earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Slammed with the CCB at 42 hr. 850 0c line over the Nass/Suff Co border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 And still going at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 12z GGEM. Low is further east than previous runs. Near the benchmark . This map looks like a beautiful set up for a big thump for snow for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro is slightly colder and further south with the low. NYC northward gets hammered from the front end and then the beautiful CCB. Nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Huge CCB at hour 42-48 as temps crash. If we do dry slot it's only south and east areas. Interior the JP zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Doesn't end until mid to late morning on Friday. The Euro is spitting out 1.5"+ for all areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Huge CCB at hour 42-48 as temps crash. If we do dry slot it's only south and east areas. Interior the JP zone. What is the eastward extent of the CCB across LI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Looks like 12"+ run for NYC metro and LI from both the front end and CCB. Was the front end as aggressive with accumulations of 12-15" widespread as the GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What is the eastward extent of the CCB across LI? It extends into LI but the main focus is from Morristown north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What is the eastward extent of the CCB across LI? Im going to be concerned with that as well. From what Dsnow said it shouldnt weaken at all but rather more concerned of having enough of an easterly component to deliver across LI as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 "KNYC gets 0.67" of precip through 18z Thursday when the heaviest precip has moved out and 850mb temps climb to -0.1C" accuweather forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 How Many miles off the coast is the Benchmark?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What is the eastward extent of the CCB across LI? Three hours faster than the GFS was bringing the 850 zero line across western LI. I am not sure if it has a warm pocket just below at 900 mb yet like GFS had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The Euro is now very similar to the Canadian in handling the 850mb low. This is as warm as it gets at the 850mb level (may be a brief spike between hours that isn't pictured here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Another 20 mile s.e tick and u have a pretty big change of the totals in nyc vs what is forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The 850 0C line is definitely a bit south at 30 hours compared to where the NAM and GFS have it. Great sign for the front-end-thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What is the eastward extent of the CCB across LI? The high resolution regional Euro shows that the regular OP is smoothing the CCB development. The high resolution has the best banding from NE PA and High point northward to Binghamton. But there is still good precipitation all the way into NYC and LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I wonder why the GFS is so much farther east with the CCB...Euro makes more sense I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The high resolution regional Euro shows that the regular OP is smoothing the CCB development. The high resolution has the best banding from NE PA and High point northward to Binghamton. But there is still good precipitation all the way into NYC and LI. The details of this are probably still going to change significantly, but a good front end dump seems like a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The Euro is now very similar to the Canadian in handling the 850mb low. This is as warm as it gets at the 850mb level (may be a brief spike between hours that isn't pictured here) euro850.png Do you think that the storm can be colder than this? Even the UKMET and GGEM are colder than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The 850 0C line is definitely a bit south at 30 hours compared to where the NAM and GFS have it. Great sign for the front-end-thump. I think it's seeing slightly better CAD with the Arctic high to the north holding on a hour or two longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The high resolution regional Euro shows that the regular OP is smoothing the CCB development. The high resolution has the best banding from NE PA and High point northward to Binghamton. But there is still good precipitation all the way into NYC and LI. I hate to ask an imby question but I'm off to go skiing. .. wondering the westward and southward extent of the ccb. Aka does it stretch back towards trenton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The high resolution regional Euro shows that the regular OP is smoothing the CCB development. The high resolution has the best banding from NE PA and High point northward to Binghamton. But there is still good precipitation all the way into NYC and LI. Does the backend deformation band reach back SW into Central Jersey or even down to Philly? Lots of folks on this thread from those areas. Sorry if that's too much of an imby question.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 1.5" QPF total in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Another 20 mile s.e tick and u have a pretty big change of the totals in nyc vs what is forecast You got that right. I was just going to post that myself. This is really starting to get exciting now. You are literally talking just another tick south and east between already good snowfall totals and prolific ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Does the backend deformation band reach back SW into Central Jersey or even down to Philly? Lots of folks on this thread from those areas. Sorry if that's too much of an imby question.... I just did the same. .. often times the pbp forgets my area and yours. I understand it's nyc Metro forum but share the love lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GGEM has a band of 30+mm falling as snow from Northeast NJ into NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I hate to ask an imby question but I'm off to go skiing. .. wondering the westward and southward extent of the ccb. Aka does it stretch back towards trenton It develops basically from Trenton northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I really wouldn't count on the Euro being wrong. Its slight shift to the southeast today likely means that it's done correcting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GGEM has a band of 30+mm falling as snow from Northeast NJ into NYC That is from the CCB or the front end thump or both john? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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