Damage In Tolland Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 New outlook Day 1 http://go.usa.gov/YWq5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 The severe threat on Thursday seems pretty marginal now that things have slowed down. Interestingly, however, Friday looks pretty unusual. It looks to me very close to the Jul 24, 2008 NH mega-long tornado. Yeah pretty good windfield. I looked at Saturday and even that has strong winds aloft too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 friday's system needs to slow down a little more It probably will. Models have been slowing it down each run. As progged it's good for New England but for you it will need to back up. It definitely has the look of Jul 24, 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Well Aaron arrested, that was predictable. Now we await daily initiation to get a feel for severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 friday's system needs to slow down a little more Please reduce the size of your sig. pic. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Please reduce the size of your sig. pic. Thanks. concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 When will it tstorm in Cambridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 active day for eastern areas potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Very extreme humidity @MattNoyesNECN: Humidity today will be pretty extreme - and that likely will mean fairly widespread thunder storm coverage by day's end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Very extreme humidity @MattNoyesNECN: Humidity today will be pretty extreme - and that likely will mean fairly widespread thunder storm coverage by day's end Is he on crack lately? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Is he on crack lately? fatherhood has brought out a new side of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 fatherhood has brought out a new side of you. I just don't understand him sometimes. Just hype, hype, hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Is he on crack lately? 10^8 lightning strikes today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Best storms I have had all year were dismissed the night before by many superior educated posters on here. Lately its not been more than guess work until initiation. I think severe in NE is the least predictable by many in SNE, too localized and infrequent. They try at least but accuracy is not as good as winter or hurricanes in SNE Convection will always be more IMBY that large synoptic (even though hurricanes are technically meso) systems. One isolated storm can rock your town, or even neighborhood, while a deformation band will rip over several towns. So public perception is that it was a poor thunderstorm forecast locally, when regionally it may have been spot on. It's hard when model guidance can be fairly useless, as convective blobs run wild through the physics. Even inter and intra-office coordination can be poor regarding convection. Some offices ramp up an event, while others back off, even though they're looking at the same data. At least up this way, if we can climb into the 1000-1500 J/kg range with CAPE we've usually got enough mid level flow to kick off a few SVR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Case in point. Over the last several days, great looking thunderstorms where heading right for Bath. Then, boom, they split. Some would go north of me and some south. Yesterday, a shower formed right over my head. Then as it moved east it quickly built into quite a cell. I'm mostly left with just drizzle/showers and outflow/inflow breezes. It's great living on the coast, but severe thunderstorms are few and far between. I never consider this a poor forecast. With these, it's the luck of the draw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Already some TOWERING CU out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Already some TOWERING CU out there yup and it looks like they're growing fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I am in Bolton/Andover, and can see them building to my nw; decent breeze just kicked in as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Convection up here is anchored in the trough axis, not moving anywhere. Looks flash flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Convection up here is anchored in the trough axis, not moving anywhere. Looks flash flood. sugarloaf is getting a deluge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 active day for eastern areas potentially.Why? Serious question i haven't looked at a thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 It has that look here above me at the charles in Cambridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 No hype here @MattNoyesNECN: Given moisture-loaded atmosphere, torrential rain will be pretty commonplace with most storms. Blinding on roads & flash flooding possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Case in point. Over the last several days, great looking thunderstorms where heading right for Bath. Then, boom, they split. Some would go north of me and some south. Yesterday, a shower formed right over my head. Then as it moved east it quickly built into quite a cell. I'm mostly left with just drizzle/showers and outflow/inflow breezes. It's great living on the coast, but severe thunderstorms are few and far between. I never consider this a poor forecast. With these, it's the luck of the draw. That one cell that came trough here last evening was a direct hit, 1.35" of rain here, As the cell movement was at 9 mph, Had a wind gust of 45 mph and CG lightning all around the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 This is the night my wife and daughter will be on the lawn for a concert at Great Woods in Mansfield, Ma, and I with son and friends at Drive-in movie in Mansfield, CT. With that being said, I expect downpours all around to ruin the night in both Mansfield's tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HalloweenGale Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Already starting to fire across N. Middlesex County and northeastern Worcester County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Convection up here is anchored in the trough axis, not moving anywhere. Looks flash flood. Just hanging out over Kingfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 That one cell that came trough here last evening was a direct hit, 1.35" of rain here, As the cell movement was at 9 mph, Had a wind gust of 45 mph and CG lightning all around the area Glad to hear you had some excitement! Would love to see a half decent boomer plow through here. Something like July 2009, can't remember the exact date offhand. 1.5" sized hail, wind gust of 61 mph, and 1.77" of rain in a little under an hour. The lightning show was exquisite! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Heavy, heavy rain here. NO thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Just hanging out over Kingfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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