Marion_NC_WX Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Nearly an additional inch of rain has fallen here along he escarpment in the past 3 hours...Asheville has been missing out the past couple days...not any more I am a little suprised that GSP hasn't pulled the trigger on some Flood Watches for their WNC Counties. It may be fairly constant rain for the mountains through the evening...gonna be some good totals coming out of this event by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 The NW piedmont has been in the dry slot all day, though. It seems the rain shield can't advance much further east than Morganton. I'm hoping (and it appears as if) those showers make a gradual transition over this way, but we'll see... I had an even 1.50 inches in the gauge for calendar day July 10: about half of that fell between 3:00 and 3:30 AM, and the other half fell between 3:00 and 3:30 PM. Just two insane deluges 12 hours apart. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Congrats to those getting the good rains. I give Robert an A on his forecast even though I got blanked with .22" for a storm total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 I got .61 since midnight. Just over 1" for the entire event so far. "Whiteout conditions" up here in Orange county.... lovely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Congrats to those getting the good rains. I give Robert an A on his forecast even though I got blanked with .22" for a storm total. I don't think we're quite done yet. Western Alabama looks pretty wet and its slowly moving this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 2 inches of rain today! We had a deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 2 inches of rain today! We had a deluge. Just saw some video on WLOS...apparently parts of Downtown Asheville had some significant drainage issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Thanks, Robert. I'm not as convinced as you are, given that we totally missed out on a lot of action yesterday. IMBY, I have had only 1.99" since June 1, which is tremendously below normal. I mow the lawn every 2 weeks just to keep the weeds down. I also think the HPC maps are out to lunch. This is not fall or winter. This is summer, and convection drives the rainfall processes. Without widespread MCS's moving through, we cannot expect "pop up" thunderstorms to produce the widespread amounts they are showing. And taking yesterday as an example, some places will get hit and many others won't. I do think Wednesday is our best chance...but 5-10" seems crazy to me given the dry pattern preceding this event and that often dry soils feed back to the atmosphere. Drought wants to remain drought. It takes a heck of system to alter drought and I just don't see this as being the "one." Are you saying that it was only convection driving the rain all day in WNC? Just curious... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 0.60" or so since 7am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Hmmm...Wonder where the rain may set up later this evening? With these outflow boundaries shooting northward from the coast and southeast from the Upstate...my gut feeling says the area between Columbia and Charlotte could fill in later tonight. Maybe extend that eastward toward the Pee Dee and Southeastern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 Rained off and on all night. Picked up an additional half inch since yesterday afternoon. By the looks of the radar it is going to be another very wet day. Asheville had some major problems with flooding yesterday and if this band moves over Western North Carolina there could be a lot more problems pop up. Everybody have a great day and keep alert! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted July 12, 2012 Share Posted July 12, 2012 Nearly an additional inch of rain has fallen here along he escarpment in the past 3 hours...Asheville has been missing out the past couple days...not any more I am a little suprised that GSP hasn't pulled the trigger on some Flood Watches for their WNC Counties. It may be fairly constant rain for the mountains through the evening...gonna be some good totals coming out of this event by the end of the week. 2 inches of rain today! We had a deluge. Just saw some video on WLOS...apparently parts of Downtown Asheville had some significant drainage issues. Here is a link to a story about yesterdays storm in the Asheville Citizen-Times. http://www.citizen-t...|text|Frontpage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 13, 2012 Share Posted July 13, 2012 2.97 storm total since Monday...I'm thinking tomorrow will be our last really high chance then things should return to normal Saturday/Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 13, 2012 Share Posted July 13, 2012 More rain and looks like there are more showers developing to the south coming into Haywood and Jackson countys. So far storm total in up to 4 inches and counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 13, 2012 Share Posted July 13, 2012 Running close to 4 inches for the week...a majority of this has been a stout upslope flow continuously producing light to moderate rainfall. Every bit of this is going into the Water Table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted July 13, 2012 Share Posted July 13, 2012 Almost 4" here the past 5 days. This afternoon/evening looks like another fairly widespread event, then it seems like it will get drier the next two days after that. Then the new Euro brings in the Atlantic upper low from the east, so next week should be wetter again, although perhaps not quite as wet as this week was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted July 13, 2012 Share Posted July 13, 2012 After my 2.2" deluge today my total is up to 3.35" for the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWX Posted July 13, 2012 Share Posted July 13, 2012 Only .79 here in Greenville since Monday. Kinda low here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 3.2 for the total event with heavy and moderate rains creeping up from the south at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 Another quick half-inch from a cell that came due north. That puts me at about 4.6 for the week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 Raining again this morning. This makes the sixth straight day of getting rain. Our total is up to 5 inches after getting rain yesterday in the morning and then a storm last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 CAE's total for the week is 4.69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 I snagged another 1.06" yesterday. Total for the week 2.82" very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 This may not be the best of maps but in a general sense it shows who really cashed in over the past week and who got snubbed a little bit. But at least everybody got some measurable rainfall... Could we repeat this cycle again starting late next week? GFS wants to lay down another front in the same general region on Friday/Saturday followed by more weakness aloft over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 After my 2.2" deluge today my total is up to 3.35" for the event. I added another .5" yesterday evening so my total is 3.85" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 storm coming my way now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 Picked up 8 3/4 inches of rain so far this week. Picked up over 4 overnight and this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 14, 2012 Author Share Posted July 14, 2012 CAE's total for the week is 4.69 Great news, especially for central SC. I think SC will do ok this month thanks mostly to the southeast flow/Bermuda pattern. Thats a pattern that has been hard to come by most Summers, atleast for any decent length of time, since really 2005 and since 1998 only a handful of weeks had this pattern. It's the norm/climo though, or used to be. Glad to see many areas got some decent totals. I have 5.53" for the month, and just over 3" this week. Here's a look at the US as a whole and the Southeast, per precip analysis pages. The reason central and south GA , part of Alabama and north Florida never got more is mostly because how the dynamics and shear zone laid almost stationary across the Carolinas stretching across the mountains and back southwest to east Texas...that area was a constant focus, and unfortunately the storms were'nt quite as widespread as I thought they'd be in part of Al/Ga/FL. However, more good Bermuda flow is plainly evident, on sat/rad. As you can see on the images, the Southeast is the wettest place in the US lately. GFS forecasts this to continue for most of the month. The ridge out west will eventually work further west, allowing a little bit of troughing in the East, but that will mean another front comes to East Texas through Carolinas and stalls by next weekend, and once again be a good focus for pretty widespread storms a couple days. Eventually a weakness is shown again in the Southeast or Gulf States beyond 7 days, sandwiched between the 2 big ridges, so I think overall, we're in for atleast decent chances at daily convection and sometimes nocturnal storms when the next front arrives. No closed highs over us, no abnormally warm 850's, and no strong downslope or west winds at the surface, so the good news is rain chances are with us for a long time. Hope those areas that havent' had much yet get some more, in time with this setup eventually they will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 This may not be the best of maps but in a general sense it shows who really cashed in over the past week and who got snubbed a little bit. But at least everybody got some measurable rainfall... Could we repeat this cycle again starting late next week? GFS wants to lay down another front in the same general region on Friday/Saturday followed by more weakness aloft over the area. That map is way overdone for me but I can understand why. I was missed repeatedly slightly west, slightly east and slightly south. 1.09" for the entire event if I include the .03 deluge about an hour ago. EDIT: lol I forgot slightly north the first night when Greensboro got flooded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 4.2 inches for the total event. Sun is out now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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