CT Rain Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Well this run has many days of 70s/low 80s with even some U60s at 18z for the interior at times. Yeah I don't have any day above 85 at BDL through Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 There must be a new Euro version you look at... I don't see any torch through next Sunday (that would be 7 days from now). By next week maybe we get warm but I wouldn't buy into that just yet. I love how Blizz is now relegated to hyping humidity as the threat to society. Soon we'll hear the calls for prayer.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Looks pretty damn humid days 1-10..some days in the 60's some dews into the 70's..depending on the day. Also with normals coming down a day in the mid-upper 80's is now a torch. Normal high at BDL today is 83..so 88-89 is a torch That will go along with the '98-'99 coming up. Maybe '01-'02 where I can drive around with my sleeves rolled up, arm hanging out the window while blasting John Mayer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 To be honest it doesn't even really look humid until next Thursday afternoon and Friday. If the GFS is right we lose the humidity in time for a pleasant weekend... if the Euro is right we keep temps cool and see off and on rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 You have to start playing the old JB game of "warm against the norms" now to justify torch talk. Like in late February when an arctic air mass is incoming and he always says ..this is the coldest air mass against the norms all season. Heavy heavy swampazz on the Euro basically for the entire 10 days to varying degrees. By late in the period..those not hoping for a torch...well good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 I love how Blizz is now relegated to hyping humidity as the threat to society. Soon we'll hear the calls for prayer.lol Only 17 more days of his shenanigans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 We'll probably get our share tomorrow, as the low and mid levels wrap up during the day. Still a little unsure if it's more prolonged, or a 2-3hr downpour..lifting north, followed by lighter rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I am glad we wont jackpot from this...JFK is at 7.49" as of 3 pm...multiple 8-9" totals in Western LI.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I am glad we wont jackpot from this...JFK is at 7.49" as of 3 pm...multiple 8-9" totals in Western LI.. 10"+ now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Rains have really lightened up here as of late, shade over 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 10"+ now. Yowzers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Rains have really lightened up here as of late, shade over 2 inches. Local weatherbug station is at 0.02" here. You win by 100x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Kevin and CT will probably be the winners tonight. Western mass perhaps gets into it later on, as they can do well with se flow...so long as that moist plume is over them. I think tomorrow what we might see, is a blob of heavy convective rains south of New England, moving north. That will overspread the area during the day...but heaviest rains may be ctrl and eastern areas during the day. My guess, anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Local weatherbug station is at 0.02" here. You win by 100x Lol. Still .10" here. I thought it was going to start up, but the radar miraculously collapsed as it approaches and the NW corner is once again rain free. I see we have a flood watch with 2-4" being forecasted. I'm not convinced...... Righteous stuff from points east of Manhattan that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Kevin and CT will probably be the winners tonight. Western mass perhaps gets into it later on, as they can do well with se flow...so long as that moist plume is over them. I think tomorrow what we might see, is a blob of heavy convective rains south of New England, moving north. That will overspread the area during the day...but heaviest rains may be ctrl and eastern areas during the day. My guess, anyways. Yeah in the E/SE flow you have to like W Mass, NW CT. They always seem to cash in. Not exactly sure what transpires tonight... will be interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Yeah in the E/SE flow you have to like W Mass, NW CT. They always seem to cash in. Not exactly sure what transpires tonight... will be interesting to watch. Yeah not sure exactly on areas further north like western mass. Sometimes those heavier moisture plumes like what's occuring over NYC and CT seem to rob the moisture, but if the flow backs a little more..I guess it could develop further north. I noticed the 18Z and SREF still seem too far nw as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I woke up at 7:20 this morning excited at how radar looked thinking that we'd at least get a piece of the rain to our west. The radar hasn't changed a bit over the last 10 hours and I've barely had a couple hundreths of rain. Any significant rain is welcomed down here this time of year because brown grass in the norm. Some of you have had 6 inches plus of rain this month...I've only had a little over 2 inches. The SE New England screw zone has been on over-drive in 2011. As for the heat war that Litchfield and Kevin have been waging....I'd have to side with them. Since early July I'd estimate 80% or more of the days down here have had a dew point at 70 or higher. And even today, it's fairly cool out, but still the dew point has been hovering at around 70. At least the last 10 days we've lost the higher temps. I'm sick of all this benign weather. I may move to Rindge, NH!