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cardinalland

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Everything posted by cardinalland

  1. geefus unleashes a monster… high potential here
  2. after March 10th we may have a shot of something in seriousness if a big cutter type system does end up developing, i imagine many of us in SNE will see first flakes from some cold pool snow showers
  3. yeah, these systems are interesting because they are sitting there in the gyre waiting for something to pull them out in some direction. Looks like most models have it going NW and then E right now, but I could also see a Central America landfall
  4. If the Carib system becomes a hurricane, it will become the 12th in the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Only four other Atlantic seasons have seen this quantity of hurricanes on record: 2005 (15), 2020 (14), 1969 (12) and 2010 (12).
  5. This season has the 13th highest ACE since 1950 (so out of 75 seasons) which puts it in the top 20% in that period. To reach the top 10% it would have to attain an ACE of 182, which is unlikely but not impossible given the anticipated slow movement and high strength of this new system. Either way, we've experienced quite an active season. To reach top 10 in this period an ACE of 166 is needed, which is likely.
  6. this is getting absurd. and all of these include today’s rain event (except the GFS which includes like half of it)
  7. we froze here in new haven. i didn’t expect it this weekend but it happened! let the winter festivities begin
  8. i'm assuming the week before thanksgiving around 11/21? could see some kind of east coast storm action with a -NAO/-AO/neutral-ish PNA
  9. this month, you could say San Diego! It's funny how almost every storm this month seems to be crossing our longitude at 50+N. We've gotten a cutter or two but I wonder when we'll get our first apps runner/coastal/clipper... anyways next couple weeks seem to be continuing with the "cuts so far it's off the map" theme
  10. down here in tropical new haven i’m still waiting on a first freeze. latest on record is 11/16 and beating that record looks like a lock
  11. looks like this storm is gonna push us over the 160.1 ACE hyperactive threshold this is why not to call bust on a hurricane season too early
  12. i wonder how much digital snow we’ll get this season maybe there should be a contest for that
  13. i think 2 suns would get the job done, tatooine style
  14. I'm not sure what the problem is, I think the post aligns pretty well with your statement. One could say it's sensationalized a little bit but that's just twitter for ya
  15. tropical moisture may be our best bet in this region right now. it's the only way any model shows us getting rain
  16. Sandy was a week before election day but I know it still complicated things here in the NY Metro
  17. never been the biggest fan of apple maps, but i gotta admit this feature is pretty cool.
  18. the 3 best analogs I could find (for a dry 60 period leading up to 10/15 and a La Niña) are 1964 (24.4" snow at KNYC), 1973 (23.5" snow at KNYC) and 1984 (24.1" snow at KNYC). A remarkably average set of years, for snowfall at least...
  19. shades of last winter on the 2 week forecast, with the greatest positive departures over the midwest and central canada.
  20. what a night in new haven. saw an incredible aurora (visible to the naked eye), light pillars, and a bright shooting star. peaked around 7:30pm and 10pm.
  21. for all those looking for more, i think we get another peak in about 20 minutes as electron density increases (as per spaceweatherlive)
  22. well first atlantic storm in the 800s since i started tracking.
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