H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I need the bread o meter to gauge how serious this will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I need the bread o meter to gauge how serious this will be. Stop trolling. you may need your bread to eat when your power goes out. Could be a rockin day here thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 We are all gonna die anyways, so don't worry about the bread or power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 We are all gonna die anyways, so don't worry about the bread or power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Woo! Death and wedges for all tomorrow! (Kidding about the wedges ) But not the deaths...hard core! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I wish local media would explain what a "moderate risk" means a bit better. Just saying moderate risk is misleading to the public...if you were a lay person you'd hear "moderate" and think not too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I wish local media would explain what a "moderate risk" means a bit better. Just saying moderate risk is misleading to the public...if you were a lay person you'd hear "moderate" and think not too bad. Moderate means they will cut in on Dr. Phil if needed. Any higher risk means they will cut in on Ellen which then we all know we are effed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 We are all gonna die anyways, so don't worry about the bread or power Pffft. i wanna die with a full belly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I agree Kenny, Tony Pann did emphasize that tomorrow looks to be kind of worrisome severe wise and he was watching it closely. I'd imagine tonight's evening news will go into it a lot more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I agree Kenny, Tony Pann did emphasize that tomorrow looks to be kind of worrisome severe wise and he was watching it closely. I'd imagine tonight's evening news will go into it a lot more. I know it's a long repeated thing - but as others have said, technically the SPC outlooks are for forecaster usage and then if you are the media you don't have to use the exact terms. We've seen very damaging "slight" days - moderate risk (esp a day 2 one) should be given a lot of weight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I know it's a long repeated thing - but as others have said, technically the SPC outlooks are for forecaster usage and then if you are the media you don't have to use the exact terms. We've seen very damaging "slight" days - moderate risk (esp a day 2 one) should be given a lot of weight. If there is one thing we should bank on is that the media rarely misses a chance to hype something up. I would expect by later today the repeated call for serious wx to become more common and they will explain possibilities of what may happen. Bust potential even in a moderate is still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 How many of you plan on evacuating? I left this morning to beat the gridlock. Don't want to be stuck on the beltway during that ef5 wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Two for two Time to retire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 If there is one thing we should bank on is that the media rarely misses a chance to hype something up. I would expect by later today the repeated call for serious wx to become more common and they will explain possibilities of what may happen. Bust potential even in a moderate is still there. I think the national media has a huge tendency to do that. The local media outlets are your best bet, and you should be paying attention if they are making calls for severe weather because there is a LOT more accountability on the local level than on the national level. Right now it's a matter of riding that line between informing people with enough heads up, and keeping in mind the uncertainties that still exist. At this point with this storm system, I'm leaning heavily towards this becoming a substantial event tomorrow. As someone said yesterday, a ~992mb low in the middle of June isn't going to go quietly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 From HM - "Folks in Baltimore and Washington are not going to sleep well tonight with all the thunder and lighting." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Two for two Time to retire You can go chasing on the Mall tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 well i think its safe to say this can only dissapoint from here given all the hype lol. In all seriousness, wow at this potential. But still a ton of uncertainty to deal with as always. Let's see how Midwest convection evolves overnight into tmrw morning across the mid-atl and how much recovery time we have for further destabilization mid/late morning to early aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 From HM - "Folks in Baltimore and Washington are not going to sleep well tonight with all the thunder and lighting." He is talking about the MCS that would impact us overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I agree that yesterday the explanation of the extent and type of severe was vague. I would rather have the hype kick in now so the public is prepared. This is serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I'm liking all the random red taggers I have never seen popping in to give their thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Leaving DC Thursdsy late morning to head back to SNE. Maybe I can see my second tornado in MD or NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I'm liking all the random red taggers I have never seen popping in to give their thoughts Ours aren't good enough so we need the outside help. Hi Mark! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I'm liking all the random red taggers I have never seen popping in to give their thoughts Yes. That doesn't happen that often. Kinda scary, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Ours aren't good enough so we need the outside help. Hi Mark! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 He is talking about the MCS that would impact us overnight I don't believe in modeled MCS's's's's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 oh hai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 As of right now, most of the precip appears to be in NEPA and SNE. With this type of system, biggest severe threat is on the south side, while precip is north, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I don't believe in modeled MCS's's's's Believe in this Wxrisk.com *** ALERT ** ALERT *** I mean REALLY SERIOUS ALERT**NWS/ SPC - Storm Prediction Center -- has UPGRADED and places all of eastern and central and Northern VA... central and eastern MD... southeast PA southern half of NJ in a MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR JUNE 13 ... this does not mean isolated severe storms and isolated TORNADOES are " possible".... it means to expect a LOT of severe thunderstorms and SEVERAL Tornaodes some of which could be real ass kickers This is NOT forecast... It is OFFICIAL from NWS / SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 If this system doesn't produce, i'll be convinced there is no such thing as a perfect setup for severe weather in the Mid-Atlantic. This is basically as good as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Believe in this Wxrisk.com *** ALERT ** ALERT *** I mean REALLY SERIOUS ALERT**NWS/ SPC - Storm Prediction Center -- has UPGRADED and places all of eastern and central and Northern VA... central and eastern MD... southeast PA southern half of NJ in a MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR JUNE 13 ... this does not mean isolated severe storms and isolated TORNADOES are " possible".... it means to expect a LOT of severe thunderstorms and SEVERAL Tornaodes some of which could be real ass kickers This is NOT forecast... It is OFFICIAL from NWS / SPC What does that even mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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