Mr. Kevin

Jomo, what you think about this winter with IOD and other stuff? I feel that its still early to even guess what may happen.

I think it's too early to even guess what winter may be like. If the IOD remains positive, i believe the trough would be over the central/east, which would match up with mjo in colder phases in winter. But of course i am no weather man lol.

Hi jax. In reality, do we need alot of changes in Pacific and Atlantic to have a better chance at a colder winter? I hear so many possibilities and dont know who to believe lol. Last winter wasnt cold except for November.

Hi nrgjeff, i am kevin from ne arkansas. Ive read your posts for years and i am finally commenting. I have a few questions. I know its only October, but do you think it should be a colder winter than last winter? From my understanding, and correct me if i am incorrect, but if the IOD remains positive and qbo drops, wouldn't that allow a trough more in the central/east with mjo staying or tendency to stay in phase 1-2 most of winter, which are colder phases? Perhaps you believe the coldest weather will be west of the southeast US? Thanks in advance.