NENJ/NYC and Long Island. Still shows another 1/2 inch to 1 inch to come regardless of what it is (99.5% sure it'll be rain) Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Over 3" of rain and the only talk of the town is a weenie model showing a few inches of snow over someone's back yard. It has zero chance of happening. Zero. True. What happened in N MD wont happen anywhere else with this storm. Everything came together right there with the ull. Pretty much like all winter lol. Manchester MD has 80+ inches of snow for the winter-spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 True. What happened in N MD wont happen anywhere else with this storm. Everything came together right there with the ull. Pretty much like all winter lol. Manchester MD has 80+ inches of snow for the winter-spring. I agree, although I think western CT has a chance at some snow accumulating at higher elevations later on Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Over 3" of rain and the only talk of the town is a weenie model showing a few inches of snow over someone's back yard. It has zero chance of happening. Zero. Its a weather forum. We can talk about anything. 3" of rain fell so its wet outside..that's about the extent of it unless you live near a river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 I agree, although I think western CT has a chance at some snow accumulating at higher elevations later on Sent from my iPhone Yeah there could be a few inches there, so not to say no place will see snow. NE PA also could see an inch or 2 tonight. But heavy snow with 6+ inches? probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Yeah there could be a few inches there, so not to say no place will see snow. NE PA also could see an inch or 2 tonight. But heavy snow with 6+ inches? probably not. NEW YORK ...BROOME COUNTY... E PORT CRANE 8.0 945 PM 3/30 ELEVATION 1460 FEET 2 S KIRKWOOD 6.0 916 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER WEST WINDSOR 6.0 850 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK WEST COLESVILLE 6.0 910 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK 2 NNE DUNBAR 5.3 845 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER PORT CRANE 5.0 900 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK PENNSYLVANIA ...LUZERNE COUNTY... MOUNTAIN TOP 2.5 954 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER KINGSTON 2.1 938 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER ...SUSQUEHANNA COUNTY... ELK LAKE 3.0 700 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK HALLSTEAD 3.0 830 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK 7 NE FRIENDSVILLE 2.0 630 PM 3/30 PUBLIC MONTROSE 2.0 700 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK ...WAYNE COUNTY... PLEASANT MOUNT 1.0 805 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER ...WYOMING COUNTY... TUNKHANNOCK 5.0 730 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER LAKE CAREY 4.0 730 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK More to come tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 At the moment, areas south of utica, such as Norwich, NY are getting hammered.surprisingly, there should be a pretty large area of 5-10" of snow Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 True. What happened in N MD wont happen anywhere else with this storm. Everything came together right there with the ull. Pretty much like all winter lol. Manchester MD has 80+ inches of snow for the winter-spring. Parts of the Binghamton CWA have been upgraded to WSW's with expectations of 10" or more of snow in spots. http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ056&warncounty=NYC007&firewxzone=NYZ056&local_place1=&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning#.UzjVpvldWZo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 NEW YORK ...BROOME COUNTY... E PORT CRANE 8.0 945 PM 3/30 ELEVATION 1460 FEET 2 S KIRKWOOD 6.0 916 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER WEST WINDSOR 6.0 850 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK WEST COLESVILLE 6.0 910 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK 2 NNE DUNBAR 5.3 845 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER PORT CRANE 5.0 900 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK PENNSYLVANIA ...LUZERNE COUNTY... MOUNTAIN TOP 2.5 954 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER KINGSTON 2.1 938 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER ...SUSQUEHANNA COUNTY... ELK LAKE 3.0 700 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK HALLSTEAD 3.0 830 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK 7 NE FRIENDSVILLE 2.0 630 PM 3/30 PUBLIC MONTROSE 2.0 700 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK ...WAYNE COUNTY... PLEASANT MOUNT 1.0 805 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER ...WYOMING COUNTY... TUNKHANNOCK 5.0 730 PM 3/30 TRAINED SPOTTER LAKE CAREY 4.0 730 PM 3/30 FACEBOOK More to come tonight... Context of the conv was wrt to NYC and close by areas where no snow is in the forecast. Thats a different world out in those places. There are advisories for interior areas NW of Conn, where snow was expected. We are talking places where there is little or no snow in the forecast tonight, but the HRRR is suggesting it. That was the case in MD. No snow was forecast, no advisory, until there was already 2-3 inches on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 It is very interesting though that even the newest RAP coming out now does show