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hurricane sandy thread #3


forkyfork

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posting the Mount Holly briefing here as well since they have responsibility for North Jersey. Hope that is okay with you guys. Of particular note are the several pages related to storm surge expectations which will likely translate further north in equal heights or greater. Also of note is the MIC's personal plea that follows the surge discussion:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf

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This storm reminds me of Ike

I was just commenting to someone about the similarities with respect to the downplaying, or lack of public awareness with regards to surge. I'm not near knowledgeable enough about the dynamics up that way but it does appear that the potential for surge is much greater than the general public is aware of, and as it slowly builds (like Ike did) you may have quite a few folks that wake up and a whole bunch of 'wtf' is going on.

Hopefully this isn't the case and the building surge doesn't become a huge issue.

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For everyone who is interested, the Office of the NJ State Climatologist just unveiled their new webpage for 5-minute updates from all NJ mesonet stations. This is going to be a GREAT resource during the storm. thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

http://climate.rutge.../njwxnet/sandy/

Thanks Jake! Beat me to the punch. It should be fascinating go follow now that we have 5 min data!

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some of the fastest wind speeds from LGA and Newark...Central Park...last 30 years not included...

fastest mile year direction...LGA...

70.....09/1960...NE

68.....11/1953...N

68.....01/1958...NE

66.....10/1954...SE

64.....02/1958...NE

.............................................

Newark...

82.....11/1950...E

55.....12/1962...NW

55.....06/1952...ENE

52.....01/1964...NW

51.....09/1960...NE

............................................

Central Park...

70.....11/1950...NE

60.....03/1950...NW

49.....06/1952...SW

47.....02/1961...NE

47.....04/1981...NW

47.....01/1959...NW

46.....10/1980...SE

45.....08/1979...SW

44.....09/1960...NE...70 peak gust...

43.....12/1962...NW...78 peak gust 12/2/1974

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Integrated Kinetic Energy is up to a historical 311 TJ

Rating up to 5.8 as of 13z

That's insane considering that further strengthing/expansion of wind field is expected for another 30-36 hours. I wonder if the IKE scale ever contemplated a Sandy hybrid, and honestly whether it should be measured against purely tropical systems. Can't imagine any future storm attaining such lofty heights unless it goes through this transition as well.

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