Emmett Brown Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 12z GFS seems a little drier for this clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 who are you? who are you? ...said Pete Townshend and Roger Daltrey. Looking sunny and cold down here today, maybe some Christmas mood flakes or even a dusting tomorrow, but probably not enough to qualify for a white Christmas this far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Big fail so far IMBY. Literally nothing. Doesn't look like much for Christmas Day either. Light snow looks to fall much of Christmas day, but now it looks like the 2nd wave of snow tomorrow night may be slightly more impressive. Still..we better have at least an inch on the ground by Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 white Christmas looks legit...with mood setter flakes as the little ones open presents....unless they wake me up at 4:00 am ... in which case there may be some solid SN rockin'.... *yes it's 20:1 with no compaction... I will stick with my 1.5 for ORD and hope for my first "bust too low" of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I am figuring between 2"-3" for MBY. It will make everything look nice tomorrow, from my office window........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Ratios were sky high with the LES last night. Clipper might have those 30:1 ratios as well. MKX's new amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Ratios were sky high with the LES last night. Clipper might have those 30:1 ratios as well. MKX's new amounts we're going to be under a waa regime with southerly winds....30:1 isn't happening. LOT's 16-20:1 call sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Ratios were sky high with the LES last night. Clipper might have those 30:1 ratios as well. MKX's new amounts NAM bufkit for MKE has them pegged at around 13:1 going up to 18:1, there is 0 chance at 30:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 NAM bufkit for MKE has them pegged at around 13:1 going up to 18:1, there is 0 chance at 30:1 ratios. Yeah I guess I should remember this is WAA snows. That's still pretty good. 1.5-2.5" north of the border, and 2-4" south of the border for the p n' c's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Got just over an inch here overnight. Not too shabby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 From what I've read I guess technically a white Christmas is one inch on the ground at 6 a.m. Christmas day. Any snow that falls later that day doesn't count. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Newest LOT graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 0900 AM SNOW 1 W BEACH PARK 42.42N 87.88W12/24/2013 M1.0 INCH LAKE IL COCORAHS 0.02 LIQUID EQUIVALENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 24, 2013 Author Share Posted December 24, 2013 Tonight/tomorrow morning looks good for a DAB at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Tonight/tomorrow morning looks good for a DAB at ORD. And I thought I had my first shot at busting low going with 1.5 .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 yep, I'm going to bust high again. Making way too many weenie calls this year. Pronounced weakening/drying trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Chicago PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THISAFTERNOON...THE FIRST TRANSLATING EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA...WHILE ASECOND WAVE IS DIGGING ACROSS THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. THE SOUTHERNWAVE IS FORECAST TO LIFT ACROSS NRN IL/SRN WI OVERNIGHT. ISENTROPICASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE WAVE LATE THIS EVENING...WITH TOP DOWNSATURATION GRADUALLY EATING AWAY AT THE VERY DRY AIRMASS CURRENTLYIN PLACE. MOST MODELS INDICATE THAT PRECIP WILL BEGIN JUST BEFOREMIDNIGHT OVER NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND INITIALLY WILL BE MAINLYCONFINED TO THE TIER OR TWO OF COUNTIES NEAR THE STATE LINE WITH DRYAIR WINNING OUT OVER AREAS FARTHER SOUTH. COLD TEMPERATURES WITH AFAIRLY DEEP ISOTHERMAL LAYER THAT EXTEND FROM NEAR THE SURFACE TOABOUT 6KFT AND COINCIDES NEAR THE BASE OF THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONEWILL HELP LEAD TO FLUFFIER THAN AVERAGE SNOW RATIOS...17-20:1INITIALLY PER COBB OUTPUT. BETTER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPERWAVE WILL BE RIGHT ON THE HEALS OF THIS FIRST WARM ADVECTION BURSTOF SNOW AND WILL LEAD TO SNOW SPREADING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THEREMAINDER OF THE CWA...INCLUDING THE CHICAGO METRO AREA BY AROUND3AM CST. DGZ NOT NEARLY AS DEEP OVER REMAINDER OF CWA WITH SLIGHTLYWARMER TEMPS IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS AND A 2-3KFT DEEP DGZ NEAR THETOP OF THE SATURATED LAYER BUT COINCIDING WITH THE BETTER LIFT. THISWILL RESULT IN STILL DRY BUT CLOSER TO AVERAGE RATIOS OF 14-16:1.WITH A BLEND OF NAM/GFS TIMING/QPF THIS EVENING...CONTINUE TO CALLFOR 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW NORTH OF THE I-88 CORRIDOR...1 TO 2 INCHESBETWEEN I-88 (ALEK)AND A PONTIAC TO VALPARAISO LINE...AND UP TO AN INCHSOUTH OF THAT LINE. and this ILZ014-251530-COOK-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHICAGO237 PM CST TUE DEC 24 2013.TONIGHT...CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING.SNOW DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO3 INCHES. LOWS 11 TO 15 IN THE EVENING...THEN TEMPERATURESSLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THEEVENING BECOMING 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATEEVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 100 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Riding my earlier 0.5-1.5" call for here and QC. Overall models trended toward the drier Euro for down this way. Earlier NAM/GFS/RGEM runs were too bullish for the I-80 corridor points south. Basically a non-event, but pretty cool to get any kind of snowfall xmas eve night/xmas morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Riding a 2" minimum call here. I hope areas without much snow cover do well tonight. 12km NAM. Milwaukee-Sullivan calling for two batches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 18z gfs/nam really dried out tomorrows snow region-wide. Now it actually looks like the better snow here will be tomorrow night. RGEM still looks good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 yep, I'm going to bust high again. Making way too many weenie calls this year. Pronounced weakening/drying trend. Gonna start calling you the Blizz of the MW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Cyclone looking good by early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I think an inch or less is a good call here, just moving too fast and doesn't really have too much moisture with it. Enough to brighten the snow on the ground and make Christmas morning nice and festive. Not expecting much more than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I think an inch or less is a good call here, just moving too fast and doesn't really have too much moisture with it. Enough to brighten the snow on the ground and make Christmas morning nice and festive. Not expecting much more than this. Is that for the whole event... Thought there was a round two for the evening/night time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Going with 1.3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Is that for the whole event... Thought there was a round two for the evening/night time frame. Yes there is. Starting near midnight tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Is that for the whole event... Thought there was a round two for the evening/night time frame. I am counting that as the first part, the second part is another inch or less, so totals will probably be around 1.5" between the 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 25, 2013 Share Posted December 25, 2013 Picked up about 1/32 of an inch so far. Mostly a virga storm all eve, but had a 5 min burst of light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 25, 2013 Share Posted December 25, 2013 Picked up about 1/32 of an inch so far. Mostly a virga storm all eve, but had a 5 min burst of light snow. Yep, at the inlaws in Rockford and it is Virga city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 25, 2013 Share Posted December 25, 2013 Yep, at the inlaws in Rockford and it is Virga city 00z NAM/latest RAP/latest HRRR show 0.00-0.02" for this area now. Euro saw this coming several days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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