Chitown Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 homemade pizza, beer, and GTA V on xbox.......and near-blizzard of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 That NAM track is laughable, my word of course a mild NW shift was expected but this model has no clue what to do honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NAM did well with the last event and appears to have done well here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Updated WIth temps -2 from freezing, this snow will be heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 temps aren't dropping north of the fgen band as quick as i thought...this thing isn't going anywhere fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Ha me a weenie? I'm not the one trying to ride on a outlier model for my backyard. Plus I've talked to area mets who are saying to almost completely discredit the model. It's way too far west and has been inconsistent, opposed to others which have been steady in bringing it around Dayton/Cincy and over east of Cleveland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Beer, wings, pretzels, World of Tanks on the PC for me, and Minecraft on the Xbox for the kiddies.... Was out shopping at Sam's and at the grocery store. Complete and utter pandemonium. You would think some of these people had never been snowed on, and add to that, some of them were packing a full load of rude. Driving? Are you kidding? Either overly cautious, or not caring at all, those were the only two kinds of drivers on the road this afternoon. - Otherwise, snow is coming down moderately, Coating the roads and such. only a few tenths down right now, but it will get worse. 30 degrees, with SW winds @ 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NAM did well with the last event and appears to have done well here as well. It was pretty awful for a while though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 NAM did well with the last event and appears to have done well here as well. Well with what? Inconsistency? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Flake size is tiny right now; hopefully that increases with time. The snow is considerably heavier than the last event so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Let me know when to expect that SLP to track from cincy straight to findlay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 That's from Geos firing up his patten geomagnetic storm absorption apparatus. I hope it works! 1.4" at 4:40pm here. Ratio about 17:1. Actually closer to 14-15:1 That will increase though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Let me know when to expect that SLP to track from cincy straight to findlay. I'm already getting decent snow, so either way I'm fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 SN with a nice looking train setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 You know has anyone looked at the contour maps from the January 31, 1982 storm? This one IMO looks identical to it and the pattern is extremely similar, the only difference is the PV on this one is stronger IMO because of a stronger high diving in this one should be a tad more westerly than the current picture is showing, but nevertheless history shows what storms like this usually do, and discredits some of these extreme NW shifts even moreso This is a really neat find. I was only 20 months old at the time, but I've seen pictures from that storm. Toronto apparently got a fair amount of snow out of it. I know I'm likely grasping at straws, and I'm still going for 2-3" for YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 Looks like there's some convective snows in the band, with areas of subsidence showing up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 LSX raised totals from STL to Litchfield and to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 1/31/1982 comparison map already busting in DVN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Looks like there's some convective snows in the band, with areas of subsidence showing up now. Is that the ripples/waves i'm seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 According to the HRRR, the first fronto band is expected to move through the GTA later this evening as winds begin to shift from SW to Westerly. hrrr_ref_toronto_8.png Interesting. How much snow do you think that would give us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I have snowgrains/sneet falling right now very lightly....an occasional flakes mixes in here and there....kinda disappointing with this going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Flake size is tiny right now; hopefully that increases with time. The snow is considerably heavier than the last event so far. I use to hear an old weather proverb many years ago: "little snow, big snow; big snow little snow" I guess meaning, many times large flakes are in heavy but short bursts and short duration type events. But little flakes many times are from the longer big storm type events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Snow has become pretty light here as well Justin. Back edge is almost here. With the last few HRRR runs bumping things a bit further southeast than earlier runs it's looking like the Euro/GFS will win out in this area. Looking like DVN made the right choice going with no advisory for the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Wow... Definitely impressed with this so far. Moderate snow here in Marshall. Small dendrites right now. Sticking with my 11.7" call here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I am quickly approaching one inch but that may be about it. Parts of Henry/Mercer county are going to do well and maybe out somewhere around/South of Ottumwa where the snow keeps generating and moving Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 Is that the ripples/waves i'm seeing? Not so sure about those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Via RC, Hruza already reporting TSSN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 flake size increased dramatically....dendrites clumping....solid SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Via RC, Hruza already reporting TSSN... killer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 All of the guidance suggests that I may be sitting in a little "screw zone" of sorts. Of course, we will still witness some good snow. So, with that said, I will go with a final tally of 6.5". Let 'er rip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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