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Warm to cool to ? - May Obs/Discussion Thread


MN Transplant

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The winds were wicked for some time last night. We have a few tree limbs down.

It's really hot out already...not sure I'm ready for the heat.

Just got home and I have a couple branches down and epic shutter damage. Grass looks long already but I can be easily convinced to let it slide today. Too hot.

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LWX sounds bullish tonight for t'storms tomorrow. Guess we'll see what it looks like in the morning for severe.

ABUNDANT MSTR THRU A DP LYR WILL PROMOTE SUBSTANTIAL INSTBY...WITH

CAPE VALUES NR 2000 J/KG XPCD. DPLY-MIXED AMS WITH MAXIMA IN UPR

80S-LWR 90S WILL OFFER ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF DMGG WIND GUSTS

AND PSBLY MARGINALLY-SVR HAIL /LMTD BY FRZG LVL AT 13.5-14.0 KFT/.

TSTMS XPCD TO FORM MID-AFTN AS THETA-E RDG AND PRE-FRONTAL SFC

TROF BCM ALIGNED. CELLS SHOULD ORGANIZE INTO CNVCTV CLUSTERS WITH

INCRG THREAT OF SVR WIND GUSTS. ADDITIONAL TSTMS WILL FORM LATE

TUE AFTN ALONG ADVCG CDFNT...WHICH WILL CROSS THE RGN TUE EVE.

ALTHOUGH GREATEST THREAT OF SVR WX WILL BE IN NWRN ZONES...WHERE

WIND FIELD WILL BE STRONGEST AND UPWD MOTION WILL BE MAXIMIZED...

SVR THREAT MAY EXTEND EWD GIVEN XPCD MDT INSTBY IN ENTIRE RGN.

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