NortheastPAWx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm going to say that at 12z tomorrow the nam will have its weenie run. Who agrees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 21z SREFs 12 hour snowfall probability (7pm Tues - 7am Wed): 12" in 12 hours, now that would be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 State College - Williamsport jackpot. You guys truly deserve it, I am rooting for you!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 SREF plume dprog/dt show a decreasing chance of plain across S PA, now down to ~10% for any given time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This might become majority snow for MDT - that'd be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 This might become majority snow for MDT - that'd be something.We may have just finished our second biggest storm of the year today if these trends continue. With no big warm up on the horizon, a foot of paste could stick around for a long time. Not counting whatever happens this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I would love for us all to get a nice snow! It's possible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just for posterity. Weekend event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lol, get your snowmobile out Eastern. It's looking more and more like sig. snows down to LSV and even Euswx territory. York and Lancaster still look like ground zero for ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just for posterity. Weekend event. No 30 to 36 panels. Throw it out! Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Lol, get your snowmobile out Eastern. It's looking more and more like sig. snows down to LSV and even Euswx territory. York and Lancaster still look like ground zero for ZR. Bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 State College - Williamsport jackpot. You guys truly deserve it, I am rooting for you!!Thanks Joe!Just wondering what time is this storm suppose to start tomorrow? 7-8 pm Edit: I-83 Wow that is unreal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Bring it. Good luck down there Meddler, hope you guys get in on more snow, but those 2m temps do not want to budge. Copious precip too, it could be pretty darn serious unfortunately. Lancaster Co. seems to be in the way of a major icestorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 Any notice CTP already has a 70%, snow likely for Sunday? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Any notice CTP already has a 70%, snow likely for Sunday? lol 60% here, but yeah, that's quite a signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNAO Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Hey everyone, how is York looking right by the college? Bad freezing rain event for us? Or rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Hey everyone, how is York looking right by the college? Bad freezing rain event for us? Or rain?Left side of college, lots of zr. Right side, you need a plow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 York seems to be a worrisome spot for excessive ZR. Also Lancaster and NW Philly burbs. Fire up the generators...man that stuff is brutal. Hoping the CAD is strong enough to get snow down to the MD/PA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNAO Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Left side of college, lots of zr. Right side, you need a plow. How about literally on campus lol. Thanks man. Yeah I have never had a zr storm in my life. Only 18, back home in West Chester,PA I remember snowmaggeddon which was amazing. But I rather have rain than freezing rain, I hear it is very bad and dangerous. Thanks for the replies fellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 My parking lot... is an ice rink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 York seems to be a worrisome spot for excessive ZR. Also Lancaster and NW Philly burbs. Fire up the generators...man that stuff is brutal. Hoping the CAD is strong enough to get snow down to the MD/PA border.zr is looking less of a major/devastating issue in lieu of a sleetfest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Actually, I think Hburg is looking snowier and snowier. But York south and east still could have some significant ice totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 zr is looking less of a major/devastating issue in lieu of a sleetfest. Rt. 30 is looking to be the dividing line between SN/IP to the N and ZR to the S. Right on the line is the worst as the rain is so supercooled that it freezes instantly on impact, even when moderate rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Rt. 30 is looking to be the dividing line between SN/IP to the N and ZR to the S. Exactly. I think Chambersburg to York to Lancaster south and east could be in trouble with large amounts of ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Right on the line is the worst as the rain is so supercooled that it freezes pretty much instantly on impact, even when moderate rates. http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/210/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It's going to be REALLY interesting how high we can get tomorrow, my guess is that temps are going to under perform tomorrow with the snowpack and the clouds moving in. NAM has dense clouds 15kft thick from 250 to 500mb from 11a to sundown tomorrow. If places that are going to get ZR don't get above, lets call it 26 tomorrow, there's going to be trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 If we get a big ice event, then whatever snowpack we have will turn into a glacier, possibly lasting for weeks. I've always wanted to see that happen since I've heard of such stories from 93-94, and as great as 09-10 was, it didn't really provide that opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mupawxnut Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It's going to be REALLY interesting how high we can get tomorrow, my guess is that temps are going to under perform tomorrow with the snowpack and the clouds moving in. NAM has dense clouds 15kft thick from 250 to 500mb from 11a to sundown tomorrow. If places that are going to get ZR don't get above, lets call it 26 tomorrow, there's going to be trouble. How much ice accretion would you say Millersville gets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It's going to be REALLY interesting how high we can get tomorrow, my guess is that temps are going to under perform tomorrow with the snowpack and the clouds moving in. NAM has dense clouds 15kft thick from 250 to 500mb from 11a to sundown tomorrow. If places that are going to get ZR don't get above, lets call it 26 tomorrow, there's going to be trouble. I'm very concerned at the timing of this. Really couldn't be worse for a large zr. accretion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 GFS still warmer at surface vs any other model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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