Mahantango Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Is there a chance the flooding will be worse overnight in the lower-middle Susquehanna Valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Harrisburg just can't catch a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Another .38" today to take us to 11.92" MTD. .44", 11.98" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 COOP report for Myerstown June 1972 - http://www1.ncdc.noa...D63B7D646B8.pdf COOP near Lebanon June 1972 - http://www1.ncdc.noa...117D7B31956.pdf Wettest month ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 i really hope we carry this wet ( white ) trend into winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 i really hope we carry this wet ( white ) trend into winter. You and me both. I get paid when it snows...I don't see white I see green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 It just won't end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 This is nuts..with this amount of rain the streams have to be coming up??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 29, 2011 Author Share Posted September 29, 2011 lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 It just won't end. 1-2 days of training rains like this is pretty unusual....I think we've had like 10+ days so far this month....just crazy. That batch in Lancaster County might bump us up over 18" if it holds together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Any reports of flooding guys??? E. Lycoming county has been absolutely blitzed...would not be surprised to see Muncy Creek get near bankfull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Any reports of flooding guys??? E. Lycoming county has been absolutely blitzed...would not be surprised to see Muncy Creek get near bankfull. Looks like Northumberland County has really gotten pounded today as well. From the most recent CTP AFD: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...PORTIONS OF NORTHUMBERLAND AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCINGSEVERE FLOODING THIS EVENING FROM REPEATED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURSAND THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF 3 DAYS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Looks like Northumberland County has really gotten pounded today as well. From the most recent CTP AFD: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...PORTIONS OF NORTHUMBERLAND AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES ARE EXPERIENCINGSEVERE FLOODING THIS EVENING FROM REPEATED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURSAND THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF 3 DAYS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. Any reports about Knoebel's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mahantango Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 The estimated radar precipation snce Monday. Notice the circled area, this area had a lot in Lee also, and also March, April, May also. Unbelieveable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted September 29, 2011 Author Share Posted September 29, 2011 Interesting stuff from NWS CTP: STRONG HEIGHT FALLS COMBINED WITH LAKE/OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENTSHOULD FOCUS PCPN OVR THE UPPER OH VLY INTO THE ALLEGHENIES ONFRIDAY. A POTENTIAL INTERESTING EVENT MAY UNFOLD FRI NGT INTO SATAS MDLS SHOW A WELL-DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE SETTING UP OVR PA ASUPPER LOW CLOSES OFF. THIS WOULD SUPPORT MDT TO LCLY HVY WRAP-AROUND PCPN. WHILE IT IS CERTAINLY A LOW PROBABILITY ESPECIALLYDURING THE DAY...THERMAL PROFILES MAY AT LEAST BE MARGINALLYSUPPORTIVE FOR AT LEAST A RAIN/SNOW MIX ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHERELEVATIONS. CONFIDENCE IS LOW CONCERNING THE DETAILS OF THE FCSTWHICH WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED THROUGH THE PD. Most importantly, looks like a decent break from rain after this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Interesting stuff from NWS CTP: STRONG HEIGHT FALLS COMBINED WITH LAKE/OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENTSHOULD FOCUS PCPN OVR THE UPPER OH VLY INTO THE ALLEGHENIES ONFRIDAY. A POTENTIAL INTERESTING EVENT MAY UNFOLD FRI NGT INTO SATAS MDLS SHOW A WELL-DEFINED DEFORMATION ZONE SETTING UP OVR PA ASUPPER LOW CLOSES OFF. THIS WOULD SUPPORT MDT TO LCLY HVY WRAP-AROUND PCPN. WHILE IT IS CERTAINLY A LOW PROBABILITY ESPECIALLYDURING THE DAY...THERMAL PROFILES MAY AT LEAST BE MARGINALLYSUPPORTIVE FOR AT LEAST A RAIN/SNOW MIX ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHERELEVATIONS. CONFIDENCE IS LOW CONCERNING THE DETAILS OF THE FCSTWHICH WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED THROUGH THE PD. Most importantly, looks like a decent break from rain after this. Well it should be interesting to see if we can sneak out our first flakes of the winter season! I'm sure I will pull an all nighter friday night just to make sure, I mean I'm usually up late anyways friday night . Lol its not to often I can talk about snow on September 30th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Well it should be interesting to see if we can sneak out our first flakes of the winter season! I'm sure I will pull an all nighter friday night just to make sure, I mean I'm usually up late anyways friday night . Lol its not to often I can talk about snow on September 30th Some of those hills around your town are over 2000 ft asl. Mr. Potter, we're counting on you to make that climb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Looking at the 12z Euro... thinking its going to get wild (not rain wild) from PA on North. Some crazy meridional flow going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 KMDT is currently .17" below June 1972 record for wettest month (18.38" vs 18.55")... cant we just get a little more rain to make it an official record??!! Yesterday too much just missed KMDT to the north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 KMDT is currently .17" below June 1972 record for wettest month (18.38" vs 18.55")... cant we just get a little more rain to make it an official record??!! Yesterday too much just missed KMDT to the north and west. I'd say KMDT just made it with that downpour. 