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Winter 2013 - 2014 Banter Thread


NEG NAO

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Still any storm on the Euro Anthony? It's been a very good winter here also but not quite as good as the city of Philly itself. Even I have seen some suppressed storms.

 

 

Yes, the Euro ensemble is still very favorable for a major East Coast storm for next Tuesday and Wednesday.  There is an unusually high chance of a very intense storm forming somewhere near the East Coast at that time.

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The Euro Ensemble is far superior product. correct?

OK, looks like the Euro control needs an explanation.

 

You have the Euro operational, high resolution, best model data feed, in essence "the best of the best".

 

The Euro Ensemble is a blend of 50 ensemble members plus the EPS control run.  Really great as a blend, not good individually.

 

So, what is the EPS control?  Its a lower version of the Euro operational.  In essence, a crappier version of the Euro op.

 

Kapish?

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The control run is essentially all of the euro ensembles being run at the same time with very low resolution. It's an experimental product.

As I understand, it's the initialization data and physics package of the op run, but at the resolution of the individual ensemble members.

Edit: Didn't see Ray already addressed this. I haven't looked, but if this product really depicted an 897 mb low or something... how do you get such crazy discrepencies just by lowering the model's resolution, if everything else is the same?

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OK, looks like the Euro control needs an explanation.

 

You have the Euro operational, high resolution, best model data feed, in essence "the best of the best".

 

The Euro Ensemble is a blend of 50 ensemble members plus the EPS control run.  Really great as a blend, not good individually.

 

So, what is the EPS control?  Its a lower version of the Euro operational.  In essence, a crappier version of the Euro op.

 

Kapish?

Ray. Isn't the control the OP run 51 x ? Regardless most of us look to the ensembles. But do they even skill score the control ?

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