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March Observations and Discussions


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An extremely violent storm just came over mby. I watched the storm on radar develop a hail signature as it was moving in and sure enough we got nailed! Strong sustained wind for a couple minutes with lots of small hail mixed in with the epic rains and lightning. I can't wait to look at my gauge as soon as it calms down. It was a thumping. The storm literally peaked right over mby, incredible.

Time sensitive image - http://www.accuweath...radar?play=true

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/WxMap.aspx?location=&weather=hdRadarSmoothPaletteA

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An extremely violent storm just came over mby. I watched the storm on radar develop a hail signature as it was moving in and sure enough we got nailed! Strong sustained wind for a couple minutes with lots of small hail mixed in with the epic rains and lightning. I can't wait to look at my gauge as soon as it calms down. It was a thumping. The storm literally peaked right over mby, incredible.

Time sensitive image - http://www.accuweath...radar?play=true

Maybe that gauge will be devirginized finally :) T

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Maybe that gauge will be devirginized finally :) T

lol, I think so man! I had over an inch when I came back in town from being gone for 8 days but that was a multiday total and barely over an inch. I have doubts that a full inch occurred in one night. I picked up a QUICK .80" when I looked at it during the lull. Now it's pouring again! This is what the street looks like in front of my house right now.

DSC_0361.jpg

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953 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN PIKE COUNTY UNTIL

1000 AM CDT...

AT 953 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO WITH DAMAGE

NEAR THE TROY AIRPORT. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TROY MUNICIPAL

AIRPORT...OR JUST NORTH OF TROY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

LINWOOD...ORION AND SANDFIELD.

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:popcorn:

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1226 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2012

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM GA INTO THE MID

ATLANTIC...

...SYNOPSIS...

AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ESEWD FROM IL/IND EARLY SAT INTO

THE CAROLINAS BY SUN MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE

TROUGH SHOULD DEEPEN NEAR THE APPALACHIANS BY AFTERNOON...DRIFTING

EWD ACROSS VA AND INTO THE CAROLINAS OVERNIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS

TROUGH...SWLY SURFACE WINDS WILL MAINTAIN BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS

IN THE LOWER 60S F...WHICH WILL RESULT IN INSTABILITY FOR SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORMS.

ELSEWHERE...A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH IS FORECAST TO BE JUST OFF THE

PACIFIC COAST WITH A CHANCE OF WEAK CONVECTION MAINLY OFFSHORE.

...SE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC...

MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER

LOW...BUT THE EXACT TRACK IS IN QUESTION. THE FORECAST WILL ALSO BE

COMPLICATED BY EARLY RAIN AND STORMS. REGARDLESS...MOISTURE AND

INSTABILITY WILL EXIST AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...AND COOLING ALOFT

WILL RESULT IN FURTHER DESTABILIZATION. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE

FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SMALL SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF HAIL OVER THE ENTIRE

RISK AREA. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE AHEAD OF THE

UPPER VORT TRACK AND WHERE THE COLD FRONT WILL SURGE. HERE...A

HIGHER CONCENTRATION OF STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS MAY

OCCUR...STARTING OVER MIDDLE OR ERN TN. WILL DEFER TO LATER OUTLOOKS

FOR ANY HIGHER PROBABILITIES GIVEN UNCERTAINTIES...BUT AT THIS TIME

IS APPEARS TO BE CENTERED OVER SC.

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Looking at the radar definitely looks like solid rotation with this cell.

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT FOR

SOUTHEASTERN CLAY...NORTHERN EARLY AND WESTERN CALHOUN COUNTIES IN

SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...

AT 317 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FERRELL

CROSSROADS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO EARLY

CO A/P...COLOMOKEE...HARRISONS MILL...BLUFFTON...SUTTONS

CORNER...TURMAN...PARKSVILLE...COMMISSARY HILL AND ARLINGTON

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FFC confuses the heck out of me sometimes... This is from their afternoon discussion:

SUNDAY SHOULD SEE CLEARING AND A RETURN TO MORE APPROPRIATE

SEASONAL TEMPERATURES

Yet my forecast from Sunday through Friday is mid to upper 70s, with 50s at night. 5-10 degrees above normal. I guess with all the 80's we've had lately, FFC seems to think mid to upper 70s is normal.

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Just had a nice storm come through. Saw a quick 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rain. Some strong winds here too and lots of lightining.

Here is the storm.

zwno9f.gif

Now its gets issued when the storm is over. No surprise though because the winds did seem that strong too.

A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN WARE AND PIERCE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL VALID UNTIL 915 PM EDT...

AT 840 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER DEENWOOD... OR 2 MILES NORTH OF WAYCROSS... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND WAYCROSS... SUNNYSIDE... DEENWOOD... BLACKSHEAR AND PATTERSON THROUGH 915 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER INCH IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

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I had a bit of damage from the storms last night. The tops of two trees in my backyard were brought down in the winds. Also another tree in the front of the neighborhood was felled. A couple miles down the road two more trees knocked down. I knew it was a violent storm but it's a bit more damage than I thought. I'm also surprised FFC never issued any warning on that cell with the wind damage, hail, very heavy rains and lightning. I picked up 1.60" from that bad boy last night. It was quite a thumping mby received.

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