A-L-E-K Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 S. Lake Michigan buoy hit 80 today... PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 1003 PM CDT FRI JUL 6 2012 /1103 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2012/ ...OPEN WATER TEMPERATURES OF SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN REACH 80 DEGREES... THE WATER TEMPERATURE AT THE SOUTH BUOY ON LAKE MICHIGAN REACHED 80 DEGREES ON FRIDAY JULY 6TH...WHICH IS REMARKABLE WARMTH FOR THE LAKE TO BEGIN WITH...BUT UNPRECEDENTED FOR THIS EARLY IN THE SUMMER SEASON. MONTHLY AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN ABOVE NORMAL FOR NINE CONSECUTIVE MONTHS IN CHICAGO...AND THAT WARMTH HAS TRANSLATED INTO WARM WATER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE LAKE. THE PROLONGED HEAT WAVE OF EARLY JULY OVER THE REGION FURTHER ESCALATED THE WARMING OF THE LAKE AS WATER TEMPERATURES ROSE 10 DEGREES BETWEEN JULY 1ST AND 6TH! THERE HAVE ONLY BEEN SIX PRIOR EPISODES SINCE 1981 WHERE THE SOUTH BUOY WATER TEMPERATURE HAS REACHED 80 DEGREES. THESE WERE: PERIOD NUMBER OF HOURS AT OR ABOVE 80 MAX WATER TEMPERATURE ----------------------------------------------------------------- AUG 88 11 80 AUG 95 5 81 SEP 96 1 80 AUG 01 3 80 LATE JUL-AUG 10 13 80 JUL 11 1 80 ON FRIDAY...THE BUOY RECORDED TWO HOURLY READINGS OF 80 DEGREES. THESE WERE THE EARLIEST 80 DEGREE WATER TEMPERATURES ON RECORD AT THIS SITE. THIS SURPASSES THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF JULY 21ST SET BOTH IN THE PAST TWO YEARS OF 2010 AND 2011. WHAT IS EQUALLY AS REMARKABLE IS HOW FAR ABOVE AVERAGE THE WATER TEMPERATURE IS. LOOKING BACK AT THE AVERAGE JULY 6TH WATER TEMPERATURE AT THAT BUOY SINCE 1981...THAT AVERAGE IS 63 DEGREES. THE AVERAGE ON JULY 6TH 2012 WAS 78 DEGREES...15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL! FOR POINT OF REFERENCE...THE SOUTH BUOY IS LOCATED 43 NAUTICAL MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MILWAUKEE. THE WATER DEPTH IS 528 FEET. THE WATER TEMPERATURE IS RECORDED ABOUT 2 FT BELOW THE WATER SURFACE. This pretty remarkable...air temps that are 15-20 degrees above normal are one thing but water temps 15 degrees above normal...that's wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Decided to play some full court pick up ball this late afternoon/evening at a park here. Played shirts and skins and even though I was luckily on skins it was still like playing in a sauna.. Played before many times in heat but man oh man today was just something else.. Worst decision ever... Can't wait for even the mediocre cool down next week. You were out playing full court in this crap?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Out of town unable to look at Models. Is there another heat wave down the road?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Out of town unable to look at Models. Is there another heat wave down the road?? Most likely, yes. Euro seems to imply by next weekend, but as modeled right now (and its ensembles seem to say this)...the farther west you are, the worse it'll be. But I have to surmise it comes east in due time. At this range, key words "at this range", it doesn't look quite as bad as this current one is/was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Most likely, yes. Euro seems to imply by next weekend, but as modeled right now (and its ensembles seem to say this)...the farther west you are, the worse it'll be. But I have to surmise it comes east in due time. At this range, key words "at this range", it doesn't look quite as bad as this current one is/was. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 nice...a little storm was moving towards la crosse and DIED as it arrived in my backyard... bye bye rain chances... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Cloudy and 70Fs here...beautiful....that heat sucks. Euro shows warmth coming back a week from now, although not nearly as extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 This heat wave has been very interesting but I'm really looking forward to a break as well. Need to get some stuff done out in the yard. Way too hot to do anything out there lately, even in the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Becoming more comfortable as the day goes on. Upper 70s, dewpoints now in the lower 60s. Doesn't look like any rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 S. Lake Michigan buoy hit 80 today... To go along with that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 To go along with that... Damn. NHC is gonna have to start monitoring LM for potential tropical activity lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Damn. NHC is gonna have to start monitoring LM for potential tropical activity lol. Won't need the Shedd Aquarium with the great tropical fish migration taking place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Some