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Everything posted by cardinalland
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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential
cardinalland replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
we froze here in new haven. i didn’t expect it this weekend but it happened! let the winter festivities begin -
i'm assuming the week before thanksgiving around 11/21? could see some kind of east coast storm action with a -NAO/-AO/neutral-ish PNA
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this month, you could say San Diego! It's funny how almost every storm this month seems to be crossing our longitude at 50+N. We've gotten a cutter or two but I wonder when we'll get our first apps runner/coastal/clipper... anyways next couple weeks seem to be continuing with the "cuts so far it's off the map" theme
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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential
cardinalland replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
down here in tropical new haven i’m still waiting on a first freeze. latest on record is 11/16 and beating that record looks like a lock -
looks like this storm is gonna push us over the 160.1 ACE hyperactive threshold this is why not to call bust on a hurricane season too early
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i think 2 suns would get the job done, tatooine style
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I'm not sure what the problem is, I think the post aligns pretty well with your statement. One could say it's sensationalized a little bit but that's just twitter for ya
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tropical moisture may be our best bet in this region right now. it's the only way any model shows us getting rain
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
cardinalland replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Sandy was a week before election day but I know it still complicated things here in the NY Metro -
the 3 best analogs I could find (for a dry 60 period leading up to 10/15 and a La Niña) are 1964 (24.4" snow at KNYC), 1973 (23.5" snow at KNYC) and 1984 (24.1" snow at KNYC). A remarkably average set of years, for snowfall at least...
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shades of last winter on the 2 week forecast, with the greatest positive departures over the midwest and central canada.
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what a night in new haven. saw an incredible aurora (visible to the naked eye), light pillars, and a bright shooting star. peaked around 7:30pm and 10pm.
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for all those looking for more, i think we get another peak in about 20 minutes as electron density increases (as per spaceweatherlive)
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insane in new haven very visible to the eye
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dropsonde above shows 185 mph winds at the surface and 215 mph winds at ~300 ft altitude in the NE eyewall.
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plane at 22.0N 90.3W as of 6:14 PM EDT
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yep the HAFS seems to do that too sometimes, plus this HAFS-B run initialized at a pressure of 997MB. But yeah, agreed. This HAFS-B run is also quite a bit slower, with a position about 1 degree west and maybe 2/3rds of a degree south of the prior run.
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this season has really been relentless on CONUS