Disco/Nowcast/Observations for SWFE on Monday/Tuesday Snow to ice

[Damage In Tolland]

Scoots .. Start time in CT around noon?

[OceanStWx]

Actually I didn't even realize that... they do have the two southern counties (Rutland/Windsor) in 4-6" snowfall with freezing drizzle after and no headline.  I could see that getting an advisory, but I still think NNE (and New England in general) should have higher trigger thresholds.  But that's another discussion in itself.  I know you guys need to follow the guidelines specified.

 

There was a lot of thought put into the thresholds, based on impacts. In reality the advisory only exists to caution travelers to the potential that roads will be slippery. The impact of a 4" snowfall on the EM level is pretty minimal, they only care about 6+.

 

But as we know, the public doesn't really understand what an advisory means and they don't really use appropriate caution when there is snow on the road.

[Colonel Badger]

Temps aloft actually cool late tonight. Might mean near BOS and north stays snow..at the least NE MA.

RPM says we're all snow. But with its recent behavior I'll take that with a pinch of salt. Might be right this time.

[CoastalWx]

Scoots .. Start time in CT around noon?

 

Yeah maybe 12-1.

[powderfreak]

High population impact? 

 

Edit:  nevermind, he's back in Plymouth...where there is a WAA

 

I also wonder if it has to do with the "type of winter" we have been having... I mean in like 2010-2011 when spots like Underhill Village had 220", Waterbury with 190", Stowe Village with 155", BTV would've been issuing daily advisories for snowfall of 6" or less from like Christmas to March.  I remember by the end of that winter we were only getting advisories for like 8-10" of snow, haha.  Same thing with 07-08.

[CoastalWx]

RPM says we're all snow. But with its recent behavior I'll take that with a pinch of salt. Might be right this time.

 

Yeah those snow amounts are skeptical. Concerned about BOS..they may struggle all day tomorrow to hit 32.

[OceanStWx]

I also wonder if it has to do with the "type of winter" we have been having... I mean in like 2010-2011 when spots like Underhill Village had 220", Waterbury with 190", Stowe Village with 155", BTV would've been issuing daily advisories for snowfall of 6" or less from like Christmas to March.  I remember by the end of that winter we were only getting advisories for like 8-10" of snow, haha.  Same thing with 07-08.

 

Just looking back and 07-08 had 21 advisories for BTV, 10-11 was 23, and the in between years were 18.

 

This winter? 9.

[Mr Torchey]

hrrr has 1-2 down here, hopefully it has a clue, good luck to all

[Damage In Tolland]

Yeah maybe 12-1.

Just got the call. Early dismissal today.prob a delay tomrrw

[Allenson]

I also wonder if it has to do with the "type of winter" we have been having... I mean in like 2010-2011 when spots like Underhill Village had 220", Waterbury with 190", Stowe Village with 155", BTV would've been issuing daily advisories for snowfall of 6" or less from like Christmas to March.  I remember by the end of that winter we were only getting advisories for like 8-10" of snow, haha.  Same thing with 07-08.

Could be.  I'm a little surprised there isn't one up.  Even here, P&C showing 2-5" and falling during commute time.

 

Whatever though.  Locals here know how to drive in the snow. 

[Cold Miser]

Oh boy!!!

Another meh "winter" event incoming.

[SnowMan]

Oh boy!!!

Another meh "winter" event incoming.

  

[CoastalWx]

Well lets enjoy the next 2-3 weeks hopefully before the tropics try to end our fun by the end of Feb.

[Mr Torchey]

Have not had a snow day here since 10-11, doubt we will have an early dismissal for and inch of snow, if so that is absolutely pathetic for sne.

[PWMan]

That'll do it. I'm less confident on the FZDZ towards PWM, but put it in the forecast just so it's out there for travelers. Plus it's not the best time of day to put even 2-3" down on the roads with people getting out of work.

Somewhat OT, but how quickly do you think we cool down following the fropa Wednesday night? The last hour-by-hour that I saw showed temps dropping into the 30s late Wed. night before rebounding into the 40s during the day on Thursday. Everyone in SNE seems to be talking about a "one-day torch," as if we'll be back into the freezer on Thursday.

[Modfan]

Oh boy!!!

Another meh "winter" event incoming.

 

I would tend to agree with you, but the ice potential makes me nervous

[SnowMan]

In all seriousness though - if this doesn't pan out today/tonight I am throwing in the towel for the rest of the year.  I can't take looking at potential threats 3 weeks from now...

[weathafella]

In jest I just told my daughter as she was leaving to " be careful for the blizzard....we'll have at least 6-7 flakes." I think she only heard the first part and will tell her friends. Reputation ruined.......

[J.Spin]

The most exciting 3-6 hours of January en route?

 

*Why don't the .gif's loop/animate anymore?

 

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=86676'>bgm_None_anim.gif

 

PF, I think it’s something to do with the new forum software.  If you link them instead of uploading them they work fine.  I actually prefer the linked material anyway, because those uploads disappear when people clean out their forum files and then the images are lost for archival reading anyway.

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Well lets enjoy the next 2-3 weeks hopefully before the tropics try to end our fun by the end of Feb.

 

Will there ever be another snowy March?  lol

 

I'm in the 2"-4" club in the Box zone forecast.  Clawing my way to average this winter...

[Damage In Tolland]

Well lets enjoy the next 2-3 weeks hopefully before the tropics try to end our fun by the end of Feb.

While it sucks we can't say its a surprise on Morch. Sooner or later folks will accept reality about Dec- feb and then its over. I hope I can get 55-60 inches before its over

[CoastalWx]

Will there ever be another snowy March?  lol

 

I'm in the 2"-4" club in the Box zone forecast.  Clawing my way to average this winter...

 

Well maybe it won't be that bad here, but I dunno....don't like the look of it.

[CoastalWx]

While it sucks we can't say its a surprise on Morch. Sooner or later folks will accept reality about Dec- feb and then its over. I hope I can get 55-60 inches before its over

 

And I'll continue to tell you your logic is flawed about March.

[Damage In Tolland]

And I'll continue to tell you your logic is flawed about March.

Like I said sooner or later folks will get it. I've accepted it which should be eye opening. I think there's many that agree with me

[SnowMan]

Like I said sooner or later folks will get it. I've accepted it which should be eye opening. I think there's many that agree with me

Like who?

[Professional Lurker]

Like who?

Awt.

[CoastalWx]

Like I said sooner or later folks will get it. I've accepted it which should be eye opening. I think there's many that agree with me

 

Yeah probably weenies.

[Damage In Tolland]

Like who?

DanstormTip, Gibbs, Ryan to a lesser degree, and the non mets can chime in if they choose

[weathafella]

I think this years march surprises in a wintry way.

[CoastalWx]

DanstormTip, Gibbs, Ryan to a lesser degree, and the non mets can chime in if they choose

 

It goes in cycles Kevin. It doesn't mean it is gone forever. It just doesn't flip a switch and work like that.