Thundersnow12 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Made it to 55. Guidance did absolutely horrible, NAM had us around 39/40 and GFS 45/46. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 GFS is showing around 50 for Wed, while the ECMWF is near 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Sunday, February 26th: Hi: 52F Lo: 15F Overall Sky Conditions: Clear Max Wind Gust: 38MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The areas with the most snow were definitely the coolest today. Made it to 44° here today. About 3-4" of snow left tonight. The snow is loaded with moisture and it has been slow to melt off, especially coming off a low of 11°. Down to 37° now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The areas with the most snow were definitely the coolest today. Made it to 44° here today. About 3-4" of snow left tonight. The snow is loaded with moisture and it has been slow to melt off, especially coming off a low of 11°. Down to 37° now. Yeah even here the snow was stubborn to melt due to the very high moisture content. It's completely gone now though. Started the day with a solid 2" of dense snow pack. Even most of the piles are gone tonight. Started the day at 15, and made it all the way to 56 for a high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If there's anyhting remotely redeeming about this month, we did snow pad ourselves to 10", which is right around or just above normal. But of course, there's a good chance this month will end in the top 20 warmest either way. I guess when it's all said and done, when looking back at this winter in the future, we can say February was the least hellish month in a season of hellish months. BTW ,another thing that makes this winter so bad in comparison to our bad winters in the past (besides the fact that it's been for the most part so darn quiet and everyone shared in the pain) is that this hell was evenly spread across the entire season. Usually, there's at least one redeeming month in a crappy winter. That's looking increasingly unlikely to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 I give us a 20% chance of hitting 70 on Wednesday. Deep mixing (NAM has mixing to near 750 mb late afternoon!) and dry punch/clearing skies in the afternoon should allow for nice warming. Profiles are a bit marginal so upper 60's probably a better bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 IWX will have fun with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Just looking at snow totals here in LSE... 2.8 inches total ...ouch ... Lowest temp 7F..highest 51F.. Even Tropical himself couldn't predict a winter this mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 We hit 51F yesterday... I think NWS showed around 40F the day before...so the models were horrible. No frost in the ground except for north facing and some shaded areas. Hoosier- Tulips and early flowers will come out...u might even worry about early blooming trees like lilacs and even apricots... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 We hit 51F yesterday... I think NWS showed around 40F the day before...so the models were horrible. No frost in the ground except for north facing and some shaded areas. Hoosier- Tulips and early flowers will come out...u might even worry about early blooming trees like lilacs and even apricots... It will take a certain amount of warm weather to get the fruit trees to bloom. Soil temperatures have to rise a good deal yet. But daffodils and tulips will likely come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 GFS is showing around 50 for Wed, while the ECMWF is near 60. Should be a nice gradient across the area. Wouldn't be surprised to see ORD in the 55-60F range for a brief time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Should be a nice gradient across the area. Wouldn't be surprised to see ORD in the 55-60F range for a brief time. I smell some over/under bets. 12z Euro has mid 60's up to PIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like 68 for LAF on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Right now my forecast is for 45°. I'm thinking a SE wind will likely hold temperatures down on the north shore and areas on the south side of Chicago could be quite spring like for a brief window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fickle Heights Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Since Wednesday is Leap Day, there's a chance we could break both the daily precip and high temperature record at LAF. At LAF, the record high is 72 (1976) and precip is only 0.63" (1952). The high temperature record may be a stretch, but it will be fun to watch. It's more complicated at the Purdue Agronomy Farm, where obs for a given day are made at 7 a.m. that morning. The overnight rain Tuesday could break the precip record there for 2/29 (0.42" in 1952) while the high temperature record would be broken for 3/1 (70 in 1972) since it occurred after 7 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Since Wednesday is Leap Day, there's a chance we could break both the daily precip and high temperature record at LAF. At LAF, the record high is 72 (1976) and precip is only 0.63" (1952). The high temperature record may be a stretch, but it will be fun to watch. It's more complicated at the Purdue Agronomy Farm, where obs for a given day are made at 7 a.m. that morning. The overnight rain Tuesday could break the precip record there for 2/29 (0.42" in 1952) while the high temperature record would be broken for 3/1 (70 in 1972) since it occurred after 7 a.m. That's the same as my CoCoRaHS data. Any precip that falls between 7AM on Feb 28th and 7AM Feb 29th is recorded as the 29th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 If there's anyhting remotely redeeming about this month, we did snow pad ourselves to 10", which is right around or just above normal. But of course, there's a good chance this month will end in the top 20 warmest either way. I guess when it's all said and done, when looking back at this winter in the future, we can say February was the least hellish month in a season of hellish months. BTW ,another thing that makes this winter so bad in comparison to our bad winters in the past (besides the fact that it's been for the most part so darn quiet and everyone shared in the pain) is that this hell was evenly spread across the entire season. Usually, there's at least one redeeming month in a crappy winter. That's looking increasingly unlikely to happen. Its a tossup between Jan or Feb which was the less hellish month. Feb had the better snowstorm and deeper snowpack (5-day stretch lol), but Jan had more sub-freezing days and more days with light snowcover. When you look at it in hindsight, neither Jan nor Feb was that below normal in snowfall. At DTW, Jan saw 9.3" and Feb 10.2"...imby Jan saw 10.9" and Feb 9.0". Per the current normals, it puts DTW at about 3" below normal for Jan and right near normal for Feb, but using the historical numbers since the beginning of record, the Jan+Feb snowfall is RIGHT near normal (about an inch below in Jan and an inch above in Feb). So from that standpoint, looking at numbers does not make this winter look that bad from a snowfall perspective. Thats why snowcover plays a MUCH bigger role in peoples perception of winter around here than youd think. People think of this as the "winter that wasnt" who stopped in for a few brief visits. If we had the SAME amount of snow fall but had cold or even near normal temps causing it to stick around more, GUARENTEE they would not be thinking of this as such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 Wednesday still looks like possible wind advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Monday, February 27th: Hi: 38F Lo: 23F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 35MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 37 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 34° today. Variably cloudy conditions. Low is right now, 24°. About 2-3" of snow left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Wednesday still looks like possible wind advisory. Yep, it looks like we could see some 50 MPH gusts in IN and OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 44 here today. Still no rain. That's about to change though. Should get a decent amount of rain tonight, and maybe some thunder later. Don't see much in the way of snow anytime soon. Winter might pretty much be over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Golf courses are going to be quite busy tomorrow and Friday... probably looking at about 65F+ those two days. ECMWF/GFS shows the torch continuing, might as well roll with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I played frisbee golf 4 times in Feb. Unheard of in a normal winter. The amount of sunny days was something to be proud of also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I played frisbee golf 4 times in Feb. Unheard of in a normal winter. The amount of sunny days was something to be proud of also. Including tomorrow, I will have had 16 cloudy days this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 February averaged a few degrees warmer than January here, although there were fewer extremes. In January we hit 50 degrees seven times, but only once in February. January had some fairly cold air mid-month that dragged the average down. In February we didn't even come close to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 0.20" of rain so far tonight. The rains have been more showery than steady. A few heavy downpours around but so far they've missed here. Now that the threat for below zero temps are over, this goes down as the warmest minimum temp for the winter I can ever remember since I've been alive. We only dipped below zero twice, which also happened to be 2 days in a row. Both days were -1. It's VERY rare we don't get at least one day at -10 or colder. Just another stat to add to an outrageous winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I played frisbee golf 4 times in Feb. Unheard of in a normal winter. The amount of sunny days was something to be proud of also. Time to play real golf. Hopefully next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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