mappy Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 12z GFS says get out the umbrella for whats left of isaac. Man, that's a bummer... We have tickets to the Grand Prix Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Man, that's a bummer... We have tickets to the Grand Prix Sunday Maybe it won't start until later? Still 5 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Yeah...I thought so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Yeah...I thought so You should have a red tag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 You should have a red tag I have a skin tag...does that count? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 I have a skin tag...does that count? Only if it's red Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Only if it's red It's more pink than red Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 It's more pink than red Toenail clippers work well on those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Latest HPC map for Isaac screws us http://www.hpc.ncep....l/qpf/tcqpf.php Isn't our rain coming after 120 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Isn't our rain coming after 120 hours? Yup, not till at least Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 30, 2012 Author Share Posted August 30, 2012 Yup, not till at least Tuesday. The GFS has pretty consistently shown precip by Sunday in the area.. does at 0z again. I know the Euro has been more stingy tho I have not looked at it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 The GFS has pretty consistently shown precip by Sunday in the area.. does at 0z again. I know the Euro has been more stingy tho I have not looked at it today. Ah, I figured not until after Labor Day. NHC's track has Isaac's remnants in Ohio at 7pm Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 The off hour runs can be so frustrating at times. 6z now takes away a lot of the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 30, 2012 Author Share Posted August 30, 2012 Ah, I figured not until after Labor Day. NHC's track has Isaac's remnants in Ohio at 7pm Monday. The GFS keeps the "center" well west but some of the moisture/vorticity spills east. It's basically killing the system to the west at this point now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Good.. nothing like rain to ruin a holiday weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 The GFS keeps the "center" well west but some of the moisture/vorticity spills east. It's basically killing the system to the west at this point now though. Euro seems friendlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Maybe? http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/tcqpf.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Maybe? http://www.hpc.ncep....l/qpf/tcqpf.php 2-3 inches for me possibly. Here? Rain? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 31, 2012 Author Share Posted August 31, 2012 Still decent discrepancy between the GFS/Euro particularly on timing. It's not the most favored track but the way the Isaac energy falls apart and keeps ejecting over the area on the GFS is plausible. It continues to have a heavy rain signal as well so hard to throw that idea out--maybe even moreso given the recent model debacle from last weekend where precip was way under-forecast in advance. I'd like to see the NAM start to come more aboard by tomorrow... tho I suppose both the EURO/GFS bring decent rain thru somewhere in the Sunday through Tuesday frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Leslie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Leslie. Fish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Fish? Probably, or a Canadian Maritimes event. I think it'll trend west some more but unsure about how far west. The trough working into the eastern U.S. late next week should keep it away from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Probably, or a Canadian Maritimes event. I think it'll trend west some more but unsure about how far west. The trough working into the eastern U.S. late next week should keep it away from us. I hadn't read the thread over on the main forum. Kind of some interesting shifts to the west with guidance. I have a hard time seeing much of a threat at all to us. Agree with you on all fronts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Soooo, is it going to rain Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I'm gonna go ahead and say that I like the fact that the low went up or is heading North and is now appearing to be modeled to go South of us as it comes East....good sign for Winter tracks....lol....yes Ellinwood I'm just kidding....looks like we do get a little rain over several days so I will take that and be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Always better to be in the NE quad.. batten down the hatches. Judging by national radar I'd predict .17 for Leesburg after it makes it over the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Always better to be in the NE quad.. batten down the hatches. Judging by national radar I'd predict .17 for Leesburg after it makes it over the mountains. Generous...but of course you always have been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Still decent discrepancy between the GFS/Euro particularly on timing. It's not the most favored track but the way the Isaac energy falls apart and keeps ejecting over the area on the GFS is plausible. It continues to have a heavy rain signal as well so hard to throw that idea out--maybe even moreso given the recent model debacle from last weekend where precip was way under-forecast in advance. I'd like to see the NAM start to come more aboard by tomorrow... tho I suppose both the EURO/GFS bring decent rain thru somewhere in the Sunday through Tuesday frame. NAM coming on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 31, 2012 Author Share Posted August 31, 2012 NAM coming on board HPC numbers are going up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Just for the lolz - 1933 not named storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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