CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 possible backdoor on tuesday? maybe puts a dent in the stretch of heat? Yeah we were talking about that in-house. Might be sneaky relief on the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Still looks like we may get some "relief" in here near or after day 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Yeah we were talking about that in-house. Might be sneaky relief on the coast? yeah i think so. at least right now. obviously plenty can change over the next few days but that's been signaled for a while. even the gfs sees it a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 possible backdoor on tuesday? maybe puts a dent in the stretch of heat? maybe for new hampshire/maine. it looks pretty weak to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Looks like convection might be tough to come by this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 maybe for new hampshire/maine. it looks pretty weak to me yeah perhaps. though anytime i see NW flow aloft, surface HP over NS and weak pressure fields over the MA/SNE...i feel like it can slam SW pretty easily. minimally to BOS / Cape etc. we could still see an adjustment north though too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 https://twitter.com/nwsboston/status/355388401899409408 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 no BD on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 no BD on the euro No torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 No torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 No torch? looks like a torch to me. maybe not 100 but 90s with high dewpoints like we've been seeing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 i can't believe how quickly the heights rise after friday... it's like the atmosphere doesn't want a trough over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 looks like a torch to me. maybe not 100 but 90s with high dewpoints like we've been seeing I misread you post to read No Big Deal and not no back door... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 no BD on the euro it's there...just not very far south. i don't think your area would ever be in jeopardy anyway. it would be an E SNE threat mainly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Yeah I noticed that too, for Tuesday but ... it would be difficult to mechanically move a BD into the bowls of such a powerful height node. The GFS seems to want to generate too much convection inside all that DVM associated with the ridge, and then as a matter of convenience it's then left with [probably] an erroneous albeit weak v-max escaping SE. If it were real, which I doubt it is, there'd be some weak backside NVA to help drill a weakish boundary up under the heights. It's not a convincing NW flow regime to me. It's more like defaulted to a light mid level NW drift because the center of that ginormous positive anomaly happens to be situated a little SW of us. BDs associated with NW flow aloft need a couple contours and a much more obvious deep layer backside confluence moving N of Maine, that's not prevalent here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 i can't believe how quickly the heights rise after friday... it's like the atmosphere doesn't want a trough over us Yeah, I've been amazed by that... Check out the GGEM; it weakly closes off the mid level center and then in just 36 hours it retrogrades it all the way back to the High Plains -- I wonder if there will be a west moving tor outbreak. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Maybe a severe storm or two late next week? A legit chance, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Euro in long range drives some as Don Kent would say summah polah aeah d9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Yeah I noticed that too, for Tuesday but ... it would be difficult to mechanically move a BD into the bowls of such a powerful height node. The GFS seems to want to generate too much convection inside all that DVM associated with the ridge, and then as a matter of convenience it's then left with [probably] an erroneous albeit weak v-max escaping SE. If it were real, which I doubt it is, there'd be some weak backside NVA to help drill a weakish boundary up under the heights. It's not a convincing NW flow regime to me. It's more like defaulted to a light mid level NW drift because the center of that ginormous positive anomaly happens to be situated a little SW of us. BDs associated with NW flow aloft need a couple contours and a much more obvious deep layer backside confluence moving N of Maine, that's not prevalent here. i see it as more of a glorified seabreeze boundary that'll manage to back south and west aided by the HP moving by to the N and E. there have also been hints on/off of a weak disturbance passing through the area monday/tuesday which would definitely assist in turning the flow onshore across E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Euro in long range drives some as Don Kent would say summah polah aeah d9-10. The pattern change is complete by the 21st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 surface pattern next week is funky in that there is virtually zero temp/pressure gradient anywhere over the east. you could easily rocket into the lower 90s in that set-up or easily have S/SE/E winds keeping places along the coastal plain in check (80s as opposed to mid 90s) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Today marks the 18th day in a row with lows of 67 or above at BDL... can we make it to a record tying 19th day? (15 of those 18 days have been 70 or above) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 surface pattern next week is funky in that there is virtually zero temp/pressure gradient anywhere over the east. you could easily rocket into the lower 90s in that set-up or easily have S/SE/E winds keeping places along the coastal plain in check (80s as opposed to mid 90s) No one is talking about Sat, looks cool. heat waves at the climo time of the year seems about right next week then it gets drier and cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 The pattern change is complete by the 21st????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 ?????Can you hear it? The Winds of Change..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Very heavy rain, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Can you hear it? The Winds of Change..... Until there's ens support its nothing but a wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 11, 2013 Author Share Posted July 11, 2013 Kevin's tornado was a microburst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Until there's ens support its nothing but a wish there is some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Kevin's tornado was a microburst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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