canderson Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 interesting that ensembles are so different from operational for both GFS and Euro... like I was thinking yesterday the models indeed want to change the pattern but just dont seem sure what to do... I wonder if the snow/cold over the southeast is throwing a kink into how it resolves storm tracks over the next few days speaking of southeast... a friend of mine got to meet Cantore in South Carolina today and another who lives just north of Atlanta was sent home from work due to a dusting of snow My 6 year old nephew in Houston was out of class today ... because it'll be in the upper 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexP Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Meanwhile, Cobb County, GA schools did not close today and now the kids are stuck in school because the buses can't get out of the parking lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Euro ensembles never get the 850 0c above a line from HGR to LNS to TTN. If anything it ticked south a bit. Until I see either the GEFS or the EPS start to trend towards a cutter I am sticking with my belief that this is likely to be a weaker SLP that slides under PA and not a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 My 6 year old nephew in Houston was out of class today ... because it'll be in the upper 20s. BRRRRR.. We got down to -7 lastnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 My 6 year old nephew in Houston was out of class today ... because it'll be in the upper 20s. I know it's Houston but...come on, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I know it's Houston but...come on, really? Meanwhile, Cobb County, GA schools did not close today and now the kids are stuck in school because the buses can't get out of the parking lot. The South apparently is even worse than we are up here at that whole closing the schools thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Dang Friday Saturday looks like a rain out. No biggie at least it won't be the Arctic anymore lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Dang Friday Saturday looks like a rain out. No biggie at least it won't be the Arctic anymore lol I would bet that event will end up being ice -> rain at the worst for most of us. And hey if it sets up a big snowstorm following then I'm all for it!!! This has been a pathetic ski season in PA so far this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I would bet that event will end up being ice -> rain at the worst for most of us. And hey if it sets up a big snowstorm following then I'm all for it!!! This has been a pathetic ski season in PA so far this year How about it man!! I know we're not suppose to complain about the lack of snow but I love cross country skiing and we literally have no snow. And a lot of the big storms have missed the areas that can use it and dumped on I 95. Here's to snow before president's day for us skiers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 They got the precipitation covered. BUT THE SEVERAL CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION APPEAR LIKELY...SNOW...RAIN...MIXED OROTHERWISE. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I would bet that event will end up being ice -> rain at the worst for most of us. And hey if it sets up a big snowstorm following then I'm all for it!!! This has been a pathetic ski season in PA so far this year How about it man!! I know we're not suppose to complain about the lack of snow but I love cross country skiing and we literally have no snow. And a lot of the big storms have missed the areas that can use it and dumped on I 95. Here's to snow before president's day for us skiers! I don't do it but some of my coworkers went cross country skiing Sunday. If you really want to go cross-country skiing, most of PA has a solid snow cover. Check out where the snow hole is NWS State College posted this Sunday: It's pretty accurate, we have about 4-5 or so on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 I would bet that event will end up being ice -> rain at the worst for most of us. And hey if it sets up a big snowstorm following then I'm all for it!!! This has been a pathetic ski season in PA so far this year I've been up at Blue Knob the last two Sundays and the first Sunday (Presidents Day weekend) was very icy up there after the Saturday crowd blew off the few inches of fresh powder that was on top of the hard base. This past Sunday was much better after getting probably 6" or so from the 1/21 event and several more inches from clipper fest. It was also pretty nice weather wise with the slowly rising temps that were occurring ahead of Monday mornings arctic front. Would def be nice to have that 2/5 event throw a fresh 10-15" on top. Also, finally went back and added up all my smallish snowfalls of the past 10 days or so and i'm up to around 32.1" for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I've been up at Blue Knob the last two Sundays and the first Sunday (Presidents Day weekend) was very icy up there after the Saturday crowd blew off the few inches of fresh powder that was on top of the hard base. This past Sunday was much better after getting probably 6" or so from the 1/21 event and several more inches from clipper fest. It was also pretty nice weather wise with the slowly rising temps that were occurring ahead of Monday mornings arctic front. Would def be nice to have that 2/5 event throw a fresh 10-15" on top. Also, finally went back and added up all my smallish snowfalls of the past 10 days or so and i'm up to around 32.1" for the season. 32.4" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 GFS ensembles still look solid here. Ugh why do we have to wait another 180-odd hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yea, Jamie I usually go down along the Susquehanna right below my house, perfect PPL access road that runs for miles. Sadly, nothing there to ski on. Oh well, when I 95 has flowers blooming, maybe we will get ours lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Euro ensembles never get the 850 0c above a line from HGR to LNS to TTN. If anything it ticked south a bit. Until I see either the GEFS or the EPS start to trend towards a cutter I am sticking with my belief that this is likely to be a weaker SLP that slides under PA and not a cutter. Given the pattern alignment this is one of these cases where we need the southern stream wave to stay unphased and just come out flat with all it's moisture.. which is certainly reasonable given this winters more progressive theme. Any more interaction/amplification is going to send it cutting with no blocking to be had in the north Atlantic and a southeast ridge lurking. There's still tons of time left with this too, the back and forth is likely going to be stopping hearts and restarting them all week long. It would probably be a mess in central PA even if the storm does end up cutting. There was still a pretty strong ice signal on both the operational Euro and GFS today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 What's going on this weekend mag? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 What's going on this weekend mag? Decent agreement on the system cutting west, but a pretty good chance of front end snow/ice transitioning to rain. Still something to keep an eye on. Shouldn't be a ton of precip associated with the system and it doesn't look to get overly warm before the front pushes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Been watching the storm coverage on TWC, what a disaster in Atlanta. 1-3" of snow has completely gridlocked the entire city with people stuck in traffic for 7-8 hours so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Yea, Jamie I usually go down along the Susquehanna right below my house, perfect PPL access road that runs for miles. Sadly, nothing there to ski on. Oh well, when I 95 has flowers blooming, maybe we will get ours lol. You should drive up to one of the parks. If you go on the state park site, you can actually find a state park that has snow close enough to you. They mention what conditions are like so you know what to expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Been watching the storm coverage on TWC, what a disaster in Atlanta. 1-3" of snow has completely gridlocked the entire city with people stuck in traffic for 7-8 hours so far. GDOT-CAM-571.jpg TWC is having an orgasm because they have snow and traffic in their hometown and they can now have Atlanta only coverage for the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Snowing lightly in eastern yo co currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Everything starting to get covered here in York New Salem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Been watching the storm coverage on TWC, what a disaster in Atlanta. 1-3" of snow has completely gridlocked the entire city with people stuck in traffic for 7-8 hours so far. GDOT-CAM-571.jpg That's sad!! A person up this way could make some good money down there as a driver shuttling people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scummyratguy Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 My point and click was just updated from cloudy to a 20% chance of light snow after 1am. It is currently snowing. Will be interesting to see how much this puts down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Not very often these stadiums are snow-covered: http://footballscoop.com/news/12391-photos-sec-stadiums-like-you-ve-never-seen-them-before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowalot Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Snowing lancaster. Dusting on cars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Snowing in Ephrata as well. Cant say I saw it coming this far north. Whatever we get is just another bonus on a nice winter.... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 Fresh facebook post from CTP, I will say the snow looks fairly solid in southeast PA attm. US National Weather Service State College PA A 2-4 hour period of snow will fall near and to the south of a line from Gettysburg...to York..and Lancaster overnight...with a coating to 1 inch across this area. Up to 2 inches is possible right along the Maryland border. Please send us your reports of the light fluffy accumulation from this snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Snowing really well here. Everything covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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