wxeyeNH Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Really just nuisance QPF north of the Mass boarder on the new NAM. .25" will be in the Nashua/ Manchester area. So I think I can just about kiss this one goodbye up here in CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 So, now the all important question--do you buy this NAM/SREF? Compromise with the warmer and northern models? Hmmmmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Snow on my birthday Can't think of anything better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Okay--I'm out. Way past my bed time. Enjoy the rest of the 00z runs--I'll read about them in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Scott or Will or anyone, when would you say ORH changes over to snow taking the nam verbatim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I'll assume that even with the 850 0c line getting so far S on the models anyone below 800' - 1000' is still going to need precip rates to be ripping for any potential accumulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Really just nuisance QPF north of the Mass boarder on the new NAM. .25" will be in the Nashua/ Manchester area. So I think I can just about kiss this one goodbye up here in CNE. Not yet still 36 hours or so for things to shift back north 25 miles or so. Yesterday at this time it looked pretty good I still think a coating to an inch should happen. I'd be happy with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Nam has shifted the heaviest qpf further south, At least its a little more realistic with the qpf amounts as it has back them down from the insane amounts it had yesterday, Its also the model thats the furthest south right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Looks like BDL would flip over between 0z and 3z...possibly closer to 0z if we can rip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Nam has shifted the heaviest qpf further south, At least its a little more realistic with the qpf amounts as it has back them down from the insane amounts it had yesterday, Its also the model thats the furthest south right now Yeah, doesn't have anyone in SNE over 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 This will be a blow to MPM qpf fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Really just nuisance QPF north of the Mass boarder on the new NAM. .25" will be in the Nashua/ Manchester area. So I think I can just about kiss this one goodbye up here in CNE. idk about you, but I'm pumped to see any flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 This will be a blow to MPM qpf fetish. That's PWATs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 This will be a blow to MPM qpf fetish. Id still want to be where he is for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 This will be a blow to MPM qpf fetish. Precipitable water Almost as bad as me posting from 03z by accident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 idk about you, but I'm pumped to see any flakes. After looking at the 0z Nam, The only flakes i will see will be the ones in my bowl with some milk Fri morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I lost internet connection right when it was at 45h...I had to call Scott, lol. NAM is really cold...I think its probably too far south, but I would love for it to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I lost internet connection right when it was at 45h...I had to call Scott, lol. NAM is really cold...I think its probably too far south, but I would love for it to verify. Furthest south of all the models at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 After looking at the 0z Nam, The only flakes i will see will be the ones in my bowl with some milk Fri morning lol i thought you were going to say the flakes in your hair there for a moment glad you didnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Definitely a discernable shift S on the NAM tonight. I hope this thing doesn't become some suppressed, sheared out system that fails to produce much of anything outside of some light rain and wet flakes for SNE. I recall an event earlier this year (3/24?) where the models had a 0.75-1.00+ QPF for SNE about 2 to 3 days before, only to have it wind up being a few flurries and light snow showers as the shortwave was torn to shreds. While I'm not sounding any alarms yet, it's something to be weary of, especially since the models seem to like overdoing cyclogenesis on numerous occasions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 lol i thought you were going to say the flakes in your hair there for a moment glad you didnt No, Although these runs have me scratching my head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Precipitable water Almost as bad as me posting from 03z by accident Yeah, i head like 6 windows open from TD when I saved that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 It's nice to see that nothings set in stone.....at least not for a couple more hours. Intraregional wishcasting with the different solutiIons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 NAM clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Lol.... I do not buy anything sticking on the CP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Can't really see it on my phone but looks like a pretty widespread 1-3??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Does that ever show anything less than 10''? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Lol.... I do not buy anything sticking on the CP Unlikely...NAM is probably wrong with how far south it is...but I could see some minor accumulations on the CP away from the water, like from Ray's area over to the Merrimack Valley in S NH...even just W of BOS around 128 there could possibly be some minor accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I think anyone form the Berks up through the Monads will be happy come friday morning. That area has the most going for it in terms of temps, elevation and potential qpf. A 25-50 mile shift back N on the NAM is certainly within the window of reason this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Can't really see it on my phone but looks like a pretty widespread 1-3??? What's wrong Mike? Insomnia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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