Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS suddenly got interesting for Tuesday. Hvy hvy snow for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 any thoughts for southern NH? wet snow? or rain to snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS suddenly got interesting for Tuesday. this is what i was alluding to....decreased spacing will decrease my chances for snow next week.....but should increase your chances. in the end, the one who gets screwed the most is me not that anyone cares though .....(not enough west with the first wave to get me, but just enough west to ensure the next system passes to my east) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Wagons south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 im quite disappointed to see this happen...... hard to believe the RGEM was onto something all along. i am sure it will mess up chances for next week as well by decreasing spacing. RGEM has been doing VERY well the last few weeks. If they put out better public maps we'd all see it more easily. GFS suddenly got interesting for Tuesday. Yes but if you factor in that it's been too cold and too far SE at this range for a few weeks what we end up with is another C/NNE event. Lets have your rook leak in 8 different places with rain en route on top of a 30" snowpack, then reacces how you feel....get back to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Hvy hvy snow for me Tip blue paste snow for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 RGEM has been doing VERY well the last few weeks. If they put out better public maps we'd all see it more easily. Yes but if you factor in that it's been too cold and too far SE at this range for a few weeks what we end up with is another C/NNE event. Euro also was trying to show this feature at 00z. I'm just pointing out what the GFS shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 wow gfs is so close for Tuesday! chances of a more west shift this weekend is high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Yes, With the blocking relaxed storms are trending further north, As we move further into winter, We seem to have more opportunity's typically as temps at this lat hold on longer and we have very good snow pack retention here Can't check right now as I'm mobile, but this brings a mix threat to my area, no? Looks pretty close. I'm still riding the consistent Doc anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 RGEM has been doing VERY well the last few weeks. If they put out better public maps we'd all see it more easily. Yes but if you factor in that it's been too cold and too far SE at this range for a few weeks what we end up with is another C/NNE event. messenger im a fan of the 48hr RGEM when it agrees with the NAM....i consider its a near lock or would at least bias the forecast towards it, unless the GFS/euro agree on an alternate solution. going back to the big storm last week, the RGEM was the best all along at least in the midwest and eastern lakes through NYS... being furthest NW and amped with the temp profiles. it did very well. even the euro played catchup to it. its a good model. the GGEM on the other hand....... the issue is the canadian public and the canadian goverment dont have much interest in forecasts beyond 48 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The NAM was on the westerly track all along. This is a GFS FAIL again. As what has been the case all winter. It's beginning to look like the GFS is the new NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 wow gfs is so close for Tuesday! chances of a more west shift this weekend is high That's exactly what you don't want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Wagons east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Tuesday could be fun, powder keg potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 That's exactly what you don't want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 That's usually how it works, another reason way last winter was so weird. Yes, We don't have that stale maritime air in here with no place to go, Cold is dumping in here from the region its suppose to be, Back to a more typical winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Wagon wheels off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Heavy Heavy cold on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Now Tues storm is going to help push Thurs event east. Prob too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Yes, We don't have that stale maritime air in here with no place to go, Cold is dumping in here from the region its suppose to be, Back to a more typical winter yeah thats the thing when the +AO gets prolonged and stagnant, last yr is the result. you need that AO to flush every now and then for a period of time it seems. this year has been much better that way, even if the AO does return now.....we wont go maritime since it takes a while to buildup i would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS OTS next Thursday??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Makes more sense synoptically to have this a bit east of where the euro has it. Will be shocked if that doesn't happen tonight Wht I figured...probably a modest net loss with another potential hugger next week....blah. Ditto that. After an incredible 5 weeks, I'm feeling the juju withdrawal too... but one blah storm does not make a pattern change, and there are still believable signs that both Tuesday and Thurs/Fri next week may pleasantly surprise. Again, antecedent cold has been a key factor in January, and it will return next week. 1995/96 will be in our sights a month from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Wagon wheels off? Lol. Per GFS, I hope GC can manage a change in time for some accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Ditto that. After an incredible 5 weeks, I'm feeling the juju withdrawal too... but one blah storm does not make a pattern change, and there are still believable signs that both Tuesday and Thurs/Fri next week may pleasantly surprise. Again, antecedent cold has been a key factor in January, and it will return next week. 1995/96 will be in our sights a month from now. Must have taken you awhile to dig that one up. For the few posters that have been posting about and wishing for a non all snow event for SNE...congrats..you get your wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Ditto that. After an incredible 5 weeks, I'm feeling the juju withdrawal too... but one blah storm does not make a pattern change, and there are still believable signs that both Tuesday and Thurs/Fri next week may pleasantly surprise. Again, antecedent cold has been a key factor in January, and it will return next week. 1995/96 will be in our sights a month from now. There will always be a break, I can't stress that hard enough. It's ok, the world will continue to exist if we see a milder period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Can't check right now as I'm mobile, but this brings a mix threat to my area, no? Looks pretty close. I'm still riding the consistent Doc anyway. Your fine maybe some sleet, But mostly snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 On theh bright side, the gfs has precip (some of it snow I think) in by early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Now that my roof is leaking and we have rainers on the way, I'd like to worm-hole to spring. Ray! Ray! You end this with a snowpack that is more robust, crusted over and a couple of inches of powder on top. Then you get some on Tuesday...and maybe buried Thurs Fri. 19069 baby! Keep the faith, join the circle. BWIOCoTFTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS OTS next Thursday??? Nice 500 mile shift east.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 There will always be a break, I can't stress that hard enough. It's ok, the world will continue to exist if we see a milder period. Scott, I think it's fair to dread rain from a roof standpoint....I don't care how "satisfied" I should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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