colder air at all levels (including the surface) coming in to western Long Island (a very small area) while some heavier precip is falling. Even west of there in NENJ/NYC it's a tad bit warmer and would stay mainly rain. I'm sure this is due to the heavier precip and due to the elevation it most certainly will not accumulate except a light dusting on some surfaces, at most.....but flakes are a definite possibility for a small area around here Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 It is very interesting though that even the newest RAP coming out now does show colder air at all levels (including the surface) coming in to western Long Island (a very small area) while some heavier precip is falling. Even west of there in NENJ/NYC it's a tad bit warmer and would stay mainly rain. I'm sure this is due to the heavier precip and due to the elevation it most certainly will not accumulate except a light dusting on some surfaces, at most.....but flakes are a definite possibility for a small area around here Sent from my iPhone Fwiw the HRRR did a pretty good job locating the heavy snow area that fell earlier over N MD into PA. But that was with the upper low which is clearly weakening over the past couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Context of the conv was wrt to NYC and close by areas where no snow is in the forecast. Thats a different world out in those places. There are advisories for interior areas NW of Conn, where snow was expected. We are talking places where there is little or no snow in the forecast tonight, but the HRRR is suggesting it. That was the case in MD. No snow was forecast, no advisory, until there was already 2-3 inches on the ground. I have wintry precip in my forecast and I'm in Uptons CWA.. There is an advisory for NW NJ as well. Both places are within the tri-state area. No one is expecting snow in and around immediate NYC. Whoever is is gonna be greatly disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 It may snow but it's not going to accumulate more than a slushy dusting at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 I have wintry precip in my forecast and I'm in Uptons CWA.. There is an advisory for NW NJ as well. Both places are within the tri-state area. No one is expecting snow in and around immediate NYC. Whoever is is gonna be greatly disappointed. Yes but you seemed to be keying on my statement that no place will likely see 6+ inches tonight. Looking at the models, most places overnight that are going to get snow, are going to see relatively minor amounts. I realize there are places in NY and PA that have received more than 6 inches, but most of that fell earlier today into the evening. And yeah it seems unlikely that the city and immediate surrounds will see more than some flakes in the air, but thats what sparked this discussion...the HRRR and RAP suggesting the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 I agree, although I think western CT has a chance at some snow accumulating at higher elevations later on Sent from my iPhone Looking at the radar, precip seems to be on the increase in SE Mass. Perhaps it rotates down thru W. CT and then LI. The band to our west appears to be dying out. That's the only explaination I have for the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Looking at the radar, precip seems to be on the increase in SE Mass. Perhaps it rotates down thru W. CT and then LI. The band to our west appears to be dying out. That's the only explaination I have for the HRRR. That's exactly what it does if you loop the composite radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Looking at the radar, precip seems to be on the increase in SE Mass. Perhaps it rotates down thru W. CT and then LI. The band to our west appears to be dying out. That's the only explaination I have for the HRRR. Yep, that's kinda what the RAP and HRRR show, however the snow (if it happens) would probably not occur until 5-7 am tmrw morning for that area Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 2.21" storm total so far, just some mist currently. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 2.05" here Temp is 35.8f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Gusty out there tonight. My anemometer is down but I would guess I'm gusting to 30-35 mph... enough to make windows creak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 HRRR has trended colder and the Mesoscale page seems to agree with it...I doubt this will accumulate as its probably picking up mostly sleet and rain judging from the 925mb temps but would be an unexpected sight (even for people on here) lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Mostly rain buy a few wet flakes in there....cool to see this late in the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Wind, wet flakes and 32*. Time to go to work.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LHSnow Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Wet snow and 34F - it is not sticking - Laurel Hollow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Heavy sleet in selden,NY almost immediately started to stick to grassy surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Wet snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Snowing in Long Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 31, 2014 Share Posted March 31, 2014 Snowing moderately in selden,NY and sticking to everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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