Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 We may not have a drop of rain for 14 days......hopefully Tday trends cooler the thought of a warm Thanksgiving is nauseating. 40's and mostly cloudy is warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 It's a trough right through T-day. No arctic air in it, but plenty cold enough for the ski areas to make snow so it should be much much better holiday weekend than last year. We may not have a drop of rain for 14 days......hopefully Tday trends cooler the thought of a warm Thanksgiving is nauseating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 I don't know what it got up to here today, but the scraps of snow left on the deck from yesterday never melted. Yeah we had such a hard frost last night that north facing or shaded areas were able to hold the frost all day long. I love when there's still patchy frost in sheltered areas left over from the prior morning. Low of 20F here this morning and a high of 40F. Normal is 45/27... so a solid below normal day today. Yesterday's max/min though was 62F (+17) and 25F (-2)... can't really ever remember a day that had a high temp almost 20 degrees above normal, only to end up with a below normal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 What in the Sam hell is going on here? Very favorable snowmaking weather conditions... that's whats going on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Very favorable snowmaking weather conditions... that's whats going on here. Pickles was doing some kind of weird weenie chant that frankly was a little disturbing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Very favorable snowmaking weather conditions... that's whats going on here. I wanted some upslope while I was in stowe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 crank them mo fo's up baby! i'll be on the slopes in 2 weeks i just remember last year (apart from oct 26-30) we were needing SW winds to advect in cooler temps lol and ya that didn't go so well. dis as tah. i was skiing in sunday river day after turkey dam with 576 dm heights into maine. Now hopefully the GOA low doesn't torch the whole damn conus and i hope that the severe sun activity that HM was spooking about doesn't reinforce this vortex and kind of leave the -nao 2 weeks out , perpetually for the next several weeks. i do have somewhat of a concern that this current week will be the coolest relative to average for the next 6 weeks or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Congrats Ackwaves @MattNoyesNECN: A touch of freezing drizzle is possible in a few SE MA communities tomorrow AM. Details: http://t.co/lojMA6Wy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 crank them mo fo's up baby! i'll be on the slopes in 2 weeks We can play where in the world is Christian Pickles since you're never home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Pickles was doing some kind of weird weenie chant that frankly was a little disturbing lol. KFS needs to pull something together here going forward or we are about to be bored to death for two weeks, only speculating on the upcoming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 We may not have a drop of rain for 14 days......hopefully Tday trends cooler the thought of a warm Thanksgiving is nauseating. It won't be warm (looks dead on average) for the next 10-14 days but it does look dry and boring.... lol at the GFS total QPF over the next 10 days. Legit chance of not having a drop of precipitation for quite some time. I see BDL is only at 0.27" of liquid through the first two weeks of November and with at least another 10 days of bone dry weather, anyone know what the records are for driest November? I gotta imagine 1/4" to 1/3" would be up there on a list of dry months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 I hope to be on the slopes (such as they have) next Friday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 We can play where in the world is Christian Pickles since you're never home. unfortunately i'll be home till turkey day. and i am concerned that modeling takes a turn for the worst (medium term) ,i.e AK vortex return not being transient, however i would never tie the noose, there will always be snow in the northern greens, last year was complete crap, and i skied the hell out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 18z gefs seem to be more OTS than 12z (which had several members bringing measurable rain from boston SE monday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 unfortunately i'll be home till turkey day. and i am concerned that modeling takes a turn for the worst (medium term) ,i.e AK vortex return not being transient, however i would never tie the noose, there will always be snow in the northern greens, last year was complete crap, and i skied the hell out of it. I don't think it will be a dominant -AO for the entire winter, but I don't see why we can't have periods of it even if solar is high. Solar isn't everything and the troposphere very well may cooperate. The AO is so hard to predict, it's really not worth worrying about too much. I think the big thing to worry about is the AK region. That is the region I care about the most right now. I don't mean to imply we have to worry right now, I'm saying that is the area that should garner interest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 interest to see if ridging develops there later in the month scott, or wether this gets push'd back or even replaced with the death vortex? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 How's next week CT Blizz's special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 moved to ski thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 How's next week CT Blizz's special? Qpf challenged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 How's next week CT Blizz's special? Your affiliate FTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 interest to see if ridging develops there later in the month scott, or wether this gets push'd back or even replaced with the death vortex? You mean by the Aleutians? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 How's next week CT Blizz's special? About as good as your snowfall forecast last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 You mean by the Aleutians? Yes , of course are you hinting to watch the area, to see if the ridging develops there like forecast or to see if the vortex which seems to be showing on the next 10 days doesn't loosen it's grip like forecast over the murky 11-15 day longer range outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 About as good as your snowfall forecast last week No doubt. What a bust that was.Much better to have one bust once in a while than bust-after bust-after bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 No doubt. What a bust that was.Much better to have one bust once in a while than bust-after bust-after bust. violently agree. Shaking your head off type of violently agreeing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Yes , of course are you hinting to watch the area, to see if the ridging develops there like forecast or to see if the vortex which seems to be showing on the next 10 days doesn't loosen it's grip like forecast over the murky 11-15 day longer range outlook Yes for me, I think it's important to see how it (ridging) tries to shape up. I'm fully aware models like to rush things, but you still can get a feel for the pattern setting up in early December. I do think it will set up, but strength to be determined. People also should realize that it's not the end of the world if wind whipped tempests don't greet us on 12/1. December 2010 was a slow start. The atmosphere is still set up for a PAC jet right now and it may take a little time for it to calm down. The tropical PAC certainly isn't hostile so I think it's a good idea to let the pieces of the puzzle fall as they may. I think we'll be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Naked piggy pile on kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 I think Scott (PF) isn't happy about the snow gun hose jokes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Let's see PF went from weather sucks for snowmaking to top to bottom 12 hr snowmaking in 7 days, now he turned into the great white Norths MPM with a QPF fetish, lock up a heavy upslope event before Nov is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Way out there but this the GFS ensemble mean for day 11 to 15. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/18zENS11-15day500mbHeightAnomalyNH.gif Not a bad look imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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