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cardinalland

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Everything posted by cardinalland

  1. I don't know of a database of all Atlantic major hurricane landfalls, but it's an interesting question for sure. As for the Lesser Antilles, I used https://coast.noaa.gov/hurricanes/ to map all major hurricanes which tracked through the Lesser Antilles. Every single storm to pass through the Lesser Antilles as a major hurricane since 1954 has been retired *EDIT: except for Hurricane Omar of 2008.
  2. ChatGPT is completely wrong. I went through the list of US landfalls and found 4 major hurricane landfalls which weren't retired: 1. Hurricane Gracie (1959) 2. Hurricane Bret (1999) 3. Hurricane Zeta (2020) 4. Hurricane Idalia (2023)
  3. as a GenZer i am thoroughly horrified. Having 2013 as the top analog based on the last 30 days is interesting. The Western Atlantic is much warmer this year though, so I think 2024 is different where it matters for an Atlantic season. The presence of vigorous Cape Verde waves this early is a strong sign like 2017.
  4. how's everyone doing in morristown???
  5. i saw some purple and green in the sky from my phone camera (and a very faint purple-pink glow in the northern sky with my eyes) from croton harmon NY
  6. Mid 50s behind the backdoor here in southern Connecticut
  7. I like the ridge axis just west of new england. a good sign for this area although not a guarantee
  8. looks like 7-8 inches on the ground in new haven. in line with the spotter report of 8”. snow stopped just after 1 and there’s already a little melt commencing. nice storm though
  9. heavy rates with low visibility and more on the way. everything snow covered including the street. everyone’s thanking this pope fella so i’m gonna thank him too
  10. i remember a lot of folks saying “winter is over” around january 15th 2018 and look at what we got next 2 weeks do look AN though, only a tiny window around the 30th for potential snow
  11. definitely verifying in new haven. we’ve got 0.2” of ice on top of the snow and it is rock solid
  12. there’s a solid layer of ice here in new haven now on untreated surfaces. the ice threat was definitely real
  13. i’m seeing -30s for lows friday and saturday in edmonton. i think that could do the job
  14. I am on the UWS and did not notice anything from this earthquake. but I don't recall ever feeling the shaking from one so i don't know what to expect
  15. UKMET output looks fairly similar to CMC. less amped than the EURO 00z which is ideal (at least up to h144)
  16. yep, and i'm intrigued by the period after 1.10.24 as well. looking like a big change from the nationwide decembtorch
  17. it would be interesting if a storm formed off that cold front, i know that kind of setup has delivered before
  18. 1/10 storm is a rainer to mainer on GFS. high in a worse location
  19. traced the storms back to the present/hour 0 and they are still quite far away at present. don't know enough to determine how this impacts prediction, but wanted to share anyways
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