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I woke up at 7:20 this morning excited at how radar looked thinking that we'd at least get a piece of the rain to our west. The radar hasn't changed a bit over the last 10 hours and I've barely had a couple hundreths of rain. Any significant rain is welcomed down here this time of year because brown grass in the norm. Some of you have had 6 inches plus of rain this month...I've only had a little over 2 inches. The SE New England screw zone has been on over-drive in 2011. As for the heat war that Litchfield and Kevin have been waging....I'd have to side with them. Since early July I'd estimate 80% or more of the days down here have had a dew point at 70 or higher. And even today, it's fairly cool out, but still the dew point has been hovering at around 70. At least the last 10 days we've lost the higher temps. I'm sick of all this benign weather. I may move to Rindge, NH!! Thats false SNH takes the cake this summer. You guys killed in SVR weather this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Yeah not sure exactly on areas further north like western mass. Sometimes those heavier moisture plumes like what's occuring over NYC and CT seem to rob the moisture, but if the flow backs a little more..I guess it could develop further north. I noticed the 18Z and SREF still seem too far nw as of now. Scott's stomping on my buzz........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Scott's stomping on my buzz........... LOL, nah..just talking about scenarios. I think it will make some headway up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 4.50" max over the area tomorrow on the 18z NAM with a much better low track for a heavy convective batch of rain for E NE. And lots of 2-5" 3hr QPF swaths south of the region as the batch moves north. With about a 12hr period for rain tomorrow, could definitely have some NYC-esque rainfall totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 4.50" max over the area tomorrow on the 18z NAM with a much better low track for a heavy convective batch of rain for E NE. And lots of 2-5" 3hr QPF swaths south of the region as the batch moves north. With about a 12hr period for rain tomorrow, could definitely have some NYC-esque rainfall totals. I wouldn't be surprised if the NAM is being too aggressive in developing that sfc low... seems like some kind of convective feedback over the warm Atlantic. I think we still may see the heaviest rain set up in western areas of SNE tomorrow.... though it will tend to move east as the S/SE flow backs more E/ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I wouldn't be surprised if the NAM is being too aggressive in developing that sfc low... seems like some kind of convective feedback over the warm Atlantic. I think we still may see the heaviest rain set up in western areas of SNE tomorrow.... though it will tend to move east as the S/SE flow backs more E/ENE Definitely possible, though GFS and SREFS both have secondary maxima tomorrow too over E NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Scott's stomping on my buzz........... We've picked up a few heavier showers here in the last hour. We'll both get into some decent rain here this evening. Bonus day of cool temps without a washout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Definitely possible, though GFS and SREFS both have secondary maxima tomorrow too over E NE. Yeah 12z GFS has an interesting 2 bullseye kind of deal. Certainly possibly. Only 0.55" of rain so far at HFD. BDR is up to 2.25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Not sure of the two bullseye deal. I think tonight might be more western areas, and then that blob of stuff south of LI potentially may effect central and ern mass tomorrow. A lot of the models more or less show this...but I don't really expect a sub 1000mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 18z GFS says "what storm?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 18z GFS says "what storm?" Keeps the low way further south of SNE tomorrow, effectively keeping a bulk of the precip shield offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Rain has stopped, radar is not very impressive right now, nam and gfs give hope of a nice day tomorrow as well as sat imagery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Yeah the 18Z GFS just says some light precip for C/NNE mostly around .25" over 60 hours. Big difference from NAM. Any thoughts guys for us up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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