Mr. Kevin

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About Mr. Kevin

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    Ne arkansas

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  1. I think we enter a warmer pattern after this cool shot Sunday. My philosophy is to always watch the euro. It's not a perfect model, but definitely better than most. This real cold shot originated from a minor warming event in stratosphere.
  2. Hey guys. It's not too late to donate. Open that pocketbook!
  3. Hi guys. I am posting a link for you to donate to help me with rent assistance due to covid19. It has been rough this year for most everyone. Thanks in advance.
  4. I have a question for someone. I feel that I make a valid point. If this niña remains east based, providing we have one by winter, would that matter compared to if it was central or west based? HM has always said a weak niña promotes a poleward aleutian ridge usually in December.
  5. Jeff, it could be right. I still believe December will be our only opportunity for cold weather, based on previous laniñas. Concerned about the mjo again.
  6. Hi everyone. I saw some snow fall but no accumulation here in my area this past winter. I think the IO will be important, like it is every winter. I know people are extremely apprehensive after this past winter.
  7. I'm not the smartest guy with weather, but every system has trended north this winter, but now with energy coming out of the sw and it can't produce a winter storm with a decent hp up north. Blows my mind. If the hp was further nw, it would trend nw for sure.
  8. We are running out of time regardless. Its already the middle of February. Its been cold despite no -ao, nao, or epo here in my area. Just hope we have a realistic chance at a winter storm. I just want 1-2 inches snow and I be happy lol.
  9. Carver, to me its really shocking in a way that we can't get out of this non favorable pattern for winter weather, especially with shorter wavelengths approaching soon.
  10. Jax, do you think we can get a pattern that supports a legit winter event or ULL before we run out of time?
  11. You would think with changing wavelengths that we get some exciting model runs because if the trough is too far east, we get just dry flow but can help dry out. Its amazes me we are still stuck.
  12. Hi Bob. Can you make any sense out of this tweet from Dr. Butler?
  13. Dr. Amy Butler posted this image and tweet earlier today.