Stormlover74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yeah I posted that , there is a ridiculous dry slot and I don't see how it gets filled in I know models predicted it and with all the model psycho babble common sense tells me that the systems aren't merging. I want the storm to happen as much as anyone else Im almost 40 and lived through many storms. This storm is going to be hard to pull off that all I'm saying. Ding ding ding we have a winner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 it's still catching up. terrible model for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Ding ding ding we have a winnerThanks , what's the prize? Everybody acts so sophisticated around here sometimes, it's just a weather board. I've been around since northeast weather newsgroups to eastern weather. I think people are great, but puleeze lets not take everything so seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 it's still catching up. terrible model for this event Yea I agree, I think we did a really good job in here for casting even when the models went to hell and showed very little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 it's still catching up. terrible model for this event The NAM is more experimental than operational it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 SREF Plume - about an inch more than 9z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Thanks , what's the prize? Everybody acts so sophisticated around here sometimes, it's just a weather board. I've been around since northeast weather newsgroups to eastern weather. I think people are great, but puleeze lets not take everything so seriously. Then you should know not to freak out over the radar. Its unfolding on schedule and if anything models are trending slightly wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The NAM is more experimental than operational it seems. Yea blue do you know if it will have similar upgrades like the gfs is having in 14-15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Then you should know not to freak out over the radar. Its unfolding on schedule and if anything models are trending slightly wetterOk great bring it on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 18Z HRRR now available, accumulations through 4 am of mostly 4-6 area wide with a 6-8 bullseye in coastal Monmouth and good portion of Atlantic County in SNJ. Sim rad shows it still snowing with strongest returns S and E of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That's by 4AM. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Austinwx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 18Z HRRR now available, accumulations through 4 am of mostly 4-6 area wide with a 6-8 bullseye in coastal Monmouth and good portion of Atlantic County in SNJ. Sim rad shows it still snowing with strongest returns S and E of NYC. The HRRR may be underestimating snow ratios with this storm. If you look at the Total Accumulated Precip maps they show blobs of .5"+ precip. throughout the metro area within 4"-6" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I know it's a little off topic but any potentials after this storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I know it's a little off topic but any potentials after this storm?? Nope. Not as modeled now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I know it's a little off topic but any potentials after this storm?? hope sunday into Monday rain turns out whiter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The HRRR may be underestimating snow ratios with this storm. If you look at the Total Accumulated Precip maps they show blobs of .5"+ precip. throughout the metro area within 4"-6" range. I don't think it's using the ratios. EDIT: No, it's the total acc precip. It's at .25-.5" area wide, but it's .5"+ at Coastal NJ and LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That's by 4AM. Nice. And HRRR is 10:1 ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 RGEM similar to 12z a hair drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 18z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 6 gfs has light snow moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 9 steady snow…mod snow down by dca Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 12 mod snow all the way back to allentown…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 15 mod snow continues from phl-bdr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 18 idv trough love…for monmouth and ocean county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 hr 21 still getting light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 eastern nj and long island close to .75 and costal monmouth and ocean over .75+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 eastern nj and long island close to .75 and costal monmouth and ocean over .75+ SW CT amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 18Z GFS 9-12" of snow for the Northern half of NJ and Northern NYC. 6-10" of snow for South Central NJ to LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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