JSantanaNYC Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This will be an amazing stretch for LI.... 6 inches Monday. 6-10 inches on Wednesday with IP and ZR at end, and potentially a 12 incher plus next weekend. There could really be 30-40 inch snow pack on the ground from 2/10 to 2/20. Think this will be a historic I'monce in a lifetime 8 day span,,, looks like a lock.... You are too conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 New SREFS went quite a bit further north, looks like .50 QPF to around NYC. The ARW Members Are Gorgeous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This will be an amazing stretch for LI.... 6 inches Monday. 6-10 inches on Wednesday with IP and ZR at end, and potentially a 12 incher plus next weekend. There could really be 30-40 inch snow pack on the ground from 2/10 to 2/20. Think this will be a historic once in a lifetime 8 day span,,, looks like a lock.... You sir have got a BIG set of coconuts making an outlandish call like that. Ill give it you have some guts putting yourself out there like that but try and be a bit more....reasonable lol. P.S. would love for it to happen but its way too off for that talk my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This will be an amazing stretch for LI.... 6 inches Monday. 6-10 inches on Wednesday with IP and ZR at end, and potentially a 12 incher plus next weekend. There could really be 20-30 inch snow pack on the ground from 2/10 to 2/20. Think this will be a historic once in a lifetime 8 day span,,, looks like a lock.... The 2/8 to 2/9 looks like a blizzard potential event. You just jinxed us, thanks! Let's try and take it one storm at a time. Monday is looking better as SREFs keep inching North with the .5 QPF line & leave it at that for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scooter13 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Monday 4-6 inches Wednesday 6-10 followed by IP and ZR glaze Saturday into Sunday 12-18 inches with possible blizzard. Wednesday looks a lot more wet than white right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 This will be an amazing stretch for LI.... 6 inches Monday. 6-10 inches on Wednesday with IP and ZR at end, and potentially a 12 incher plus next weekend. There could really be 20-30 inch snow pack on the ground from 2/10 to 2/20. Think this will be a historic once in a lifetime 8 day span,,, looks like a lock.... The 2/8 to 2/9 looks like a blizzard potential event. We will likely have for the first time snow piles survive until Memorial Day on Long Island. I would place bets on that if I could.... If I am correct with this post, and I mean correct with snowfall and duration, please remove the 5 post limit. Here are my numbers.. I am riding this and will go with this until proven wrong... Monday 4-6 inches Wednesday 6-10 followed by IP and ZR glaze Saturday into Sunday 12-18 inches with possible blizzard. Sorry, anyone who posts something beyond 2-3 days as a "lock" deserves the moron tag. You may end up being "right" but not because you know anything about chaotic, extremely unpredictable phenomena, like the weather, but because you got lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Wednesday looks a lot more wet than white right now Monday looked like clear skies...24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 For you (Monmouth County) or the city proper? Looks fine for the city, your typical snowstorm for the area..30°-33° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 KNYC down thru Philly and as far south and east as Monmouth county Hr 48. 850 minus 2. Surface 30 Hr 54 . 850 minus 3 surface 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 We will likely have for the first time snow piles survive until Memorial Day on Long Island. I would place bets on that if I could.... If I am correct with this post, and I mean correct with snowfall and duration, please remove the 5 post limit. Here are my numbers.. I am riding this and will go with this until proven wrong... You can place a bet. I will wager any amount of $ on your Memorial Day snow pile lock... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Oh geez euro is 6-8" for phl through interior SNJ wow....shows 3-5" here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 There might still be some room for this to nudge a little further north. I'm liking where most of us sit for a nice, potentially significant snow event. RIght now I'd say high advisory criteria but if 0.50"+ liquid works out, there could be a 6-8" swath. Ratios won't be great but still could be 12-1 or so. It might be a little warm to start for places like Belmar, but it cools down very fast and the snow will thump like crazy. There's a lot of moisture with this from the Gulf, so this could be a high QPF system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 the 18z NAM is impressive and other trends have also been indicative of a heavier event. 6-12" for NYC. a crazy NAM run tonight/tomorrow will show 12"+. ...at 33 the 18z is so much better than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Snow breaking out in NYC in at 36 hours per 18z NAM. Post-midnight Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Sref mean 0.8" for kblm, matches up well with euro/ggem.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like watches already up in MD..wonder if mt holly puts them up for philly/south jersey at least or holds off til tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Sref mean 0.8" for kblm, matches up well with euro/ggem.. What's the sref mean for ewr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The NAM is well N of its 12z run. Trend continues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like around 0.5" maybe a little less.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 hr 42 light snow breaks out 7am Monday cold from phl-north hr 45 mod snow up to Edison nj, steady snow up to hpn hr 48 mod snow up to the southern Bronx hr 51 storm is starting to pull away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 .25 to bdr .50 to driscol bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 All guidance now around 0.5", prob a 2-4/3-6" type storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 euro ensembles agree with the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The NAM is well N of its 12z run. Trend continues... No it's not. If anything it looks maybe a little drier than 12z for most. There could be a sharp gradient for this-notice the S/W north of ours for the storm, it could help provide some confluence and drying north of where the snow hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Snow maps show 2-3" for NENJ/NYC, 3-4" around PHL, and 5-8" for SNJ, especially interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 No it's not. If anything it looks maybe a little drier than 12z for most. There could be a sharp gradient for this-notice the S/W north of ours for the storm, it could help provide some confluence and drying north of where the snow hits. Um, where I live right near 80 in NW nj, 12z NAM had a trace. Now maps print out 2-3" of snow. Respectfully disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Precip shield is slightly north of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odwalla Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 The first event is critical to the second. If the threat on the 3rd can strengthen enough, it could act as a quasi 50-50 low on its way out for the next system. I think we may see this occur if current trends continue -- as it does seem the next storm is trending colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hey jm, why dont you have a met tag under your name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Um, where I live right near 80 in NW nj, 12z NAM had a trace. Now maps print out 2-3" of snow. Respectfully disagree. Agree. Looks like 1-3 is possible in my area off this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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