SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 14, 2012 Share Posted December 14, 2012 @BigJoeBastardi: ECMWF forecasted solution for later next week would be monster storm for New england into pa and NJ. Would lock up white Christmas there Lol, well that settles it! We can all rest easy now, a white Christmas is right around the bend! I'd love for him to actually be right, warm or even cold brown Christmas just isn't as festive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I am afraid to post in this thread. My last one was terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Hes very cranky. He blocked me awhile ago. He also has a pony tail FWIW LOL. I'm just glad he took the time to let us know he's not reading our posts. That's not insane at all.Pretty good chance still MA Pike north for a white Christmas coming in late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 It would be interesting if this worked out... I've noticed that in succession, each depicted solution seems to get a bit more favorable since the models unraveled over the last couple of days. Each successive system, gets colder and more East as suggested. We'll see - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 It would be interesting if this worked out... I've noticed that in succession, each depicted solution seems to get a bit more favorable since the models unraveled over the last couple of days. Each successive system, gets colder and more East as suggested. We'll see - Indeed, imagine the models trend fantastically in favor of future systems and crap out a couple days before each? My head may implode lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I still hold out hope for the period after the 20th, it doesn't really look bad at all. At least the chances are there, we just need the cold. QPF shouldn't be a problem over the next 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Yeah you're right, we've at last got the flow of moisture hooked up, SNE could easily start cleaning up if we just get some or *any* appreciable cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I continue to think the pattern looks relatively good starting this week, but that doesn't guarantee the Ray storm as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Yeah pattern looks ripe for potential going forward... just ignore how far west some of those fantasy storms are tracking, haha. For the most part its good for NNE/CNE on the long range progs, but after what is happening this week, I'm hesitent to buy into further SE solutions, but have to think the general evolution would be for each one to track progressively farther SE. If the next 3 lined up on the long range guidance end up as rainy mixers or something, it may be time to sacrifice someone or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 This storm may be fugly too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2012 Author Share Posted December 15, 2012 I'm about to punt December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I'm about to punt December Girls flag football team? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I wouldn't punt. We flush out the garbage after the Ray storm and that still is up in the air. Could be ra->sn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Rain to snow with crashing heights may be the theme twice this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Rain to snow with crashing heights may be the theme twice this week. Yea that seems possible, I mean sub 520 heights at a minimum heavy squalls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Unless Ray's big Daddy develops well SE, I think this week is another week of blah here. It's still early for that storm, but again..no cold air really until the storm later this week, passes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Unless Ray's big Daddy develops well SE, I think this week is another week of blah here. It's still early for that storm, but again..no cold air really until the storm later this week, passes. I don't like the look of this storm right now. Just goes negative way too early. When we had the heights lower across the board a few days ago, it looked a lot better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 There's a good chance many in Sne make it with no snow rest of the month??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 There's a good chance many in Sne make it with no snow rest of the month??? Looks like a possibility. Wouldn't exactly be unprecedented. We'll just have to wait and see how each event pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 K/U's snowstorm books always help me get through these hard times...those books never get old and it always reminds one of what is possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I actually think there's a good shot of no real accumulations Boston/Hartford south the rest of the month. Things could break our way but I just see the groundhog day of storms over and over that Charlie brown us at the last minute. Hopeful still on the 22nd but it's getting silly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I actually think there's a good shot of no real accumulations Boston/Hartford south the rest of the month. Things could break our way but I just see the groundhog day of storms over and over that Charlie brown us at the last minute. Hopeful still on the 22nd but it's getting silly now. I disagree. I think people are focused too hard on this week fail. Once that storm leaves, we'll finalyl get colder air. There looks to be ridging into AK this time, so that should help bring colder air and at least allow better opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 I actually think there's a good shot of no real accumulations Boston/Hartford south the rest of the month. Things could break our way but I just see the groundhog day of storms over and over that Charlie brown us at the last minute. Hopeful still on the 22nd but it's getting silly now. The 22nd storm (really its the 21st) looks far worse right now than the current storms did at this time range. Synoptically it is just not there with the very early negative tilt and heights not suppressed enough to force it SE before it climbs latitude. If folks are looking for a more realistic option at a large event right now, Dec 26-27 looks more viable. We could still eek out a White christmas though with all kinds of impulses working around the stalled ULL from the 21st-22nd event and we get an inverted trough to work some magic to give a couple inches on Xmas eve or something...that is possible. But in terms of a larger scale event, I'm pretty low on this one...but as seen with the last event, a lot can change in a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Weenies lining up for the punt, looks ripe for cold air b4 and after cutters,trough to far west. Maybe well make out, but not high on pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kutskova Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Well, like the title of this thread says. I can't take it anymore! So I've booked a 2 week vacation to Helsinki,Finland starting dec.27 Hopefully I can enjoy some snow and cold there maybe on the way back it will follow the plane to New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 15, 2012 Share Posted December 15, 2012 Check out today's euro, day 10. Compare with February 1978. Look familiar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2012 Author Share Posted December 16, 2012 Check out today's euro, day 10. Compare with February 1978. Look familiar? These should looks familiar :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXheights Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 The magic Cat has all the answers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 16, 2012 Share Posted December 16, 2012 What does the 12z euro and 18z GFS have to say about this system? Still a rainy mess or some signs of hope? Most intrested in the BTV/SLK(Sarnac Lake, NY) areas. Thanks -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 17, 2012 Share Posted December 17, 2012 What does the 12z euro and 18z GFS have to say about this system? Still a rainy mess or some signs of hope? Most intrested in the BTV/SLK(Sarnac Lake, NY) areas. Thanks -skisheep Haven't looked too much into detail yet just because I am busy following today's events, but Euro and GFS both seem to be on the same page. Models are hinting at a passage of rain followed by snow as the cold air ushers in behind the front, setting up a possible snow event for interior regions, although accumulations don't look too impressive. It definitely looks messy though. For your area probably has one of the best set ups since the system gets cut off and you're east of Lake Ontario. Between a NW wind and your location you could be in for a nice LE event given those bands of precip travel far enough. W/NW winds look favorable so definitely something to keep an eye on. There'll be plenty of disco on this event starting probably tomorrow lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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