ChrisM Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 is that south of Alb storm turning meh? Kinda looks it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 low level rotation is tightening a bit with the right mover south of Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Right moving supercell looks to be weakening a little, at least for now. Another cell right on its tail, we'll see what happens as it encounters the cold pool left behind by the original storm, but this one is moving more ESE. Maybe it'll get me if it doesn't weaken too much. Some thunder getting a little closer now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Supercell pulsing back up again on latest scan. Still some low-level rotation in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Empty? ENX has a nice little developing cell right on top of you almost. LOL I know but it was blank when the torrent came and I ran outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Supercell pulsing back up again on latest scan. Still some low-level rotation in there. Yeah it looked like it was on the path of killing itself but that last scan looks better, I wonder if it can sustain to my neck of the woods...might be something worth chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Empty? ENX has a nice little developing cell right on top of you almost. I sit between the Boston and Albany radars and watching Boston nothing was showing as it fired up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 .30" in the gauge in 15mins. Done for now w/ sun trying to pop back out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 you guys using okx or enx for velocity scans? actually looks more organized from okx even though it's farther Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Yeah it looked like it was on the path of killing itself but that last scan looks better, I wonder if it can sustain to my neck of the woods...might be something worth chasing. Eh, not sure. Wait a bit and see what it does, depending on your distance from the storm. It looks like it may head toward Salisbury, CT area in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 I sit between the Boston and Albany radars and watching Boston nothing was showing as it fired up. 0.5 degrees there wasn't much, but aloft around 4.0 and 5.1 there was actually a decent core for about 15 minutes before it reached you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 We should see more stuff firing just about anywhere as higher instability has moved in,prefrontal trough edges closer between now and midnite and dews are a naked like low 70ish(72 here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Some nice rotation near Hudson, NY right now heading SSE. Storm will probably near NY-22 area near Millerton and Amenia or just over the border in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Surprised there's no TOR warning for that. there should be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 We should see more stuff firing just about anywhere as higher instability has moved in,prefrontal trough edges closer between now and midnite and dews are a naked like low 70ish(72 here) Nah, we're all shadowed from that monster anvil. I'm not expecting much to form out here. As for the rotation with the storm south of Albany there certainly is some low level rotation but nothing strong enough to be worried about a tornado right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Looks like the convective threat over N NY, N New England and possibly C New England later tonight will be dependent upon whether or not upstream convection over Canada can generate a sufficient cold pool. Single and multi-cell clusters should begin to weaken over the next few hours with loss of daytime heating, and forced ascent ahead of the cold pool will be necessary to maintain convection. KTYX went down at a very inconvenient time. From what I can tell, MCS still a bit too linear (not really bowing), so we aren't there yet. Next few hours will be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Nah, we're all shadowed from that monster anvil. I'm not expecting much to form out here. As for the rotation with the storm south of Albany there certainly is some low level rotation but nothing strong enough to be worried about a tornado right now. We have all night as that pre frontal trough moves east. Something can pop at just about any time with these oppressive dews..No severe..I just mean a good t storm for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Nah, we're all shadowed from that monster anvil. I'm not expecting much to form out here. As for the rotation with the storm south of Albany there certainly is some low level rotation but nothing strong enough to be worried about a tornado right now. Makes sense too with most of the shear in the lower levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Makes sense too with most of the shear in the lower levels. Yeah it's probably why we've seen the storms cycle and pulse quite a bit and each one seem to spin up a decent low level meso.... given weak deep layer shear but slightly more impressive low level shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Looks like the convective threat over N NY, N New England and possibly C New England later tonight will be dependent upon whether or not upstream convection over Canada can generate a sufficient cold pool. Single and multi-cell clusters should begin to weaken over the next few hours with loss of daytime heating, and forced ascent ahead of the cold pool will be necessary to maintain convection. KTYX went down at a very inconvenient time. From what I can tell, MCS still a bit too linear (not really bowing), so we aren't there yet. Next few hours will be telling. Already seeing a pronounced decrease in Cu up this way, and all of our cells have fizzled. HRRR actually has a really nice handle on that trend so far. It takes that MCS more eastward into northern New England tonight, so we'll see if it continues to do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 As anticipated, anvil and cold pool from the Hudson Valley cell putting a damper on the trailing cells. Much of western and central SNE looks to get screwed by the stabilizing influence of that huge anvil while NNE gets the MCS later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 We have all night as that pre frontal trough moves east. Something can pop at just about any time with these oppressive dews..No severe..I just mean a good t storm for some A very light thundershower for a few communities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Already seeing a pronounced decrease in Cu up this way, and all of our cells have fizzled. HRRR actually has a really nice handle on that trend so far. It takes that MCS more eastward into northern New England tonight, so we'll see if it continues to do well. I hope so. The one last week was dying by the time it reached the foothills, so MBY got 0.18" rather than the 1"+ up by the boundary. Overnight is the best chance, as I'm wondering if the dry air will start moving into the mts/foothills tomorrow before there's enough diurnal heating to kick off anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 As anticipated, anvil and cold pool from the Hudson Valley cell putting a damper on the trailing cells. Much of western and central SNE looks to get screwed by the stabilizing influence of that huge anvil while NNE gets the MCS later. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Thunderstorm cell weakening and losing supercell characteristics as it heads toward NW CT. Mostly heavy rain, lightning, and maybe some small hail and gusty winds. Think I'll take a break from storm tracking for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Worth a chase? Nothin' else to do...I can be anywhere within Litchfield County within 30 minutes or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Worth a chase? Nothin' else to do...I can be anywhere within Litchfield County within 30 minutes or so. 'lil late? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 Worth a chase? Nothin' else to do...I can be anywhere within Litchfield County within 30 minutes or so. Wait for the storms to fire over SNE later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 'lil late? uh no? It's heading nearly in my direction and it's still at least 25-30 minutes out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted July 23, 2012 Share Posted July 23, 2012 85/68 maybe a distant rumble of thunder here by 7:30pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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