HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This appears to have issues from the get go, but potential is there for some cold to work in. Maybe, someone can squeak out a few sneaky flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 You got the mess part right, Hope it can trend into something better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 SSDD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 It's not a bad idea to start topics like these. Keeps topics separated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2012 Author Share Posted February 18, 2012 Maybe Friday is a bigger deal than Thurs? Although both may be no deal/wet deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Looks like several waves in the flow, Could be an extended stormy period for a few days next week starting around mid week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 bump. maybe it will snow. That's the extent of my analysis thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Well at least we have 2 to 3 seperate light/moderate rain events to look forward to this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 GFs has a parade of failures next week and we top it all off with a cutter on saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 GFs has a parade of failures next week and we top it all off with a cutter on saturday Just what I and all the ski areas were hoping for during vacation week. A fitting "F-you" to wrap up met winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Just what I and all the ski areas were hoping for during vacation week. A fitting "F-you" to wrap up met winter. Its a cluster, Bunch of weak waves riding the boundary with marginal airmass it will be rain/showers for the most part unless we can get one of these waves to amplify, Then the front comes thru on saturday with a low tracking up the St lawerence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Just what I and all the ski areas were hoping for during vacation week. A fitting "F-you" to wrap up met winter. I dunno, 12z GFS is a nice light (1-4") snowfall for the ski areas on Thursday. Even 2-m temps are 32F or lower during this up this way, so even the valleys could pick up 1-3". Would be a nice refresher during the holiday week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The Saturday system could go either way, too. GFS and GGEM have been indicating potential development along the coastline and that could be interior snow, too. These are the 2-meter temps and these maps are usually warmer than would actually happen... but it shows the chance of some snow is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Being this far out and it being the GFS it all can be taken with a grain of salt anyways but would not be a total shock if thats what ended up happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Looks like some rain/ wet snow for the hills showers on Tuesday night. If some potential storm doesn't show up soon I could get shut out for both December and February with only several traces for both months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 GFs has a parade of failures next week and we top it all off with a cutter on saturday There's a signal for something on March 1st..but I doubt it will happen lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 There's a signal for something on March 1st..but I doubt it will happen lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Given the performance of the GFS the past few days, I wouldn't place any bets on it. Sadly, even though it's run out to 384, it can't even forecast something in the D4-5 range. Talk about a waste of computing resources. Although I never trusted the GFS much to begin with, this past week was my final straw. Operational mets should ditch this model entirely IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I actually thought the beginning of March could have some storminess.....GFS op or no GFS op. But, that is just a thought right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Given the performance of the GFS the past few days, I wouldn't place any bets on it. Sadly, even though it's run out to 384, it can't even forecast something in the D4-5 range. Talk about a waste of computing resources. Although I never trusted the GFS much to begin with, this past week was my final straw. Operational mets should ditch this model entirely IMO. Kevin> AWT.> Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Given the performance of the GFS the past few days, I wouldn't place any bets on it. Sadly, even though it's run out to 384, it can't even forecast something in the D4-5 range. Talk about a waste of computing resources. Although I never trusted the GFS much to begin with, this past week was my final straw. Operational mets should ditch this model entirely IMO. Great post Mitch..and one I wish more mets would follow. You 100% can have better forecasts, more accuracy and more crdibility if you completely ignored any GFS related output..GEFS, op runs, composites,analogs,,,MOS/MET..you get the picture. Glad to see some folks are starting to get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Great post Mitch..and one I wish more mets would follow. You 100% can have better forecasts, more accuracy and more crdibility if you completely ignored any GFS related output..GEFS, op runs, composites,analogs,,,MOS/MET..you get the picture. Glad to see some folks are starting to get it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 Great post Mitch..and one I wish more mets would follow. You 100% can have better forecasts, more accuracy and more crdibility if you completely ignored any GFS related output..GEFS, op runs, composites,analogs,,,MOS/MET..you get the picture. Glad to see some folks are starting to get it I was worried there for a little while a few days ago. I thought maybe you were caving to the GFS since it showed snow for you Glad you are back to CT Torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I actually thought the beginning of March could have some storminess.....GFS op or no GFS op. But, that is just a thought right now. Thought as in past tense or think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 And these upcoming "systems" have not gotten any better since last night. Just the opposite. So if the GFS is showing rain, and the GFS blows...??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I like Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 I like Dinkies What are dinkies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Thought as in past tense or think? Well, it seems like some storms may be in the offering, but I know that doesn't mean much this winter. It's a battle ground setting up near by, as Canada gets very cold. -PNA might mean cutters, but it's not a bad thing to have Canada cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2012 Author Share Posted February 19, 2012 Of course now the Euro is showing some nice freshies for NNE/CNE next weekend. 6 days out is la la land, but maybe it pans out for someone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 Of course now the Euro is showing some nice freshies for NNE/CNE next weekend. 6 days out is la la land, but maybe it pans out for someone Waiting for the seasonal south trend. Or, more realistically, the seasonal suck trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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