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cardinalland

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Everything posted by cardinalland

  1. Do you have a chart like this for HVN? I've been suspecting it's a little high for a while.
  2. GFS did horribly with this storm new haven is down to drizzle right now but the main band is moving closer slowly
  3. been analyzing radar/models and i seem to be thankfully east of the line of fire in new haven… we’ll probably still end up with 2-3” rain though
  4. it also comes down to the rates and training. i remember our Ida flood really came out of a 3 hour stretch where it was raining buckets… if more spread out it might not be as bad
  5. should i be worried about flooding in new haven? models seem all over the place on the heaviest rain axis
  6. it seems like south central connecticut is a screw zone for this storm… would be sad if it was a snowstorm but we don’t really need more rain. Storm totals so far: 0.41” at KBDR bridgeport, 0.43” at KHVN new haven
  7. an “impressive” 0.43” storm total so far at new haven airport
  8. 2021 was wild. peak leaf was mid-november in new haven
  9. this could have similar impacts to a nor’easter for much of eastern new england. i don’t expect to get more than a little fringe rain here in new haven though
  10. i think tropical tidbits goes a little farther and shows the HAFS-B / HFBI just south of nantucket at the end
  11. a lot of these tracks in the GFS/GEFS remind me of Henri 2021 but stronger and more to the east. kind of an odd/rare track though
  12. a significant contingent of 18z GEFS members have that west hook. the low pressure is at 39N 69W at hour 144
  13. good on you for calling them out. the amount of outright wrong claims about this hurricane online/on social media are ridiculous… people saying “a category 5 is coming for nyc”… i’ve never seen it this bad
  14. The 00z intensity was 155mph i wonder if they keep it at that or bring it to Cat 5
  15. idk i heard it’s gonna hit miami new orleans and new york as well
  16. i’m getting 1903 vagabond hurricane vibes from this one
  17. an interesting complication is that a slower/more south storm may have more time to be pulled northeast by a trough, as opposed to a faster moving storm. the 18z GFS kind of shows how this could happen
  18. einstein was wrong about quantum randomness but i wish i would’ve gotten the chance to speak with him as well
  19. Newark hit 97, highest temperature there of the year so far
  20. 12z Euro: trough and ridge are both significantly west of 00z
  21. this GFS run is also quite a bit slower, storm has already made landfall by that time in Canada on the last run
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