Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    23Yankee
    Newest Member
    23Yankee
    Joined

blizzard of 2013 discussion


forkyfork

Recommended Posts

New NAM running now....a bit further east again. The best banding on all the models including the NAM now is no longer over us but New England (where it was supposed to be all along anyway)

your analysis on everything from model solutions to nowcasting is borderline horrible and you're contributing nothing of value to this thread. ignore

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

That's wrong actually. Here is the 06z gfs placement.http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer&param=850_vort_ht&cycle=06ℑ=gfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_003_850_vort_ht.gif

The low is close to where it truly was. Gfs NEVER had it 50-75 miles east of hatteras

 

6Z 12 hr GFS had its center 75 miles east of Hatteras , Its west of it ... The 0z NAM was closer to where the SLP is now than the GFS  .That was the comparison .

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just saw WSI RPM 12z out thru 3am.  Only 2-4" max in NYC. Noticeable shift east but still crushes RI and Eastern MA as advertised. I'd post image but rookie at this and can't figure out how to upload. Asking for url: 

 

this model showed over 90 inches yesterday.  everyone laughed.  shouldn't we then laugh at this, too? sigh.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

there is no doubt that the nam is east and areas south and west of the city will likely verify on the lower end, however, as the event unfolds models ALWAYS pull back on qpf. ALWAYS. The east trend should be concerning if you're a good distance south and west of the city. Otherwise everyone the 2.0 line is from central queens east with over 1.75 touching NE NJ

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow....if the NAM sim radar is correct this actually will be a bust with anything near or over a foot for NYC and west

It really gets the banding going as she is starting to pull away but I don't like the trend for a quicker southern stream and hence the further north phase. It limits the real heavy snow to about 6 hours.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...