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Mr. Kevin

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  1. Mr. Kevin
    Hi Carver. This is my opinion. Of course I'm no weatherman but I believe if we can keep the mjo out of amplitude in warm phases, we should be ok. Maybe. It's a very interesting pattern for sure. Of course people will go default to warm in a niña, especially moderate niña, but on occasion we can get a shakeup that tends to not happen like most people think. Not saying it will happen like that but its something to consider.
  2. Mr. Kevin
    Hi guys. Has anyone heard from bob chill?
  3. Mr. Kevin
    Got a question. Mike ventrice tweeted the +qbo is downwelling into the 100mb level. Any idea what that really means?
  4. Mr. Kevin
    I agree Carver....with warm weather just like your area. ice is more likely than snow for sure
  5. Mr. Kevin
    I think if the standing wave is igniting, then the pattern should switch up sooner or later. Regardless, HM was interested about it, at least for now.
  6. Mr. Kevin
    Let's get the jonesboro ar area some also. With all due respect, I think HM and webber the best out there.
  7. Mr. Kevin
    If its anything related to what HM is referring to, then the trough should be more east imo
  8. Mr. Kevin
    7-9 days isn't that far, but I guess it is in the south lol
  9. Mr. Kevin
    Carver, the 0zgfs is hinting at a decent trough in 7-9 days here. Not sure if that's at all related to what HM has been saying.
  10. Mr. Kevin
    Hi guys. I have a question. Does the potential trough in day 10 on euro and gfs have anything to do with what HM mentioned about 120E standing wave getting ignited? Wasn't sure if that was separate or not.
  11. Mr. Kevin
    Hi Carver. I have a question if you can answer. Anthony masiello posts alot on Twitter. He said something about 120E standing wave that may get ignited and start moving. You have any idea what he means?
  12. Mr. Kevin
    Last year was a elniño, I guess, even though the atmosphere had not coupled with the niño. It had the same west pacific warm pool as currently so it definitely makes it interesting imo.
  13. Mr. Kevin
    I got a question. Why do you feel December could be a cold month for us? November started off with really cold air last year and then crap hit the fan lol. We had that warm pool out in West Pacific then also.
  14. Mr. Kevin
    Carver, if we can somehow get a 2-3 week window for a cold pattern, that will feel like we hit the lottery lol.
  15. Mr. Kevin
    It would be nice for all of us at some point to see winter weather this winter.
  16. Mr. Kevin
    John, if we see anything wintry, it will be sleet or fzr imo. Arctic fronts that stall once it encounters the se ridge.
  17. Mr. Kevin
    Hey guys. I have a question for who may can answer it. Ben noll posts alot on Twitter and said tonight he believes the mjo should focus moreso in the Indian Ocean instead of the maritime continent for winter. If that happens, would that be better for a colder outcome than normally would happen in a laniña?
  18. Mr. Kevin
    I think we enter a warmer pattern after this cool shot Sunday. My philosophy is to always watch the euro. It's not a perfect model, but definitely better than most. This real cold shot originated from a minor warming event in stratosphere.
  19. Mr. Kevin
    Jomo, remember this is 2020.
  20. Mr. Kevin
    Hey guys. It's not too late to donate. Open that pocketbook!
  21. Mr. Kevin
    Hi guys. I am posting a link for you to donate to help me with rent assistance due to covid19. It has been rough this year for most everyone. Thanks in advance. https://gf.me/u/yvwypn
  22. Mr. Kevin
    I have a question for someone. I feel that I make a valid point. If this niña remains east based, providing we have one by winter, would that matter compared to if it was central or west based? HM has always said a weak niña promotes a poleward aleutian ridge usually in December.
  23. Mr. Kevin
    Jeff, it could be right. I still believe December will be our only opportunity for cold weather, based on previous laniñas. Concerned about the mjo again.
  24. Mr. Kevin
    Hi everyone. I saw some snow fall but no accumulation here in my area this past winter. I think the IO will be important, like it is every winter. I know people are extremely apprehensive after this past winter.
  25. Mr. Kevin
    I'm not the smartest guy with weather, but every system has trended north this winter, but now with energy coming out of the sw and it can't produce a winter storm with a decent hp up north. Blows my mind. If the hp was further nw, it would trend nw for sure.
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