nyblizz44 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 He's been horribly wrong all year. Especially the other non event 3/3 This time , Stunningly, he is ignoring the King all together and argues the GFS and EURO say the same thing so will go with GFS which says a glancing blow or a miss because pattern is too progressive? REALLY? it may very well play out that way but dont you owe it to your customers oh BY THE WAY the Euro ensembles have many hits that indicate a mega storm maybe on the way? Maybe mention the Euro came in with .75 for KNYC. well, what do I know Im just an amateur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 17h ECMWF shifts west with storm next week. Likely not done yet as major trough dumps into Ohio valley. Could be memorable in east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 17h ECMWF shifts west with storm next week. Likely not done yet as major trough dumps into Ohio valley. Could be memorable in east Guess he hasn't seen the latest euro yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Guess he hasn't seen the latest euro yet He and Mike Ventrice are good friends and both agree this comes up the arctic boundary which is closer to the coast not the polar front . Hang in there , lets see what this looks like when this gets sampled . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 17h ECMWF shifts west with storm next week. Likely not done yet as major trough dumps into Ohio valley. Could be memorable in east Notice the "17h" up there? Yea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Guess he hasn't seen the latest euro yet LOL-b/c that's the final solution? 0z runs of the Euro have been unimpressive, agree. Let's see how today's 12z runs does...if it flips to that scenario, I'd worry a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 He's been horribly wrong all decade. Especially the other non event 3/3 FIXED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 LOL-b/c that's the final solution? 0z runs of the Euro have been unimpressive, agree. Let's see how today's 12z runs does...if it flips to that scenario, I'd worry a bit more. My point I guess is he tends to find the snowiest model solution and latch on to that. I'm not saying he should model hug but the 0z could happen just as likely as the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 My point I guess is he tends to find the snowiest model solution and latch on to that. I'm not saying he should model hug but the 0z could happen just as likely as the 12z True. I'd love to see JB forecast one out to sea and then have it be a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 somehow I don't feel comfortable being smack dab in the middle of Bernie Rain o's threat area Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno 19m Recording video pic.twitter.com/UlzaPfoASk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 somehow I don't feel comfortable being smack dab in the middle of Bernie Rain o's threat area Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno[/size] 19m Recording video pic.twitter.com/UlzaPfoASk Very advanced graphics he's using there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 people using the March 1984 bomb better look at what the AO index was then and what it is now...March 1984 featured a very negative AO pattern leading up to the March 28th-29th event...This year the ao is very positive...The nao turned negative about a week before the storm...the nao is positive now and is forecast to remain so for now...the pna was positive then and negative now and forecast to be near slightly negative...The storm was a 24 hour event with temperatures just above freezing in the city...this year will have more cold air to work with...It won't be a 1984 type storm...If anything it will be a 2014 type storm...where it goes is anyones guess at this point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 people using the March 1984 bomb better look at what the AO index was then and what it is now...March 1984 featured a very negative AO pattern leading up to the March 28th-29th event...This year the ao is very positive...The nao turned negative about a week before the storm...the nao is positive now and is forecast to remain so for now...the pna was positive then and negative now and forecast to be near slightly negative...The storm was a 24 hour event with temperatures just above freezing in the city...this year will have more cold air to work with...It won't be a 1984 type storm...If anything it will be a 2014 type storm...where it goes is anyones guess at this point... I guess you meant me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 I don't normally pay attention to JB but... Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 53s 108 hour ecmwf ensembles have strong neg tilt trough west of 85 west! Surface jump out to sea weird given wavelength, SST! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 I don't normally pay attention to JB but... Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 53s 108 hour ecmwf ensembles have strong neg tilt trough west of 85 west! Surface jump out to sea weird given wavelength, SST! i think its next to impossible to make a definite accurate call on this storm because of the timing questions and interactions between various moving parts including the trough positioning that will not be answered for another day or 2 or maybe even 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 21, 2014 Author Share Posted March 21, 2014 somehow I don't feel comfortable being smack dab in the middle of Bernie Rain o's threat area Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno 19m Recording video pic.twitter.com/UlzaPfoASk :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Now that's 2014 technology, there's even print text at the bottom of the sheet, impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 :lmao: in rayno'sl latest video he is already scaling back his threat area eliminating all areas south of baltimore/washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 let's see if he is right Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 1h Think tomorrow will show shift another 50-100 miles west of storm in eastUntil players are in the middle of field, wouldnt trust models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 let's see if he is right Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 1h Think tomorrow will show shift another 50-100 miles west of storm in eastUntil players are in the middle of field, wouldnt trust models Until all the players are in the middle of the field I wouldn't trust JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Until all the players are in the middle of the field I wouldn't trust JB Yup works both ways lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 let's see if he is right Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 1h Think tomorrow will show shift another 50-100 miles west of storm in eastUntil players are in the middle of field, wouldnt trust models Obviously he could be right but I take that with a grain of salt as joe likes to root I'm big storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Just a quick question, can you be called a meteorologist at TV or radio station if you have the AMS seal of approval? Or is it easier than that or harder? The only actual CBM's I know of are Rich Hoffman and Vanessa Murdock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Just a quick question, can you be called a meteorologist at TV or radio station if you have the AMS seal of approval? Or is it easier than that or harder? The only actual CBM's I know of are Rich Hoffman and Vanessa Murdock.I've seen some bad forecasters who have that AMS seal so I don't think it means much... do you have a degree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC Weather Lover Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 I've seen some bad forecasters who have that AMS seal so I don't think it means much... do you have a degree? no actually, so I guess maybe I should change my title name so people don't think I'm a degree'd professional! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 no actually, so I guess maybe I should change my title name so people don't think I'm a degree'd professional! Yeah I thought maybe you were Amy freeze or Steve villanueva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Larry Cosgrove is calling for a huge snowstorm for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tristateweatherFB Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 this is steven D or STD as I call him. STD has been calling for no storm for days which is his opinion and I respect that. What I do not respect is when he lies! NY NJ PA Weather Consulting 3 mins · Good Morning everyone! Much colder conditions are in place today and even colder weather is on the way for tomorrow! Meteorologist Erin Budden will have the updates this morning. Meteorologist Steven DiMartino will have the Daily Video Discussion and Premium Discussion out this afternoon after the 12Z models to handle the potential storm. Note, all the 00Z models have shifted significantly to the east. Updates on the way!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 this is steven D or STD as I call him. STD has been calling for no storm for days which is his opinion and I respect that. What I do not respect is when he lies! NY NJ PA Weather Consulting 3 mins · Good Morning everyone! Much colder conditions are in place today and even colder weather is on the way for tomorrow! Meteorologist Erin Budden will have the updates this morning. Meteorologist Steven DiMartino will have the Daily Video Discussion and Premium Discussion out this afternoon after the 12Z models to handle the potential storm. Note, all the 00Z models have shifted significantly to the east. Updates on the way!! Really misleading and terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Really misleading and terrible. Anth - The entire 0z suite moved East for our area including the Euro , with the exception of Eastern Long Island . Don't be a baby , you carry a gun . Act as if . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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