moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yes. Too many players on the field right now for models to grasp but one has to be relatively pleased with prog from ensembles heading into the 1st 2 weeks of December. Pure speculation with no reasoning behind it........I wonder if the collective models will have a better grasp on things once the Wednesday system passes through. Subsquent interactions between systems may be better understood then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 19.7F attm Back to work. Will we get a storm of note before Christmas??? Models are such a tease Chilly out by you. 281 here. and most of the weekend snow is gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Chilly out by you. 281 here. and most of the weekend snow is gone. Yeah, it was still 31 at bedtime... Cleared out quite a bit. Just took dog and trash out. Heavy frost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 i'll go easy on barney ...even thou he is slimier (aheem fannie mae...conflict of intrest....aheemmm head of financial subcommitte over seeing rampant wall street fraud...aheem) who can talk circles around sophmore congressmen ....he plays the game well and has many fans in the establishment class who write revisionist history with favorable wall street angles which sheep lap up in bio's and WSJ articles. Back to the weather. mid week low looks weaker and less qpf on 0z nam IMO. I was talking personally...good friends who know him. Politics is politics, surely he mad mistakes but who didn't in the last 10 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 In his younger days (maybe now?) literally most likely. MECS on GFS tonight in the d9-10 range. Do you still have sex Jerry? I hope so. Barney probably does as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Do you still have sex Jerry? I hope so. Barney probably does as well. Everyone has sex...even those who do it mentally. I like Barney actually and also have met him. I have voted for him every election he's run on since I've lived in SNE. I like the upcoming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 18/16, off a low of 16.5, soon there shall be much to celebrate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 18/16, off a low of 16.5, soon there shall be much to celebrate. 50-50 chance for some upslope snow for you Wednesday evening/night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 50-50 chance for some upslope snow for you Wednesday evening/night? Hi Andy, I was just checking that out. I know the snow we have on the ground now is going to be burned off and I'm hoping that by Thursday morning it's replaced. I think there is a chance at least to re-whiten the ground. I'm building a skating rink for my daughter early this week so I'll look on the bright side and say at least the rain Wednesday will help fill it.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Take me down to suppression city where the grass is green and the girls are pretty, the year of dissapointment is not through giving, two more weeks of love just for Ray! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Take me down to suppression city where the grass is green and the girls are pretty, the year of dissapointment is not through giving, two more weeks of love just for Ray! Troll Phail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Everyone must be sleeping in this morning. At least the GFS has trended toward a less prolific rain maker on Wednesday. It's still heavy rain in western areas but the amounts are not as high as they were in prior runs. It'll be interesting to see if this continues to change as the system approaches. Catching up on things---wintry weather still remains 9-10 days out?? This is beginning to sound like "The Iceman Cometh". 28.3/23 and warming. Ensemble anomaly data still support a good R+ rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Troll Phail. LOL, its going to be funny next week when southern Va and North Carolina are getting dumped on and we have some cirrus, people are going to lose it, especially when signals firm up of a relaxation of cold for mid to late month. Predicting another positve monthly departure for the major sites in NE, not trolling at all just my thoughts Pete, but dont worry buddy you will do fine this winter, huge season for the Berks up into the Greens!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Hi Andy, I was just checking that out. I know the snow we have on the ground now is going to be burned off and I'm hoping that by Thursday morning it's replaced. I think there is a chance at least to re-whiten the ground. I'm building a skating rink for my daughter early this week so I'll look on the bright side and say at least the rain Wednesday will help fill it.lol Hi back! Looks like AOA 1K feet could see 1-2 inches and AOA 1.5 to 1.8 K perhaps 4-5 inches? If dryslot isn't too harsh and temps cool down as fast as most of the OPS models are forecasting. GEFS seems to be a bit slower in slamming in the cold behind the front and it looks to be a bit faster with taking the moisture out. But this far out the potential for something is there for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 LOL, its going to be funny next week when southern Va and North Carolina are getting dumped on and we have some cirrus, people are going to lose it, especially when signals firm up of a relaxation of cold for mid to late