nice cumulus development just north of Rockford near where the synoptic front and the lake breeze boundary interact. Wonder if we could see a storm or two pop there pretty soon. EDIT: LOT 88D shows some towers reaching up to about 18kft northeast of Rockford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 The dominance by ORD continues. MDW has only been warmer twice, both of which were 100+ days. Day....ORD..MDW.. 5/19....92......91 5/20....93......92 5/24....90......90 5/27....97......97 5/28....95......94 6/9......90......89 6/10....93......92 6/11....90......90 6/15....94......93 6/16....94......94 6/18....94......92 6/19....95......93 6/20....95......93 6/24....94......92 6/27....92......90 6/28...100....101 6/30....92......89 7/1......91......90 7/2......98......97 7/3......96......95 7/4.....102....101 7/5.....103....102 7/6.....103....104 7/7......98......98 ----------------------- Tot......24......22.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Some nice cumulus development just north of Rockford near where the synoptic front and the lake breeze boundary interact. Wonder if we could see a storm or two pop there pretty soon. EDIT: LOT 88D shows some towers reaching up to about 18kft northeast of Rockford. are they're off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 To go along with that... Doesn't warm lake temps generate a lot of LES come winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Doesn't warm lake temps generate a lot of LES come winter? Cue predictions of the lakes "jumping out of their skins" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 The Middle of the Country later next week will likely be warmer because of drought feedback, these models can't pick up on that alot of the time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Doesn't warm lake temps generate a lot of LES come winter? I always wondered what it would be like if we brought 850 mb temps of -25C over this. Delta T of 50 would rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I always wondered what it would be like if we brought 850 mb temps of -25C over this. Delta T of 50 would rock. That would unleash the wrath of God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Looks like we're back to 90+ starting Thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I always wondered what it would be like if we brought 850 mb temps of -25C over this. Delta T of 50 would rock. Lets hope that happens, what always spoils it is falls gradual cooling. The NWS office in Gaylord did a study on warm lake temps and they never seem to correlate to an above average LES season. I wonder if we could get some real deep water warm mixing to take place, warm the lake deeper then it has ever been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Pretty nice out tonight. 72°/58° currently. Surface waters of Lake Michigan did cool off a bit at the last observation. Not seeing those 80°+ readings. Saginaw Bay very mild! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Pretty nice out tonight. 72°/58° currently. Surface waters of Lake Michigan did cool off a bit at the last observation. Not seeing those 80°+ readings. Saginaw Bay very mild! The surface water probably warmed up dramatically because a lot of this heatwave came with very light winds. I would guess that the next big wind would mix up the water and cool the surface temps quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted July 8, 2012 Author Share Posted July 8, 2012 Looking forward to the heat coming back later this week. Sent from my SCH-R680 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Sunny and mid to upper 80Fs through next weekend..no clouds...60Fs at nite 1988 baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Normally this would be considered a fairly warm summer day today, but after the recent heat it feels like September. Sitting at 84/59 right now. About 15 degrees down from yesterday at this time. Looks like we get close to 90 later this week, but nothing too severe. Looks like the Euro could bring back some more serious heat the following week. Doesn't look quite as impressive as the recent heat wave at this point, but with even drier soils over most of the region it could overperform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 LAF/KTIM shield in full effect today. Rain north, south, east, and west...10 drops here and that'll do it. Awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Nice day so far. Almost forgot what 70 degree temperatures during the day felt like! 77°/55° currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 LAF/KTIM shield in full effect today. Rain north, south, east, and west...10 drops here and that'll do it. Awful. Enjoy the rain, it's the only rain we've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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