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Mr. Kevin

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  1. Mr. Kevin
    We are running out of time regardless. Its already the middle of February. Its been cold despite no -ao, nao, or epo here in my area. Just hope we have a realistic chance at a winter storm. I just want 1-2 inches snow and I be happy lol.
  2. Mr. Kevin
    Carver, to me its really shocking in a way that we can't get out of this non favorable pattern for winter weather, especially with shorter wavelengths approaching soon.
  3. Mr. Kevin
    Jax, do you think we can get a pattern that supports a legit winter event or ULL before we run out of time?
  4. Mr. Kevin
    You would think with changing wavelengths that we get some exciting model runs because if the trough is too far east, we get just dry flow but can help dry out. Its amazes me we are still stuck.
  5. Mr. Kevin
    Jomo, can you make any sense out of this?
  6. Mr. Kevin
    Dr. Amy Butler posted this image and tweet earlier today.
  7. Mr. Kevin
    Jomo, why is the pattern not supporting a cold outcome? What is the main problem?
  8. Mr. Kevin
    If yall think think about it, there really isn't any solid cold air mass. Its been a very uneventful winter for sure.
  9. Mr. Kevin
    I noticed Allan Huffman pointed out the strong Icelandic low is causing the +ao/nao. Its 926mb. Pretty strong. I still believe we need a pattern reshuffle. Everything is going against us.
  10. Mr. Kevin
    I believe if we have a true -qbo mainly at 30 and 50mb, we should see a period of colder weather that has some stability imo.
  11. Mr. Kevin
    The gfs looks good for yall also. Beefed up precipitation.
  12. Mr. Kevin
    Jomo, i don't know what we need to take place for things to look better in the future. Maybe it's not that simple.There are tons of wishcasters out there to get attention, which i guess you have to do if you own a company online for talking about the weather and other things to get clients. I just dont want to be chasing unicorns all winter this winter.
  13. Mr. Kevin
    Jomo, what is interesting to me is that the ao and nao are turning negative but we will be warm. I know the Pacific is going to be unfavorable. HM said that the reason for the warm pattern advertised is because with the IOD weakening, there will be a lag effect before things get good later. Not sure if he is right or not.
  14. Mr. Kevin
    Hi jomo. We may get cold again when mjo makes it back to the 8,1, and 2 phases? It looks like we are going to warm up for sure once mjo makes it to the 4 5 and 6 phases. Im just confused on all this lol.
  15. Mr. Kevin
    Jomo, what you think about this winter with IOD and other stuff? I feel that its still early to even guess what may happen.
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