EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 34 degrees and a winter wonderland. Congrats to Steve and PSUhoffman for getting in on the action today. Gotta go clear off the slush as we await round #2 of #3... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 So after 3-4" snow today here, there are prospects for a 6+ snowstorm Wednesday. As noted last thread, my main concern is that WAA is underforecast again and we wind up with more sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yes congrats to some of our Northern friends glad to see you in the action and for those missing this one your time is tomorrow night/Wednesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 So after 3-4" snow today here, there are prospects for a 6+ snowstorm Wednesday. As noted last thread, my main concern is that WAA is underforecast again and we wind up with more sleet. Rather have freezing rain than sleet. I hate sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Dang sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Dang sleet. Yep, and the melting layer is above 850 too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 My Wednesday guess... Snowcast: Sleetcast*: Icecast: Both ptype and amounts are in question, of course, and it wouldn't shock me to see verifications quite different from this, especially in the south-central part of PA. *I also think I overestimated the sleet-to-liquid ratio (was thinking more 5:1 rather than 3:1 for some reason), so maybe cut the sleet accumulations down by about 1/2 or 1/3 to get a more realistic value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Rather have freezing rain than sleet. I hate sleet.ZR creates serious issues that threaten many lives; sleet is heavy and loud.Never wish for zr. Never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Sleet sounding for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Rather have freezing rain than sleet. I hate sleet. Lol, you're insane. I'd rather torch in a cutter to 50 degrees than have freezing rain. Sleet is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 My Wednesday guess... Both ptype and amounts are in question, of course, and it wouldn't shock me to see verifications quite different from this, especially in the south-central part of PA. *I also think I overestimated the sleet-to-liquid ratio (was thinking more 5:1 rather than 3:1 for some reason), so maybe cut the sleet accumulations down by about 1/3 to get a more realistic value. Nice maps...agree on the sleet #s...3-4" of sleet is pretty hard to attain. 10" would thrill me. My parents report a storm total of 8" for today in Lebanon County. Sounds like they are reconsidering not buying a snow blower this year after shoveling all of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Being in the endless sleet zone in 2007 can bring disdain for it, it is still a much better sounding then freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice maps...agree on the sleet #s...3-4" of sleet is pretty hard to attain. 10" would thrill me. My parents report a storm total of 8" for today in Lebanon County. Sounds like they are reconsidering not buying a snow blower this year after shoveling all of it. 9-10" would be awesome... not confident we'll have enough actual liquid to deliver that much just yet, but the Euro definitely pushed me in that direction. The NAM being closer to 0.75" is somewhat concerning, but I think the whole storm is too far north on the NAM, and so I expect the heavy band on the north side to actually be over north-central PA rather than south-central NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vogan Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What an awesome storm! I ended up with 8.5" of snow and sleet which melted down to 1.21" of liquid. Under normal circumstances this would have been our foot of snow but in this case it was only a 7:1 ratio. I've got some aching muscles to prove it. Be careful what you wish for! Edit: We had some rain before the change over to sleet as well in that total so the ratio will be a bit higher for the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 GFS is pretty sleety here but, still icy as well. Might pull the ice double barrel shot. 1-2" sleet to .25-.50" freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 34 degrees and a winter wonderland. Congrats to Steve and PSUhoffman for getting in on the action today. Gotta go clear off the slush as we await round #2 of #3... Thanks! We ended up here with 5.75". Not too bad for a storm that was only supposed to produce 1-2 inches for the immediate area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Just want to throw in a huge thank you to everyone, especially the experts. I come across as a weather guru at work because of the great information here. Sure beats the media (no offense Allweather). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm going with 5.9" officially... 3.4" since 7am melted down to .31"... ratio a little over 10:1 which is higher than I expected... that last inch likely changed that... going to melt a core sample and see how much liquid is in the 5.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Mallow dont think we see enough precip for to high of amounts but everything else looks good!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What a nice surprise here. Was only expecting 1-2. 3.5" was nice. Mom said she measured 4.5" back home. Bringing seasonal total up to 51.5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Mallow dont think we see enough precip for to high of amounts but everything else looks good!! You're in a great spot for at least 8 inches I would say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 My Wednesday guess... Snowcast: 20140205snowcast.png Sleetcast*: 20140205sleetcast.png Icecast: 20140205icecast.png Both ptype and amounts are in question, of course, and it wouldn't shock me to see verifications quite different from this, especially in the south-central part of PA. *I also think I overestimated the sleet-to-liquid ratio (was thinking more 5:1 rather than 3:1 for some reason), so maybe cut the sleet accumulations down by about 1/2 or 1/3 to get a more realistic value. Nice map. Echoes my thoughts pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laurel Highlands Wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Also congrats to everyone who cashed in. Especially Voyager and psuhoffman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 5.1" from 1.04" liquid Around .30" fell as rain Cashtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Rather have freezing rain than sleet. I hate sleet. Get enough sleet to anchor the pack and it'll be around til the end of March or so if we end up with that weekend storm haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Mallow dont think we see enough precip for to high of amounts but everything else looks good!! You may very well be right, and it probably would have been safer to go with the lower guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 18z GFS still looks great for the weekend, too! Except maybe for the immediate Philly metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm thinking 4 to 7 for both of us Mallow...going with latest qpf and chance of mixing. I'll take it a million times though!! edit: Nam has us both at .7 total so cutting back a bit 5 looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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