3 days in a row heavy fricking rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Some of those hills around your town are over 2000 ft asl. Mr. Potter, we're counting on you to make that climb. yep, there is a hill right behind my grandmothers house at around 2200ft, I plan on heading up there sometime saturday night on the fourwheeler. I was originally thinking friday night would be the best night for a chance of snow but looks to be saturday night. Where I live in part of the town is at an elevation of 1506ft which is close to the river valley, so I'm going to see if that extra 700ft will make the difference . Its going to be tough to get some snow at this time of the year, but if I can see at least one flake, it will be all worth it! If I really feel up to it, I might take a quick trip over to Lyon Hill about 15 minutes from here, peaks close to 2600ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Does anyone else have a hard time posting pictures from Wxcaster.com ? I tried to post the snowfall from the 12Z GFS but couldn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Does anyone else have a hard time posting pictures from Wxcaster.com ? I tried to post the snowfall from the 12Z GFS but couldn't you can take a screen capture and just upload it here if option A isnt working.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=CCX that is the best I could do, I tried uploading the jpg, but this site doesn't like the url i was posting for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 you can take a screen capture and just upload it here if option A isnt working.. ya I couldn't upload it here either, i just posted the link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hckyplayer8 Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Man this bass were biting today. Caught two monster smallies. One 13 and the other 14. The 14" had to push 4 pounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Count me as someone that has pretty decent confidence in some of the really high ground seeing flakes on Saturday/Sat night. Surprised none of you guys mentioned the 12z Euro, which does a couple things. For starters, it lingers back alot of precip compared to the other models. Hour 60 in particular is really interesting, with a closed region of <540 dm covering most of the state and a sizeable area of .25-.50" 6 hour precip. Further scrutiny shows 850 temps around -2ºC in the western half of the state and at 925 while there's no area of 0ºC.. central and western PA reside in a closed region of at or slightly below 2ºC. In short, it screams high elevation snowfall event. Unfortunately, I don't think there will be that much QPF around when things get to the point where you might start seeing flakes fly in the highest ground. Still though, I bet at least one the usual suspects sees it. And if anyone at all actually sees a flake at the beginning of October, that would be very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Count me as someone that has pretty decent confidence in some of the really high ground seeing flakes on Saturday/Sat night. Surprised none of you guys mentioned the 12z Euro, which does a couple things. For starters, it lingers back alot of precip compared to the other models. Hour 60 in particular is really interesting, with a closed region of <540 dm right covering most of the state and a sizeable area of .25-.50" 6 hour precip. Further scrutiny shows 850 temps around -2ºC in the western half of the state and at 925 while there's no area of 0ºC.. central and western PA reside in a closed region of at or slightly below 2ºC. In short, it screams high elevation snowfall event. Unfortunately, I don't think there will be that much QPF around when things get to the point where you might start seeing flakes fly in the highest ground. Still though, I bet at least one the usual suspects sees it. And if anyone at all actually sees a flake at the beginning of October, that would be very impressive. no way, that is awesome! It is tough for me, because I don't know a free site that has the Euro, so I never get a chance to see what it is showing. I'm stuck watching the GFS, NAM, GGEM, and UKie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 no way, that is awesome! It is tough for me, because I don't know a free site that has the Euro, so I never get a chance to see what it is showing. I'm stuck watching the GFS, NAM, GGEM, and UKie. Wunderground has the Euro, FYI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Wunderground has the Euro, FYI. found, bookmarked and favorited!! thanks. Man its nice to see the 5400 line again with some left over precip to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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