burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Lots more moisture over southern TX this run @63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 54hr you can see some of the northern stream energy making it's way into the northern TX border c'mon baja vort keep truckin!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Moisture over the southern gulf regions @69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Don't think this is going to give folks north and west of I-95 much moisture but this is a big jump. Great trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 HR72 GFS has precip to about CSG and MCN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 This is DEF a trend toward the NAM tonight...Not all the way, but getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Don't think this is going to give folks north and west of I-95 much moisture but this is a big jump. Great trendMe either would love to see the northern energy dig more westward and allow time for the southern vort to interact more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 much more precip over the sc/nc coast than 18z, gonna be a great run for coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Too much separation on this run. If that vort ends up more north and the energy digs more west we will def. be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Big jump on the GFS, nice snow event for just east of PGV, ILM will do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 WORLDS different this run vs the last few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Literally night and day between the 00z and 18z with that energy coming off the coast of California. What's the difference of 500 miles between old friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Too much separation on this run. If that vort ends up more north and the energy digs more west we will def. be in business.Hey burg did the nam actually get to the point of a phase or did it just miss it as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Can this be real??? -- a meteorogram for the Ft. Walton Beach airport showing @30mm of freezing precip?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seahawkbaseball#6 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Hey burg did the nam actually get to the point of a phase or did it just miss it as well? Next two runs would show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 WORLDS different this run vs the last few runs. and I'll bet the ENS mean still comes in wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Acc snow almost back to 95 in NC, east of PGV gets 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Hate to bring up the dreaded "T" word but this sounds back more north and west of the prior runs where it was supressed and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Hey burg did the nam actually get to the point of a phase or did it just miss it as well? It really didn't look that close to a phase to me. On the GFS if that energy that treks it's way through Mexico can hold together and turn negative. It will go BOOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 What a turn of events here that thing digs anymore west and that baja vort ends up being more north than pegged currently and I am gonna be like a kid at Christmas need it to go negative quick tho to get it up the coast and not shoot it due east . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Thumped in eastern NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 It's been wanting to do this for days, and finally got up the courage Still think it ends up north of there. Climo says no to record ice in Fla, at least I've not seen it...but then climo said no snow for Christmas here too, a few years back. This looks like another hit for Macon with a sharp cutoff on the north side as of now. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 If it goes negative closer to TX, any storm should ride the artic front boundary along the gulf coast and up the east coast. What a turn of events here that thing digs anymore west and that baja vort ends up being more north than pegged currently and I am gonna be like a kid at Christmas need it to go negative quick tho to get it up the coast and not shoot it due east . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 It really didn't look that close to a phase to me. On the GFS if that energy that treks it's way through Mexico can hold together and turn negative. It will go BOOM. HR 60 it was close and was trying hard but the vort was closed, if it's opened up, a touch north or the NS digs a tad more it would been interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Complicated mess this is. The gfs is actually more progressive with the southern stream while the nam is further west with the northern stream. Could be a case where the gfs is too fast/dominate with the northern stream. Not there yet but certainly a good trend in the right direction for those in the north. If only we can keep it going over the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 So the gfs checked out for how many runs now--3? Now bringing something back to the coast. Will the euro follow the change too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm on my crappy Blackberry and can't see the snowfall map well, but this looks like the most snow (farthest west) of any GFS run so far, wrt this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxJordan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS was encouraging to see. Now we have to see if we can get the trend northward in the moisture to give the mountains, foothills and piedmont areas snow. I am glad to see the this trend tonight, and it makes the rest of the model runs very important. The models do not handle phasing very well, so lets see what happens as we move forward. I am not ready to write this one off yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 maps showing 3-5" along the coast thru 78 and still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Can this be real??? -- a meteorogram for the Ft. Walton Beach airport showing @30mm of freezing precip?? 78496362_metgram.gif IKR. Hard to imagine over inch of ice with temps near 25. Would not be good for that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.