mattlacroix4 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 12Z GFS is pretty far west on the low compared to 06. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 This goes to show what the ensembles are worth...crap in crap out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 YEP, epic...look at 18 hours, tight spiral further west. The bias is gone, the witch is dead, and DT is right the pattern really has changed. The days of locking up everything as the snowy solution are over. I'm pretty sure they don't use our models at all. The Japanese have a thing about precision. western sol'n keeps the trof axis further west, and therefore the tuesday potential is greater? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Well, if you look at current WV and radar trends, it would definitely argue an amped up inland track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 western sol'n keeps the trof axis further west, and therefore the tuesday potential is greater? Given model performance ....I'd worry about that on Sunday or Monday. NOT a snowstorm for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Still an advisory deal here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Still an advisory deal here. I think on the whole more opportunities will be yours, fewer down south. Everything seems to be shifting north for this next period...gradually the last couple of systems have been slipping your way ADT (as dave thought). We may see things snap back mid/late month, but ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Talk about a giant jump West, wow. See this is why I am wary of this GFS this winter, it is bi-polar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS goes to town near the NH border. A nice flip to snow it seems even to BOS around hr 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 what is anyone's thoughts for southern Nh? still snow or rain to snow as well? could it be all heavy wet snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Looks like a much better agreement for southern and central NH, and southern ME of at least advisory if not warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS looks close to the Euro now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS looks close to the Euro now.. AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Now that my roof is leaking and we have rainers on the way, I'd like to worm-hole to spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS looks close to the Euro now.. yup, a meh event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 AMOUT Not sure why all the bridge jumping from some..Still a mix to snow..for alot of SNE posters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Now that my roof is leaking and we have rainers on the way, I'd like to worm-hole to spring. You would change to snow towards the end. Maybe a 1-3 deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 What is AMOUT???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I think on the whole more opportunities will be yours, fewer down south. Everything seems to be shifting north for this next period...gradually the last couple of systems have been slipping your way ADT (as dave thought). We may see things snap back mid/late month, but ugh. Yes, With the blocking relaxed storms are trending further north, As we move further into winter, We seem to have more opportunity's typically as temps at this lat hold on longer and we have very good snow pack retention here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 You would change to snow towards the end. Maybe a 1-3 deal? Wht I figured...probably a modest net loss with another potential hugger next week....blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 What is AMOUT???? As most of us thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 What is AMOUT???? As Most Of Us Thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The old Ray is back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 yup, a meh event. Yep. And this is assuming the RGEM isn't right with the even further west track. Someone will see a flip and maybe a quick couple hours of snow but for most in SNE blah. The next one is on the SW PA border at 78 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 im quite disappointed to see this happen...... hard to believe the RGEM was onto something all along. i am sure it will mess up chances for next week as well by decreasing spacing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS suddenly got interesting for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 As most of us thought You guys and these dumb acronyms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The old Ray is back Lets have your rook leak in 8 different places with rain en route on top of a 30" snowpack, then reacces how you feel....get back to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 GFS tries to pop a cstl next week as it passes east. As jconsor pointed out...some of the ensembles do show this potential fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Yes, With the blocking relaxed storms are trending further north, As we move further into winter, We seem to have more opportunity's typically as temps at this lat hold on longer and we have very good snow pack retention here That's usually how it works, another reason way last winter was so weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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