Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Good stuff. Scoots, question, why do they always round up ? seems that over time that would lead to some skewing, this is BDL yesterday TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 84 220 PM 100 1949 84 0 MINIMUM 61 1159 PM 45 1964 62 -1 AVERAGE 73 73 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Let's just get to around the 19th or so and get thru this next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Man what a stretch of weather we are having! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 What happens after the 19th? I know it will get warmer and humid again, hopefully only 1-2 days. Man tropics are zzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Scoots, question, why do they always round up ? seems that over time that would lead to some skewing, this is BDL yesterday TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 84 220 PM 100 1949 84 0 MINIMUM 61 1159 PM 45 1964 62 -1 AVERAGE 73 73 0 As far as I know, it's rounded to the nearest whole number. Like 72.3 is 72, 72.5 is 73 etc. I've seen it round to a lower number, but I think what you don't see is the calculation of the exact high and low to the nearest 0.1F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Historically they may have rounded to the whole number so when processing the information on computers the value could be represented as a 8 bit short integer or 16 bit integer. Once you start going to decimals you're talking 32 bits generally and back in the day that could have posed a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Scoots, question, why do they always round up ? seems that over time that would lead to some skewing, this is BDL yesterday TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 84 220 PM 100 1949 84 0 MINIMUM 61 1159 PM 45 1964 62 -1 AVERAGE 73 73 0 Doesn't matter. The monthly mean doesn't average the daily means. It uses the summation of the maxes and mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Doesn't matter. The monthly mean doesn't average the daily means. It uses the summation of the maxes and mins.yeah that's what I thought, so in order to get a correct deviation over a specific period you would need to not just use temp deviation from normal for the period but rather each day based on normal for that day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Doesn't matter. The monthly mean doesn't average the daily means. It uses the summation of the maxes and mins. Steve...check out any F6. Below the dailies you'll see a "SM" row with summations for various column variables. Those are used to calculate the monthly mean which wiped out any 0.5F round-ups in the daily data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Steve...check out any F6. Below the dailies you'll see a "SM" row with summations for various column variables. Those are used to calculate the monthly mean which wiped out any 0.5F round-ups in the daily data.yeah I know what you mean. But when I was calculating the period from 7/21 to today I used daily departures. To get an exact number I would have to use the daily climate report for each day and put in exact departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Pretty run of the mill 48F last night for a low here...hopefully we can crack 45F once or twice later this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Jerry, verification day as promised in our chats. The period 7/21-8/11 non inclusive of the 11th BDL -1.65 BOS -1.35 PVD -1.0 ORH -2.1 BDR-1 Outstanding call! I doubted but you win by a landslide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 What a great day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Acorns are dropping off trees faster than hair follicles on Kevin's head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Acorns are dropping off trees faster than hair follicles on Kevin's head. Dumfounded? pelted just pelted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Wow what a winter ahead...... I went to shul yesterday to celebrate the bat mizvah of a friends daughter. As I was leaving, the rabbi chased me and caught me and asked..."what kind of winter?" I gave him my views and he said ok....I'll prepare. I reminded him I'd don't do this for a living and forecasts a day away are often wrong but he's going with my call...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Outstanding call! I doubted but you win by a landslide. If P&C is correct for this week, just doing BDL, they should come in -3 from Sunday through FRI alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 19th beyond here we come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 19th beyond here we come Low 80s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Low 80s? 3+ above. That's the important number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 There will still be a trough in the east, or at least a tendency for one. I'd watch where that boundary hangs up. I do see the warm up potential, but the GEFS try to slightly cool us down again after the 22 or so. The ridge out west does weaken for a time and the flow becomes less meridional, so that's when we try to warm up. If we are getting +3 or higher...it's probably going to be from overnight lows again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 19th beyond here we come Date of next 90 degree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Date of next 90 degree? 2014... I'm sticking with my prediction of no more 90 degree days this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 2014... I'm sticking with my prediction of no more 90 degree days this year. probably sneak some in in Sept at BDL but not at any elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 The GEFS barely tickle the 16C 850 isotherm into SNE for about 12 hrs. That ain't going to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 There will still be a trough in the east, or at least a tendency for one. I'd watch where that boundary hangs up. I do see the warm up potential, but the GEFS try to slightly cool us down again after the 22 or so. The ridge out west does weaken for a time and the flow becomes less meridional, so that's when we try to warm up. If we are getting +3 or higher...it's probably going to be from overnight lows again. Bootleg... I mean torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Date of next 90 degree?Aug 20-22? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Aug 20-22? You are going to have to hope models are wrong. There may be a window for some very warm weather if a piece of that heat dome breaks off the high plains, but you may have to hope for overnight lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 But it definitely will turn warmer and more humid to end the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 11, 2013 Share Posted August 11, 2013 Just arrived in Falmouth for a week+ of downtime with the family. 75/55. Sweet. picked a good week for vacation this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.