Baroclinic Zone Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Talk all you want about the storm here that is outside the model discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 i like the whdh chris lambert write up. mentions the possibility of something much bigger but highlights uncertainty with rates and ptype and highlights hills for biggest accums and really goes over coastal flooding as most imminent threat at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 We need you guys to unilaterally bash the gfs again to continue the good juju Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 DT is so unhinged, he hates amwx so much, it's a little bit weird, what a big baby that guy is lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 wrt to news at 6 forecasts......it's politics to a degree on this one. it's like they have been told DO NOT GO BIG unless your very confident so they know producers have their back if they go small. they are sayng passing rain showers on cp and mix nw of 495...and snow a few inches in the hills. If this was really the case this board would be on hvy prozac at this point. mean modeling doesnt show a bomb but i mean HPC gives likely chance of warnng snowfall totals from the area i highlighted (N 1/4 of ri to wellsley to boxborough to shrewsbury) and pretty much westward extentsion to the orh hills if you wanna sprinkle in meso models. I'm not trying to be brash of talk down about any tv mets in any way, i'm just trying to highlight some what of a disconnect between the HPC and the local mets at 6pm. and there IS one. They have a major case of cold feet no questions about it....and imo it's due in large part to the response from the last storm where they put out maps 4 days out and downgraded and took huge flack. even if euro goes north and gives 1.25 qpf to boston (i dont really think it will tonite) i think they will still have cold feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I just hope for cooler trend. Just a little and were golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 just got back from work, well looks like were doomed storms been pinned..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Sref's are a major, major snowstorm for all of SNE..Even looks decent for MPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Sref's are a major, major snowstorm for all of SNE..Even looks decent for MPM yeah, big hit, eastern areas get smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Sref's are a major, major snowstorm for all of SNE..Even looks decent for MPM Toss. Congrats ORH area. I'm still shocked, shocked that Worcester's gonna snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 noticed alot of bos area mets that are going bigger....think this will be alot of rain for Boston. Tim kelley for example says while he thinks the gfs is overcooked with 3-4 qpf (not going out on limb at this point) "plus much would be rain" i'm starting to think i wish i was still in framingham (25 miles from the coast) instead of wakefield mass. could be a thumping snow bomb for areas like ashland/hopkington, northborough, marlborough area IMO and a cold rain on 128 belt. i may be swinging from rafters if that occur'd. At least that is my take from Tim kelly's latest thoughts, I'm not sure wether to put met thoughts in banter or storm disco but he's respected met so i stuck it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 noticed alot of bos area mets that are going bigger....think this will be alot of rain for Boston. Tim kelley for example says while he thinks the gfs is overcooked with 3-4 qpf (not going out on limb at this point) "plus much would be rain" i'm starting to think i wish i was still in framingham (25 miles from the coast) instead of wakefield mass. to early to tell where that R/S will set up, but us around 128 area are on the bubble right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 noticed alot of bos area mets that are going bigger....think this will be alot of rain for Boston. Tim kelley for example says while he thinks the gfs is overcooked with 3-4 qpf (not going out on limb at this point) "plus much would be rain" i'm starting to think i wish i was still in framingham (25 miles from the coast) instead of wakefield mass. could be a thumping snow bomb for areas like ashland/hopkington, northborough, marlborough area IMO and a cold rain on 128 belt. i may be swinging from rafters if that occur'd Noyes' map--as rough as it was--suggested a pretty far intrusion of rain. Frankly, I was suprised to see that. Again, that was a really rough depiction he had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Noyes' map--as rough as it was--suggested a pretty far intrusion of rain. Frankly, I was suprised to see that. Again, that was a really rough depiction he had. yes i would say bos mets in general are a little more gung ho on rain thru 128, then the talk in here has been. But HPC is pretty bullish on snow closer to the coast on their winter maps. I was wondering if the METS are seeing a CF depicted on some of the more amp'd solution and if so where they may be located. thanks for any response Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 DT is so unhinged, he hates amwx so much, it's a little bit weird, what a big baby that guy is lol. I am not defending him but he is trashed by a good many posters here, so I am not surprised he "hates" this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I live in Weymouth, id be shocked if i see more than 6'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 matt noyes is interpreting models and giving a pretty bullish forecast from NE ct hills thru ORh hills .....shows a pretty sharp cut off from hills to 128 and then again to the coast. I wont say amounts but he's going pretty big. http://www.mattnoyes.net/forecast/2013/03/late-day-forecast-video-light-snow-tapers-quiet-tuesday-midweek-storm.html Yea, not liking the Dec '96 type of appeal many outlet are taking on. Don't really agree... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I am not defending him but he is trashed by a good many posters here, so I am not surprised he "hates" this place. And when he was here, he trashed a good many posters as well. He, IMHO, does some very thorough analysis, but did not deal well with the ball busting that goes on here after a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 No, he didn't fit in with the drinking buddies and proceeded to become his own worst enemy. Plenty of blame for the bad relationship to go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Obviously I want a Hugh Jass paste bomb, but it would be awesome if everything came in gfs style just to see the media scramble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I guess I better keep my 128 r/s line discussion in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 DT is so unhinged, he hates amwx so much, it's a little bit weird, what a big baby that guy is lol. LMAO.. No poop. I was trying to engage him into a serious synoptic discussion but he wouldn't engage. My stupidity/bad. On FB he blocked me. Oh well his loss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 yes i would say bos mets in general are a little more gung ho on rain thru 128, then the talk in here has been. But HPC is pretty bullish on snow closer to the coast on their winter maps. I was wondering if the METS are seeing a CF depicted on some of the more amp'd solution and if so where they may be located. thanks for any response In a rather cursory look yes more LL warming and CF potential esp with the higher pressure to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 LMAO.. No poop. I was trying to engage him into a serious synoptic discussion but he wouldn't engage. My stupidity/bad. On FB he blocked me. Oh well his loss He is very stubborn about this storm... more than I remember from back on Eastern, etc. Maybe he wins out, but some of what he is saying seems untruthful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It gon' rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 It gon' rain I'd wait for more than just the nam to give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I'd wait for more than just the nam to give up. Where I live its the NAM/GFS/SREFS. As Will pointed out..the coast will need a solution like the 21z NMM to stay in the cold side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Where I live its the NAM/GFS/SREFS. As Will pointed out..the coast will need a solution like the 21z NMM to stay in the cold side Hmm, hopefully 00z euro comes in with a compromise tonight giving good qpf and cooler temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Torn about this storm. I'd love an absolute crusher for BOS, but I'm flying out of Logan on Friday afternoon, so I'm a little worried.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Hmm, hopefully 00z euro comes in with a compromise tonight giving good qpf and cooler temps. GFS got colder. I stand corrected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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