month. Predicting another positve monthly departure for the major sites in NE, not trolling at all just my thoughts Pete, but dont worry buddy you will do fine this winter, huge season for the Berks up into the Greens!! Kev outed you.lol I've seen the model depiction of that. DT even said the POTENTIAL is there for the biggest snowstorm in lower MA history. Personally, I'm glad they are in the bullseye this far out. It works two-fold. 1. It gets their hopes up high. 2. It dashes them on the rocks of reality as we get closer to the event and the targeted zone moves to NE. ( Note: Any MA'eer reading this should realize auditing the SNE thread is frought with peril. We're a nasty bunch.lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Hi back! Looks like AOA 1K feet could see 1-2 inches and AOA 1.5 to 1.8 K perhaps 4-5 inches? If dryslot isn't too harsh and temps cool down as fast as most of the OPS models are forecasting. GEFS seems to be a bit slower in slamming in the cold behind the front and it looks to be a bit faster with taking the moisture out. But this far out the potential for something is there for you. That's good news even at this distance. Did you see my post back to you the other day about your fans? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Take me down to suppression city where the grass is green and the girls are pretty, the year of dissapointment is not through giving, two more weeks of love just for Ray! 2 potential snow events in the next 10 days and you're trolling suppression lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 2 potential snow events in the next 10 days and you're trolling suppression lol.. Don't feed the troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 3 potential snow events in the next 10 days and you're trolling suppression lol.. fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 fixed. I don't think you'll see much of anything Wed nite. No moisture left behind the front..maybe some flurries..but nothing more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Probable Wind Advisory/Possible HWW Weds night? A STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 60-70 KTS IS DEPICTED IN THE MODELS. THIS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCELLENT MIXING...WILL LEAD TO GUSTY WINDS WEDNESDAY. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHEST IN A WIND ADVISORY THOUGH A HIGH WIND WARNING CANNOT BE RULED OUT. *******EXPECT GUSTS GENERALLY IN THE 40 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS.***** It's all you Blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Predicting another positve monthly departure for the major sites in NE, BOS is below for Nov, ORH,BDL, are within tenths of normal PVD is plus one,. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 BOS is below for Nov, ORH,BDL, are within tenths of normal PVD is plus one,. Yeah but unfortunately tomorrow and Wed are gonna destroy the neg departures. All 4 sites are gonna end on the weakly positive side. Sucks..we almost did it this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 I don't think you'll see much of anything Wed nite. No moisture left behind the front..maybe some flurries..but nothing more than that Have to disagree with that, Higher Berkshire are in a good spot for the rarely achieved rain flashing to snow with the passage of the anafront. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yeah but unfortunately tomorrow and Wed are gonna destroy the neg departures. All 4 sites are gonna end on the weakly positive side. Sucks..we almost did it this month Wed is Dec, good radiation tonight and quick cloud cover tomorrow, will be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2010 Author Share Posted November 29, 2010 Ensemble anomaly data still support a good R+ rain event. No doubt, just a question of how much. It's good to see you in here--you've been absent! Hoping to get some flakes on the back end here Wednesday night, even if it will be too wet for it to stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Wed is Dec, good radiation tonight and quick cloud cover tomorrow, will be close. Well yeah I meant midnite Tues nite/Wed AM will be over 50 Figure today gets near 50 BDL and not as cold tonite as last 2 nites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Well yeah I meant midnite Tues nite/Wed AM will be over 50 Figure today gets near 50 BDL and not as cold tonite as last 2 nites Yea looks like it, still think BOS ORH have a shot, the low for tonight will be the low for the last day of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 Yeah but unfortunately tomorrow and Wed are gonna destroy the neg departures. All 4 sites are gonna end on the weakly positive side. Sucks..we almost did it this month ORH is +0.6 Today I think will be normal? Tuesday slightly over Weds significantly over, but will not effect the monthly I don't think (Dec 1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2010 Share Posted November 29, 2010 ORH is +0.6 Today I think will be normal? Tuesday slightly over Weds significantly over, but will not effect the monthly I don't think (Dec 1) How in the Sam hell did BOS only drop to 34 last night? Heat island effects really screw with temps. IMO GW is confined to the rat infested waterfronts and airport tarmacs of the US. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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